OT: more from the resident alarmist

On 2/28/2020 8:10 AM, Bill Sloman wrote:

> I've provided you with the same link several times now, but while you can take horse's ass to water, you can't make him drink.

I don't think horses drink with their asses.
 
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 4:33:51 PM UTC-5, dca...@krl.org wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 1:29:00 PM UTC-5, Rick C wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 1:06:05 PM UTC-5, dca...@krl.org wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 12:10:13 PM UTC-5, Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Fri, 28 Feb 2020 07:25:36 -0800 (PST), Whoey Louie
trader4@optonline.net> wrote:

Keep lying and denying. It's what you do best. Meanwhile claiming that
the death rate is 20% puts you in the class of village idiot, no point
in further discussion on the issue. Funny too, Rick keeps calling me
an alarmist, but he allows your 20% BS lie to go unchallenged. You
two are quite a pair.

https://plague.com
83,867 confirmed cases
2,887 deaths
36,686 recovered

2,887 / 83,867 = 3.4% death rate
36,686 / 83,867 = 43.7% recovered

The 40% difference between the two precentages are those that are
currently ill, where there is no current determination as to whether
they will recover or die. With that large and uncertainty, the deathi
rate can be any number between 3.4% and 43.4%.

Just for the sake of argument, what would the death rate if there was say 100,000 mild cases that were never reported to anyone? Not likely but possible. If I were in China and had a mild case, I probably would not report it. What would reporting it do for me? I would expect there are a lot of unreported cases. Maybe enough unreported cases that the actual death rate is 2%.

You only need give that a small amount of thought to realize this is not possible. At least not if they are infectious. If there were large quantities of people who were infectious and roaming around without noticeable symptoms, then the new infection rate would not be reducing.


They had a strong immune system so did not have strong symptoms and they were only infectious for a few days.

So they would be spreading the disease for a few days. That times your 100,000 number is still a lot of new infections.

I seem to recall it was the 20ish age group that had the highest mortality rate with the Spanish Flu because they had the highest immune response. Essentially it created an allergic response which is what killed them.

--

Rick C.

--++ Get 1,000 miles of free Supercharging
--++ Tesla referral code - https://ts.la/richard11209
 
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 12:50:28 PM UTC-5, DecadentLinux...@decadence.org wrote:
Whoey Louie <trader4@optonline.net> wrote in news:42bad92e-86e6-400a-
a51a-ab72fbbd4a48@googlegroups.com:

Oh, BS. There is case history now going back to December, there
are
available numbers of people who either recovered or died and world
health authorities are saying the death rate is around 2%.

We do not know how it is passed, and we do not know gestation
periods, so you are absolutely clueless trying to establish some lame
Trumpesque "It ain't as bad as it looks" mentality.

What are you ranting about now? We do have a pretty good idea of the
morbidity because it's been around since December, we now have people
who were infected and recovered or died. It's pretty much over in
about 3 weeks, one way or the other. And all the world health experts,
not me, are saying the morbidity is around 2%. It could be somewhat
less or more, but it's not Slomans's idiotic 20% or someone elses 40%.
And then Rick calls me the alarmist, go figure.



It is exactly as bad as it looks,

That would be around 2%.

and IF there is a long gestation,
> you can count on it proliferating the entire globe.

ROFL. That's a good one, even from you. Gestation is the period
between conception and birth, stupid.




The markets will crash as evrything crawls to a stop.

The real shit has yet to hit the fan.

Better tie up those horse blinder slits even tighter. Still won't
help you.

I think Rick would say you're alarmist.
 
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 12:52:09 PM UTC-5, DecadentLinux...@decadence.org wrote:
edward.ming.lee@gmail.com wrote in
news:039d70f3-dc1a-4c4f-b7f8-07ee58bf23fc@googlegroups.com:

My point remains that in China all appearances indicate they have
the dis
ease under control.

Depends on who you listen to, a few days ago, in the GuangDong
region, even with cases dropped from 1300 down to 400 active (as
they claimed). There were couple of nurses asking for external
helps, then immediately censored by the government. Medical
Censorship 2.0.


Could be 3.0. For all we know they did it on purpose.

Yes, that's very logical. Cripple their economy and start a
woldwide pandemic which will further screw their own economy, on purpose.




Maybe they
have zones of their nation they do not like. They are vindictive that
way, you know... Communist governments.

