B
Bill Sloman
Guest
On Saturday, March 21, 2020 at 12:53:00 AM UTC+11, jla...@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:
Sadly, that's not an insult but an obvious fact that you don't want to hear..
And if it doesn't, it will kill a few people who might not otherwise have died.
Virologists have a pretty exact idea of how the virus actually works - it's pretty similar to other corona viruses which have been around for years.
It's less lethal than MERS and SARS, and more lethal than the corona virus which accounts for about a quarter of the cases of the common cold.
What the drugs might be doing inside an infected cell is harder to work out, and the likeliest situation is that they aren't doing anything.
You claim to be an engineer, but look a lot more like a tinkerer. You can see what works, but figuring it out by writing down numbers and manipulating them doesn't seem to be your strong point.
The problem with exponential rates of growth is that what's a parts per million chance (46 ppm)right now could be a virtual certainty after 35 days.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
Singapore, Taiwan and Hong Kong acted fast enough to avoid an epidemic, and China seems to have contained the epidemic it had.
Italy doesn't seem to be doing quite as well.
How would I know I was dying? I could clearly be aware that I was sick, but doctors are much better at working out when a patient is going to die than the patient is, and the sick patient isn't going to be at their intellectual best, even if they did know what to look for.
--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
On Fri, 20 Mar 2020 13:46:30 +0100, David Brown
david.brown@hesbynett.no> wrote:
On 20/03/2020 00:19, jlarkin@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:
On Thu, 19 Mar 2020 15:56:58 -0700, Jeff Liebermann <jeffl@cruzio.com
wrote:
On Thu, 19 Mar 2020 12:40:07 -0400, Phil Hobbs
pcdhSpamMeSenseless@electrooptical.net> wrote:
Looks like chloroquine plus azithromycin knocks the Wu flu dead.
https://docs.google.com/document/d/e/2PACX-1vTi-g18ftNZUMRAj2SwRPodtscFio7bJ7GdNgbJAGbdfF67WuRJB3ZsidgpidB2eocFHAVjIL-7deJ7/pub
https://www.mediterranee-infection.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Hydroxychloroquine_final_DOI_IJAA.pdf
Hope it pans out on a large scale!
Me too, but there might be a political problem:
Why Hasnât Tony Fauci Been at the Coronavirus Press Conferences?
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/03/tony-fauci-at-coronavirus-press-conferences.html
Quoting...
One person who has expressed a more skeptical view of chloroquine is
task force member and immunologist Anthony Fauci, the veteran face of
the countryâs response to disease outbreaks. But Fauci has not
appeared at a press conference since Tuesday, when Trump said he had
become a major television star.
Fauci for the past two days had been saying that chloroquine is not a
miracle cure and that we still need to determine its safety.
Speaking to Laura Ingraham on Fox News on Tuesday, Fauci said, "We
have to be careful, Laura, that we donât assume something works based
on an anecdotal report thatâs not controlled. And I refer specifically
to hydroxychloroquine. Thereâs a lot of buzz out there on the internet
on the social media about that."
On Wednesday, he reiterated this message in an interview with CNNâs
Chris Cuomo, saying he supported large-scale clinical trials but was
against "just throwing the drug out there, which is not a good idea."
We don't have enough people really ill from C19 to have large-scale
clinical trials. We already know the drug is safe, so it's unlikely to
do any harm. Get a dozen sick people to volunteer and see what
happens.
Some adventurous doctors should do that now. It's available and legal
to prescribe.
It is conceivable that you are smart at electronics, but you really
haven't the faintest clue about anything related to this virus, medical
procedures, drugs, testing, etc.
You, like a lot of people here, switch to insults when they can't make
sense.
Sadly, that's not an insult but an obvious fact that you don't want to hear..
If these drugs work, and are unlikely to cause harm, why not
administer them now, to a goodly number of gravely ill people, and see
what happens. If it helps, we could be using these common drugs in
mass, within a month, and save lives.
And if it doesn't, it will kill a few people who might not otherwise have died.
Is it better to conduct careful clinical trials for a couple of years?
Nobody understands how this virus actually works, or why the drugs may
help. So try things and see what saves lives.
Virologists have a pretty exact idea of how the virus actually works - it's pretty similar to other corona viruses which have been around for years.
It's less lethal than MERS and SARS, and more lethal than the corona virus which accounts for about a quarter of the cases of the common cold.
What the drugs might be doing inside an infected cell is harder to work out, and the likeliest situation is that they aren't doing anything.
You are mostly harmless, in that no one takes you seriously in this
discussion - you are a target of ridicule, not a source of information.
I'm a engineer. Signals and systems and dynamics and measurement and
causality are my life. As in figuring out what works and doing it.
You claim to be an engineer, but look a lot more like a tinkerer. You can see what works, but figuring it out by writing down numbers and manipulating them doesn't seem to be your strong point.
The problem is you represent an unpleasantly large proportion of people
who are equally ignorant, thoughtless and selfish, with an equally
overinflated idea of their own competence. And the biggest problem the
USA faces is that they are lead by the prime example of this kind of
determined, paranoid idiocy.
So now any American doctors trying to do the right thing in testing
drugs on this virus are going to be pressured on one side by half-wit
politicians whose only concern is trying to look good on television, and
desperate relatives on the other side who want their sick relative cured
and don't care about anyone else.
I'd want my sick relative cured. I'd take those drugs if I got
seriously sick with this virus, which is a parts-per-million
probability just now.
The problem with exponential rates of growth is that what's a parts per million chance (46 ppm)right now could be a virtual certainty after 35 days.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
Singapore, Taiwan and Hong Kong acted fast enough to avoid an epidemic, and China seems to have contained the epidemic it had.
Italy doesn't seem to be doing quite as well.
If you were dying from a C19 infection, and were offered these drugs
now, before proper clinical trials were published and meta-analyzed,
would you take them?
How would I know I was dying? I could clearly be aware that I was sick, but doctors are much better at working out when a patient is going to die than the patient is, and the sick patient isn't going to be at their intellectual best, even if they did know what to look for.
--
Bill Sloman, Sydney