Coronavirus and the Heart

On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 13:17:55 -0700, jlarkin wrote:

That door was somehow inspired by a passage in Steppenwolf, which book I
never made it through.

Give it another shot. It's one of the most beautifully-written books I've
ever come across and well inside my personal top ten of novels.
 
On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 12:56:23 -0700, jlarkin wrote:

Of course not. But about 1/4 of the population will, and about all we
can do, at huge expense, is change when that happens.

I reckon at some stage we'll all be exposed to it as the economic
imperative will inevitably require. So best we build up a herd immunity.
Let the young people go out and spread it if they're happy to take the
risk. The quicker we reach that critical level for herd immunity, the
sooner we can all go back to - what will be anything but - normal.
 
On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 2:54:14 PM UTC-4, bitrex wrote:
On 4/26/2020 2:05 PM, Cursitor Doom wrote:
On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 10:01:30 -0700, jlarkin wrote:

What is the exit strategy for the economic lockdown?

Varies from country to country. The important thing is to NOT do anything
the WHO is demanding. Whatever they may or may not know about health,
their standpoint is indefensible economically.

A common, and probably silly, prediction is that there will be
oscillatory cycles of lockdown relief and re-infection, multiple peaks.
But however we relax lockdown, it will free some people to go out and
get infected.

It will keep frontline healthcare workers almost constantly at the point
of exhaustion (and beyond) for an indefinite period.

My big question: did/does lockdown net save lives? Or just prolong the
chaos? Or even cost lives?

They should have let the damn thing rip IMO. Yes, many of us would die
(and I'm at in an elevated risk group myself) but the dragged-out way
this is being handled is going to have damaging and even ruinous economic
consequences for a huge proportion of people all around the world.


The "let 'er rip" crowd demands the poor in the service industries get
out there and die for them at lil protest gatherings for 20 minutes and
then runs back home and hides and orders bougie take-out from GrubHub
and types opinions into the computer like real bad-asses.

Cowardice is a Liberal value
 
On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 4:26:54 PM UTC-4, Phil Hobbs wrote:
On 2020-04-26 16:17, jlarkin@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:

We took a walk yesterday in the old Bernal Cut, which is now San Jose
avenue. It's surprising how many of the overpaid downtown apartment
dwelling lumbersexual brogrammers never get away from the dense,
concrete, expensive parts of town.

https://www.dropbox.com/sh/82knlnruobhkkbo/AAAcl2Ten9zw6tA3G0IhEaPVa?dl=0

That door was somehow inspired by a passage in Steppenwolf, which book
I never made it through.



Neither did I.

I really liked "Magister Ludi" though.

I have both, haven't read either, but "Siddhartha" was a fave when I
read it, ages back.

Cheers,
James Arthur
 
On 4/26/2020 3:47 PM, jlarkin@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:
On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 14:54:12 -0400, bitrex <user@example.net> wrote:

On 4/26/2020 2:05 PM, Cursitor Doom wrote:
On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 10:01:30 -0700, jlarkin wrote:

What is the exit strategy for the economic lockdown?

Varies from country to country. The important thing is to NOT do anything
the WHO is demanding. Whatever they may or may not know about health,
their standpoint is indefensible economically.

A common, and probably silly, prediction is that there will be
oscillatory cycles of lockdown relief and re-infection, multiple peaks.
But however we relax lockdown, it will free some people to go out and
get infected.

It will keep frontline healthcare workers almost constantly at the point
of exhaustion (and beyond) for an indefinite period.

My big question: did/does lockdown net save lives? Or just prolong the
chaos? Or even cost lives?

They should have let the damn thing rip IMO. Yes, many of us would die
(and I'm at in an elevated risk group myself) but the dragged-out way
this is being handled is going to have damaging and even ruinous economic
consequences for a huge proportion of people all around the world.


The "let 'er rip" crowd demands the poor in the service industries get
out there and die for them at lil protest gatherings for 20 minutes and
then runs back home and hides and orders bougie take-out from GrubHub
and types opinions into the computer like real bad-asses.

Cowardice is a conservative value


Backwards. My liberal/progressive friends are terrified to leave home.
They won't even step inside our front door for free lemons; I leave a
baggie outside for them to pick up. My rare conservative pals are
going to work and not wearing masks. The huge range of fear and
not-fear is impressive.

There's a difference between courage and being a self-absorbed arrogant
ass.

Self-absorbed arrogant assess do tend to believe they're immortal and
are naturally surprised and amused that many others think they aren't.