Right, they decided to destroy Wuhan, which rather than being some rebel
dissident area is actually one of their main manufacturing hubs producing
everything from steel to high tech.

Wrong, always wrong. And no expanding to stupid conspiracy theories.
 
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 1:06:05 PM UTC-5, dca...@krl.org wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 12:10:13 PM UTC-5, Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Fri, 28 Feb 2020 07:25:36 -0800 (PST), Whoey Louie
trader4@optonline.net> wrote:

Keep lying and denying. It's what you do best. Meanwhile claiming that
the death rate is 20% puts you in the class of village idiot, no point
in further discussion on the issue. Funny too, Rick keeps calling me
an alarmist, but he allows your 20% BS lie to go unchallenged. You
two are quite a pair.

https://plague.com
83,867 confirmed cases
2,887 deaths
36,686 recovered

2,887 / 83,867 = 3.4% death rate
36,686 / 83,867 = 43.7% recovered

The 40% difference between the two precentages are those that are
currently ill, where there is no current determination as to whether
they will recover or die. With that large and uncertainty, the deathi
rate can be any number between 3.4% and 43.4%.

Just for the sake of argument, what would the death rate if there was say 100,000 mild cases that were never reported to anyone? Not likely but possible. If I were in China and had a mild case, I probably would not report it. What would reporting it do for me? I would expect there are a lot of unreported cases. Maybe enough unreported cases that the actual death rate is 2%.

The actual death rate is about 2% without the effect you're talking about
above. And I agree and have said the same thing, there could be many
cases that are mild and there is no report. That could be going on here
in the US right now, as there is no testing for it. You can have flu
like systems, but if you have no travel history or other contact, the
CDC will not test for it. The CA case the other day, that patient was
in two hospitals for a week. By the time they were transfered to
the second one they were in serious shape, intubated. The CDC refused
to test. Only four days later, after a week of hospitalization,
did the CDC finally relent and test, finding them infected.
 
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 1:29:00 PM UTC-5, Rick C wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 1:06:05 PM UTC-5, dca...@krl.org wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 12:10:13 PM UTC-5, Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Fri, 28 Feb 2020 07:25:36 -0800 (PST), Whoey Louie
trader4@optonline.net> wrote:

Keep lying and denying. It's what you do best. Meanwhile claiming that
the death rate is 20% puts you in the class of village idiot, no point
in further discussion on the issue. Funny too, Rick keeps calling me
an alarmist, but he allows your 20% BS lie to go unchallenged. You
two are quite a pair.

https://plague.com
83,867 confirmed cases
2,887 deaths
36,686 recovered

2,887 / 83,867 = 3.4% death rate
36,686 / 83,867 = 43.7% recovered

The 40% difference between the two precentages are those that are
currently ill, where there is no current determination as to whether
they will recover or die. With that large and uncertainty, the deathi
rate can be any number between 3.4% and 43.4%.

Just for the sake of argument, what would the death rate if there was say 100,000 mild cases that were never reported to anyone? Not likely but possible. If I were in China and had a mild case, I probably would not report it. What would reporting it do for me? I would expect there are a lot of unreported cases. Maybe enough unreported cases that the actual death rate is 2%.

You only need give that a small amount of thought to realize this is not possible. At least not if they are infectious. If there were large quantities of people who were infectious and roaming around without noticeable symptoms, then the new infection rate would not be reducing.


They had a strong immune system so did not have strong symptoms and they were only infectious for a few days.

Dan
-



Rick C.

--+- Get 1,000 miles of free Supercharging
--+- Tesla referral code - https://ts.la/richard11209
 
Whoey Louie <trader4@optonline.net> wrote in
news:93867bf8-0ac7-4853-8125-d6d5f5fb635f@googlegroups.com:

On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 12:52:09 PM UTC-5,
DecadentLinux...@decadence.org wrote:
edward.ming.lee@gmail.com wrote in
news:039d70f3-dc1a-4c4f-b7f8-07ee58bf23fc@googlegroups.com:

My point remains that in China all appearances indicate they
have the dis
ease under control.

Depends on who you listen to, a few days ago, in the GuangDong
region, even with cases dropped from 1300 down to 400 active
(as they claimed). There were couple of nurses asking for
external helps, then immediately censored by the government.
Medical Censorship 2.0.


Could be 3.0. For all we know they did it on purpose.

