C
Commander Kinsey
Guest
On Fri, 03 Apr 2020 02:56:32 +0100, Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:
No they didn't, or those markets wouldn't still be running.
> The problem isn't the hygiene, but rather the kind of meat sold. Eating a wide range of wild-animal meat exposes you to lots of zoonoses. The African enthusiasm for bush-meat is just as bad. And we got measles from cows.
Perhaps. I'm all for everyone becoming a vegetarian, much healthier.
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On Friday, April 3, 2020 at 2:02:51 AM UTC+11, Commander Kinsey wrote:
On Thu, 02 Apr 2020 15:59:31 +0100, <edward.ming.lee@gmail.com> wrote:
On Thursday, April 2, 2020 at 7:51:42 AM UTC-7, Commander Kinsey wrote:
On Mon, 30 Mar 2020 15:50:10 +0100, <jlarkin@highlandsniptechnology.com> wrote:
On Mon, 30 Mar 2020 09:43:12 +0100, Martin Brown
'''newspam'''@nezumi.demon.co.uk> wrote:
On 28/03/2020 02:41, jlarkin@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:
On Sat, 28 Mar 2020 01:27:07 +0000, Tom Gardner
spamjunk@blueyonder.co.uk> wrote:
On 27/03/20 22:38, jlarkin@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:
About 2.8 million people die in the US every year. 216K of those are
considered to be upper respiratory or flu/pneumonia. C19 has
officially killed 1544 so far.
The key phrase there is "so far".
US dailies are down slightly from yesterday, but the data is so noisy
that it will take a week or a month to really spot a trend. Some
european countries seem to have peaked. Different countries, even
neighbors, have very different patterns. There must be a lot of bad
data going around.
The only European country that might perhaps be close to peaking is
Italy but their health system is now so close to collapse that they are
airlifting some critical patients to German hospitals for ICU.
UK is expected to peak in May or June if the social distancing measures
are effective. Death rate peaks about two weeks after the daily
infection count reaches its highest point (typical residence time in
ICU). Fatalities will be much higher if ICU capacity is inadequate.
One thing you really should be worried by is that the US growth curve is
running ahead of Italy at the corresponding position. This is rather
surprising given that we know the sorts of things you should not do.
http://nrg.cs.ucl.ac.uk/mjh/covid19/#wn
That's the integral of cases, but the slopes are all declining.
Doubling time in the UK, Italy and Spain is presently 3 days. In the USA
it is 2 days and in Japan it is presently 8 days (though unclear how
much longer they can hold that line without taking further measures).
This site
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html
has good graphs, but is's getting too popular/slow lately.
It doesn't matter how many catch it, we know that 4% of people who get it die. So the absolute maximum death toll is 4% of the world. That's far preferable to the stupid over the top government restrictions which will see the world economy collapse and countless business go bankrupt. Why not just lock in the vulnerable (elderly etc) people and let everyone else just have a week's sick days off work if they happen to catch it? Because that's all most people get, 7 days of lying in bed.
Yes, sir:
4% to 6% die, but 20% to 30% get diminished lung capacities due to tissue damages. I think we should avoid it and control the damages.
What we should be doing is sending China the bill. That's TWICE they've sent out a virus due to unclean wet meat markets. TWICE. They clearly didn't learn from SARS.
They did. So did the countries that had trouble with SARS. We didn't.
No they didn't, or those markets wouldn't still be running.
> The problem isn't the hygiene, but rather the kind of meat sold. Eating a wide range of wild-animal meat exposes you to lots of zoonoses. The African enthusiasm for bush-meat is just as bad. And we got measles from cows.
Perhaps. I'm all for everyone becoming a vegetarian, much healthier.
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