R
Rick C
Guest
On Sunday, March 22, 2020 at 4:01:12 PM UTC-4, jjhu...@gmail.com wrote:
We could have a segment on the local news with the weatherman displaying charts of the trends and forecasts in the progress of the disease. "Saturday will be sunny and warm with temperatures in the high 70's and a new infection rate of 30%. We expect the warm spell to last through Sunday when social distancing should bring the new infection rate down to 25%."
I expect virtually no one (meaning less than 1%) in the US actually understands that in just two weeks we will see people turned away from hospitals. Heck, I've read they are getting a jump start on it by doing testing from tents in some locations. The hospitals know what it's going to be like, but there's nothing they can do.
It literally drives me crazy that people like Larkin post their denialist crap. At least this time he will be alive to see just how wrong he is. He clearly is talking out both sides of his mouth, denying exponential growth here, but bunkering down with ample supplies. What a nasty piece of work.
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Rick C.
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There are really intricate math models that predict the rate of infection growth with a lot of variables to play with that would provide some insight as to proliferation and geographic densities. Its a model, probably no better that 50% accurate for any one set of parameters.....what is interesting to me is that I haven't seen any news about these models or predictions. Maybe because the results are too scary, or, there are way to may variables to adjust to reflect reality...
Then again, doing the modeling is probably OBE'ed at this point
We could have a segment on the local news with the weatherman displaying charts of the trends and forecasts in the progress of the disease. "Saturday will be sunny and warm with temperatures in the high 70's and a new infection rate of 30%. We expect the warm spell to last through Sunday when social distancing should bring the new infection rate down to 25%."
I expect virtually no one (meaning less than 1%) in the US actually understands that in just two weeks we will see people turned away from hospitals. Heck, I've read they are getting a jump start on it by doing testing from tents in some locations. The hospitals know what it's going to be like, but there's nothing they can do.
It literally drives me crazy that people like Larkin post their denialist crap. At least this time he will be alive to see just how wrong he is. He clearly is talking out both sides of his mouth, denying exponential growth here, but bunkering down with ample supplies. What a nasty piece of work.
--
Rick C.
--++ Get 1,000 miles of free Supercharging
--++ Tesla referral code - https://ts.la/richard11209