Yes, that's very logical. Cripple their economy and start a
woldwide pandemic which will further screw their own economy, on
purpose.




Maybe they
have zones of their nation they do not like. They are vindictive
that way, you know... Communist governments.

Right, they decided to destroy Wuhan, which rather than being some
rebel dissident area is actually one of their main manufacturing
hubs producing everything from steel to high tech.

Wrong, always wrong. And no expanding to stupid conspiracy
theories.

If the end result is that we all die and they live and get to
restart after, their 'new economy' is all good for them from then on,
and we are all gone. No where to go but up from there except now
everyone has home town genes.

Maybe you have problems grasping bigger picture views that folks
like that have.
 
Whoey Louie <trader4@optonline.net> wrote in news:c85c9772-6a89-4c58-
afa2-ca1ca24de745@googlegroups.com:

> What are you ranting about now?

Fuck you, child. You starting a post like this makes folks like me
want to bash your subhuman skull in.
 
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 3:13:52 PM UTC-8, John S wrote:
On 2/10/2020 11:10 AM, edward.ming.lee@gmail.com wrote:

https://tinyurl.com/yx5ofggy

Can we put this in perspective please? From https://www.worldometers.info/

Coronavirus deaths this year: 2876
Seasonal flu deaths this year: 78130

Yes, the flu cases have not been tested for Covid-19. There was a case in (Japan or Taiwan, i forgot) of someone who die from the flu, but it was tested positive for Covid-19.

I heard that we (in Calif) only have a few hundred test kits; so, no way of testing enough cases.
 
On 2/10/2020 11:10 AM, edward.ming.lee@gmail.com wrote:

https://tinyurl.com/yx5ofggy

Can we put this in perspective please? From https://www.worldometers.info/

Coronavirus deaths this year: 2876
Seasonal flu deaths this year: 78130
 
On Fri, 28 Feb 2020 09:35:52 -0800 (PST), Whoey Louie
<trader4@optonline.net> wrote:

On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 12:10:13 PM UTC-5, Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Fri, 28 Feb 2020 07:25:36 -0800 (PST), Whoey Louie
trader4@optonline.net> wrote:

Keep lying and denying. It's what you do best. Meanwhile claiming that
the death rate is 20% puts you in the class of village idiot, no point
in further discussion on the issue. Funny too, Rick keeps calling me
an alarmist, but he allows your 20% BS lie to go unchallenged. You
two are quite a pair.

https://plague.com
83,867 confirmed cases
2,887 deaths
36,686 recovered

2,887 / 83,867 = 3.4% death rate
36,686 / 83,867 = 43.7% recovered

The 40% difference between the two precentages are those that are
currently ill, where there is no current determination as to whether
they will recover or die. With that large and uncertainty, the death
rate can be any number between 3.4% and 43.4%.

Oh, BS.

Please note that I didn't specify a death rate except to suggest that
it could be anywhere between 3.4% and 43.4% using the above numbers.

There is case history now going back to December, there are
available numbers of people who either recovered or died and world
health authorities are saying the death rate is around 2%.

It varies by age group.
<https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-sex-demographics/>
Data from China CDCC.

More:
<https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/>

Incidentally, the "world health authorities" might be considered the
WHO (World Health Organization), which was finally allowed to visit
China starting on Feb 10. They immediately became involved in an
argument with the Chinese over access to statistics and information.
If you're expecting credible numbers form the "world health
authorities", I suspect you may soon have to choose between numbers
delivered by the China CDCC or the WHO.
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/world-health-organization-china-not-sharing-data-on-health-care-worker-coronavirus-infections/2020/02/26/28064fda-54e4-11ea-80ce-37a8d4266c09_story.html>

You also
totally ignore the fact that there are likely a lot of people who
had it, were not sick enough to be hospitalized, they recovered and
are not in those numbers. Even in the US right now, you could have it,
and unless there was reason to believe you had contact with someone,
no test is run. The lone exception seems to be in CA with that one
new case. There the patient was in two hospitals, for 7 days, before
the CDC agreed to run the test. If that patient had improved, they would
have been released with no record of them having Covid. You don't
like the 2% number, take it up with the world infectious disease experts
involved.

I didn't totally ignore the time lag between exposure and possible
death. I mentioned that it was responsible for the up to 40%
uncertainty in mortality rate at the present time. It all depends on
how you want to deal with the 6 to 41 day delay between first symptoms
and death, plus additional delays in testing, autopsies, and massaging
the statistics.




--
Jeff Liebermann jeffl@cruzio.com
150 Felker St #D http://www.LearnByDestroying.com
Santa Cruz CA 95060 http://802.11junk.com
Skype: JeffLiebermann AE6KS 831-336-2558
 
On Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 2:19:40 AM UTC+11, Whoey Louie wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 9:41:42 AM UTC-5, Rick C wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 9:11:38 AM UTC-5, Bill Sloman wrote:
On Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 12:34:22 AM UTC+11, Whoey Louie wrote:
On Thursday, February 27, 2020 at 9:23:57 PM UTC-5, Bill Sloman wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 1:51:16 AM UTC+11, Whoey Louie wrote:
On Wednesday, February 26, 2020 at 3:54:47 PM UTC-5, Rick C wrote:
On Wednesday, February 26, 2020 at 1:52:56 PM UTC-5, Whoey Louie wrote:
On Wednesday, February 26, 2020 at 1:38:21 PM UTC-5, edward....@gmail.com wrote:
On Wednesday, February 26, 2020 at 9:46:02 AM UTC-8, Rick C wrote:
On Tuesday, February 25, 2020 at 9:42:42 PM UTC-5, Bill Sloman wrote:
On Wednesday, February 26, 2020 at 12:15:43 PM UTC+11, edward...@gmail.com wrote:
On Tuesday, February 25, 2020 at 3:33:00 PM UTC-8, Rick C wrote:
On Tuesday, February 25, 2020 at 4:03:23 PM UTC-5, edward...@gmail.com wrote:
On Tuesday, February 25, 2020 at 12:06:49 PM UTC-8, Whoey Louie wrote:
On Tuesday, February 25, 2020 at 10:09:39 AM UTC-5, Rick C wrote:
On Thursday, February 20, 2020 at 11:24:33 AM UTC-5, Rick C wrote:
On Tuesday, February 18, 2020 at 9:36:21 PM UTC-5, Rick C wrote:
On Sunday, February 16, 2020 at 9:24:03 AM UTC-5, Rick C wrote:

snip

Seems a govt that according to Rick is just taking people to quarantine locations where they get no treatment is exactly the kind of govt that would lie about the extent of that happening.

I don't see a connection. Let's say you are in charge of the situation in China. You have ultimate control over everything in the country. How would you treat all these people?

How about treating them?

There's - as yet - nothing you can do to help a patient who has the virus in getting rid of it.

As usual, the dishonest lib twist and distorts. It was posted here that
China is carting people off that are infected to holding places and
providing no treatment.

Probably incorrectly. It is likely that the mildly sick are being isolated in places that aren't set up to provide much treatment, and the pig ignorant - like you - want to believe that that this means no treatment or monitoring, which is unlikely.

There was a link to a video which showed someone talking to the quarantine center at large. The translation was that they could not leave and there was no way to take anyone to a hospital. It appeared there was no care being provided.

Probably a Chinese version of Whoey Louie. You can always find some anxious idiot who doesn't know what is going on and is busy imagining how bad it might be.

> > Did no one else look at that video?

Anecdotal evidence is rarely worth the effort.

> > It does support the "no treatment" claim.

But not remotely persuasively.

But that's understandable. If you have 10,000 beds in your hospitals and you have 50,000 quarrantined, you don't even have enough personnel to do triage on a regular basis.

Rick asked, what would you do? I said, how about treating them. That doesn't mean or imply that you need a drug or treatment to "get rid of it". But you can provide supportive treatment to give them a better chance of surviving, stupid.

If they've only got a mild infection, they are going to survive if they get enough to eat and drink in a place warm enough to be comfortable. That's all the "treatment" they need.

It appears there aren't enough human and other resources to perform triage on the patients. But that's ok because there aren't enough facilities, equipment, supplies and personnel to properly care for everyone even at the level they require.

The situation in China is terrible. I just hope it doesn't get that bad elsewhere.


And yet as half-assed as it all is, you keep claiming there is no reason to
believe that the new infections in China are down to just a few hundred a day.

Since the Chinese police now seem to be running around with hand-held IR thermometers, checking people on the street for fever, it's fairly obvious that they are keen to find every new infection. They may not have the resources to provide much more than isolation and basic care for all the mild cases, but they do have the resources to find them.

With it easily transmissible and in 45 countries already, unless this
somehow ends via nature, it appears we are headed for it getting that
bad everywhere.

One of those 45 countries is Australia. All our cases seem to have been infected overseas, and anybody who might have been exposed is required to self-isolate for 14 days, which seems to have worked. We've had 25 cases, of which 15 have already recovered.

The US ought to have done as well, but Trump seems to have taken enough money out of the budget for infectious disease control to have made their system appreciably less effective.

Every other advanced industrial country has universal health care, which works better at containing epidemics.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 2:24:21 AM UTC+11, Michael Terrell wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 9:08:20 AM UTC-5, John S wrote:

Isn't that horse dead yet?

Swarms of flies have been circling Sloman for decades.

Can't say I've noticed. I lived in Europe from 1971 to 2012, where swarms of flies are remarkably rare, and by the time I got back to Australia the introduction of the dung beetle had eliminated that problem there too.

Michael Terrell has an active imagination, and a rather poor grasp of reality.

--
Bill Sloman, sydney
 
On Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 2:25:40 AM UTC+11, Whoey Louie wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 9:44:07 AM UTC-5, Bill Sloman wrote:
On Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 12:41:35 AM UTC+11, Whoey Louie wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 1:12:27 AM UTC-5, Bill Sloman wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 8:02:06 AM UTC+11, Whoey Louie wrote:
On Thursday, February 27, 2020 at 12:55:19 PM UTC-5, Rick C wrote:
On Thursday, February 27, 2020 at 9:51:16 AM UTC-5, Whoey Louie wrote:
On Wednesday, February 26, 2020 at 3:54:47 PM UTC-5, Rick C wrote:
On Wednesday, February 26, 2020 at 1:52:56 PM UTC-5, Whoey Louie wrote:

<snip>

Your response? Deny and lie.

I do deny that you know what you are talking about. You'd like that to be a lie, but you confirm it with every bit of text you post.

Rest of your bloviating BS deleted.

You'd like that to be true too. Pity about that.

Keep lying and denying. It's what you do best.

I couldn't compete with you.

> Meanwhile claiming that the death rate is 20%

I put that forward as an estimate once, and didn't persist with it, so your allegation that I'm persisting in claiming that is an obvious lie.

> puts you in the class of village idiot,

The kind of lie that only a total idiot would keep on posting.

> no point in further discussion on the issue.

As if you knew what discussion was. You seem to think that reiterating the same old lies is some form of "discussion".

> Funny too, Rick keeps calling me an alarmist, but he allows your 20% BS lie to go unchallenged. You two are quite a pair.

The 20% estimate was just a rough estimate, and I backed off on it as soon as you called me on it. Your persistence in trying to persuade your audience that I'm committed to it is what's ridiculous here.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 4:10:13 AM UTC+11, Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Fri, 28 Feb 2020 07:25:36 -0800 (PST), Whoey Louie
trader4@optonline.net> wrote:

Keep lying and denying. It's what you do best. Meanwhile claiming that
the death rate is 20% puts you in the class of village idiot, no point
in further discussion on the issue. Funny too, Rick keeps calling me
an alarmist, but he allows your 20% BS lie to go unchallenged. You
two are quite a pair.

https://plague.com

Doesn't load.

83,867 confirmed cases
2,887 deaths
36,686 recovered

2,887 / 83,867 = 3.4% death rate
36,686 / 83,867 = 43.7% recovered

The 40% difference between the two percentages are those that are
currently ill, where there is no current determination as to whether
they will recover or die. With that large and uncertainty, the death
rate can be any number between 3.4% and 43.4%.

The Chinese figures suggest that about 20% of those that still ill are serious or critical, which is about 7000 people. Some of those are going to die. If half of them did it would push the death rate up to 8%.

That isn't any kind of reliable estimate either.

Note the graph in the lower right showing an increasing rate of
recovery.

Probably reflecting the fact that the early cases had to be pretty sick to get noticed and tested, and were correspondingly more likely to die.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/

gives a more sophisticated discussion, which does go into that kind of problem.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 4:35:59 AM UTC+11, Whoey Louie wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 12:10:13 PM UTC-5, Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Fri, 28 Feb 2020 07:25:36 -0800 (PST), Whoey Louie
trader4@optonline.net> wrote:

Keep lying and denying. It's what you do best. Meanwhile claiming that
the death rate is 20% puts you in the class of village idiot, no point
in further discussion on the issue. Funny too, Rick keeps calling me
an alarmist, but he allows your 20% BS lie to go unchallenged. You
two are quite a pair.

https://plague.com
83,867 confirmed cases
2,887 deaths
36,686 recovered

2,887 / 83,867 = 3.4% death rate
36,686 / 83,867 = 43.7% recovered

The 40% difference between the two precentages are those that are
currently ill, where there is no current determination as to whether
they will recover or die. With that large and uncertainty, the death
rate can be any number between 3.4% and 43.4%.

Oh, BS. There is case history now going back to December, there are
available numbers of people who either recovered or died and world
health authorities are saying the death rate is around 2%.

They don't. Whoey Louie can't tell the difference between half-baked commentary and reliable health authority announcements.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/

The National Health Commission of China seems to be a less than reliable source.

You also totally ignore the fact that there are likely a lot of people who
had it, were not sick enough to be hospitalized, they recovered and
are not in those numbers. Even in the US right now, you could have it,
and unless there was reason to believe you had contact with someone,
no test is run. The lone exception seems to be in CA with that one
new case. There the patient was in two hospitals, for 7 days, before
the CDC agreed to run the test. If that patient had improved, they would
have been released with no record of them having Covid. You don't
like the 2% number, take it up with the world infectious disease experts
involved.

None of whose opinions have got through to Whoey Louie.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 4:28:11 AM UTC+11, Whoey Louie wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 12:04:19 PM UTC-5, Rick C wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 10:19:40 AM UTC-5, Whoey Louie wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 9:41:42 AM UTC-5, Rick C wrote:

The situation in China is terrible. I just hope it doesn't get that bad elsewhere.


And yet as half-assed as it all is, you keep claiming there is no reason to
believe that the new infections in China are down to just a few hundred a day.
With it easily transmissible and in 45 countries already, unless this
somehow ends via nature, it appears we are headed for it getting that
bad everywhere.

It is tedious to have a conversation with you. I think you munged your statement above. I don't have great confidence that the numbers China is reporting are highly accurate, but I do believe they are trying to be open.

Of course you do. Libs always love and trust commie regimes.

One of Whoey Louie's many demented delusions.

> Is rounding up bloggers and reporters, people disappearing who posted about it part of being open? Is having a state controlled press part of being open?

Obviously not. But when you are coping with a disaster that has spread outside the country, there's not a lot of point in lying about what's going on.

> Imagine what the press here would be reporting if they were controlled by Trump.

Difficult. He has as many demented delusions as Whoie Louie, and it's difficult to work out which one might dominate his thinking.

The errors are systematic errors from trying to organize a large mass of people under such chaotic conditions.

My point remains that in China all appearances indicate they have the disease under control.

It's still spreading by several hundred cases a day. Even if that's
true, it's not under control by any means.

It's under much better control that it was on the 4th February when there were 3915 new cases. There are clearly still some undetected infectious cases in the Chinese community and they are still infecting other people, but R0 there is now clearly well below one, and we can expect the new cases there to continue to taper off.

The other areas where the contagion is newer, they have not yet setup appropriate measures and the infection rate is growing. That doesn't mean it can't be contained. But if each infection is not clamped down on and isolated, it will continue to spread.

Take it up with the CDC. Two days ago they said the spread here is
inevitable.

https://nypost.com/2020/02/27/cdc-director-downplays-claim-that-coronavirus-spread-is-inevitable/

The director of the CDC isn't entirely convinced.

Iran in particular is concerning. The new infection count is over a third and the new death rate is over a quarter. That sure seems to indicate a lack of accurate measurement of the actual infection count.

You're an alarmist!

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

Actually, a realist.

Whoey Louie has trouble with that sort of fine distinction.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 8:33:51 AM UTC+11, dca...@krl.org wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 1:29:00 PM UTC-5, Rick C wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 1:06:05 PM UTC-5, dca...@krl.org wrote:
On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 12:10:13 PM UTC-5, Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Fri, 28 Feb 2020 07:25:36 -0800 (PST), Whoey Louie
trader4@optonline.net> wrote:

Keep lying and denying. It's what you do best. Meanwhile claiming that
the death rate is 20% puts you in the class of village idiot, no point
in further discussion on the issue. Funny too, Rick keeps calling me
an alarmist, but he allows your 20% BS lie to go unchallenged. You
two are quite a pair.

https://plague.com
83,867 confirmed cases
2,887 deaths
36,686 recovered

2,887 / 83,867 = 3.4% death rate
36,686 / 83,867 = 43.7% recovered

The 40% difference between the two precentages are those that are
currently ill, where there is no current determination as to whether
they will recover or die. With that large and uncertainty, the deathi
rate can be any number between 3.4% and 43.4%.

Just for the sake of argument, what would the death rate if there was say 100,000 mild cases that were never reported to anyone? Not likely but possible. If I were in China and had a mild case, I probably would not report it. What would reporting it do for me? I would expect there are a lot of unreported cases. Maybe enough unreported cases that the actual death rate is 2%.

You only need give that a small amount of thought to realize this is not possible. At least not if they are infectious. If there were large quantities of people who were infectious and roaming around without noticeable symptoms, then the new infection rate would not be reducing.

They had a strong immune system so did not have strong symptoms and they were only infectious for a few days.

And didn't infect many people. The catch is that they wouldn't have got infected after they'd had their brief infection, and the population wide infection rate wouldn't have gone up as fast as it did.

The catch with this kind of computer modelling, is that once an area has gone into lock-down, the transmission rate drops dramatically, and figuring that into your computer model is remarkably tricky.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 5:32:35 AM UTC+11, John S wrote:
On 2/28/2020 8:10 AM, Bill Sloman wrote:

I've provided you with the same link several times now, but while you can take horse's ass to water, you can't make him drink.

I don't think horses drink with their asses.

Do horses own asses?

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
Whoey Louie <trader4@optonline.net> wrote in
news:7d00a84a-75ef-4172-b5b2-4a00e1c88228@googlegroups.com:

On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 5:25:47 PM UTC-5,
DecadentLinux...@decadence.org wrote:
Whoey Louie <trader4@optonline.net> wrote in
news:93867bf8-0ac7-4853-8125-d6d5f5fb635f@googlegroups.com:

On Friday, February 28, 2020 at 12:52:09 PM UTC-5,
DecadentLinux...@decadence.org wrote:
edward.ming.lee@gmail.com wrote in
news:039d70f3-dc1a-4c4f-b7f8-07ee58bf23fc@googlegroups.com:

My point remains that in China all appearances indicate
they have the dis
ease under control.

Depends on who you listen to, a few days ago, in the
GuangDong region, even with cases dropped from 1300 down to
400 active (as they claimed). There were couple of nurses
asking for external helps, then immediately censored by the
government. Medical Censorship 2.0.


Could be 3.0. For all we know they did it on purpose.

Yes, that's very logical. Cripple their economy and start a
woldwide pandemic which will further screw their own economy,
on purpose.




Maybe they
have zones of their nation they do not like. They are
vindictive that way, you know... Communist governments.

Right, they decided to destroy Wuhan, which rather than being
some rebel dissident area is actually one of their main
manufacturing hubs producing everything from steel to high
tech.

Wrong, always wrong. And no expanding to stupid conspiracy
theories.



If the end result is that we all die and they live and get to
restart after, their 'new economy' is all good for them from then
on, and we are all gone. No where to go but up from there except
now everyone has home town genes.

Maybe you have problems grasping bigger picture views that
folks
like that have.

No, it's just that I don't just make up bizarre conspiracy
theories that have zero factual basis.

You obviously do not know how they think, nor what they think of
us.

Notice we illuminate them about their IP theft, and not
surprisingly nothing gets done about it for years running now.

And Trump was in India embracing and clueing us in on how he is now
going to allow China's Huawei products into our network fabric
infrasctructures. It does not get more stupid than Donald John
Trump, other than maybe his son, but you pull a close second if you
don't think that nations like China and Russia do not have it in for
us. The KGB still exists and China has ALWAYS been against us and
has ALWAYS been hacking us since before we even put them on the world
stage by putting mfg facilities in places they now control. Now,
they have the biggest bank in the world.

They run over their own with tanks. And you think the scenario I
mentioned is beyond them because you have no grasp of how it could be
a tactic. I never said it was. I merely stated that it could be.

That is when you showed your fucktarded ignorance... again.
 

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