Again, you fantasize people who don't actually exist, so you can mock
them. You seem to do that a lot.

Tough-talkin' arrogant asses are a dime a dozen.

Our occasional housekeeper lady isn't coming in now, but we are paying
her anyhow. How's that for conservative greed?

This one lemon is all it will take for tonight's lemon pie.

https://www.dropbox.com/s/lltg2xxmv38f903/Lemon_Calc.jpg?raw=1

This one, still on the tree, is about the size and shape of a small
pumpkin.

https://www.dropbox.com/s/1f5ux77p6o12w7k/Lemon-pumpkin.jpg?raw=1
 
On Monday, April 27, 2020 at 4:05:55 AM UTC+10, Cursitor Doom wrote:
On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 10:01:30 -0700, jlarkin wrote:

What is the exit strategy for the economic lockdown?

Varies from country to country. The important thing is to NOT do anything
the WHO is demanding. Whatever they may or may not know about health,
their standpoint is indefensible economically.

WHO is not supposed to worry about economics.Their interest is in human health.

A common, and probably silly, prediction is that there will be
oscillatory cycles of lockdown relief and re-infection, multiple peaks.
But however we relax lockdown, it will free some people to go out and
get infected.

It will keep frontline healthcare workers almost constantly at the point
of exhaustion (and beyond) for an indefinite period.

It shouldn't. You should relax lock-down until you are reasonably confident that there aren't any infections people running around within your community. You may be wrong, in which case you will have to find all the contacts for the new infectious person and quarantine them all for 14 day, but that isn't re-imposing lockdown.

Australia has just released the CovidSafe app for mobile phones, which would automate the contact-finding task.

My big question: did/does lockdown net save lives? Or just prolong the
chaos? Or even cost lives?

John Larkin doesn't read and probably couldn't understand if he did read.

China did lockdown, and seems to have got away with 4,633 deaths. The US didn't do it right and has had 55,413 deaths so far (with a smaller population to infect). Australia has had 83 deaths and is unlikely to have all that many more - it has a smaller population than the US but that is 3 deaths per 1 million people (same as China), and the US is at 167 and rising.

> They should have let the damn thing rip IMO.

Cursitor Doom's opinion is as worthless as ever.

> Yes, many of us would die (and I'm at in an elevated risk group myself) but the dragged-out way this is being handled is going to have damaging and even ruinous economic consequences for a huge proportion of people all around the world.

When lock-down is badly handled, as happening in the US, each new case seems to be able to infect close to one new victim on average, and it doesn't anything more than prolong the epidemic at a level the health services can cope with.

If it is done properly - as it seems to have been in China and is in Australia, the each new case has (on average) a 50% change of less of infecting a new victim, and the number of new cases per day drops rapidly. Contact tracing can concentrate on getting all the contacts of the most recent diagnosed case into isolation before they have much of chance to infect anybody else.

That way you only need to lock down for a month or six weeks. If you do contact tracing right - as in South Korea - you don't seem to need lock down at all. South Korea has only had 5 deaths per million inhabitants.

That kind of response isn't economically ruinous, nor anything like it. The US response is both killing people and wrecking the economy. It's best described as incompetent.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 1:01:45 PM UTC-4, jla...@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:

My big question: did/does lockdown net save lives? Or just prolong the
chaos? Or even cost lives?

Costs lives. It doesn't save people from dying, only changes the date.
Plus it adds lots of deaths from previously preventable causes.

Cheers,
James Arthur
 
On 4/26/2020 9:48 PM, Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 18:43:09 -0400, bitrex <user@example.net> wrote:

The virus has certainly taken on near-mythological properties that are a
bit much for even this "leftist" to swallow.

Yep, along with an impressive number of scientific publications on the
topic:
https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=covid+19
163,000 hits in the last 100 days or so.

"subtle internal organ damage" happens all the time from many causes and
is repaired. Even more serious impact on internal organs occurs from
e.g. starvation! Holocaust survivors eating starvation-rations for
months and years isn't good for the internal organs either but as far as
it's been studied long-term mortality among survivors doesn't appear
particularly worse than the general population:

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2720067

Thanks. That article will be handy.

I would agree that the long term effects of a starvation diet did not
produce Holocaust survivors that would drop dead randomly from "subtle
internal organ damage". Both my parents and my step mother were
survivors of various camps in Poland. My father died at age 86, my
mother at 53, and my step mother at 80. Various relatives mostly made
it into their 80's, with a few exceptions dying much earlier.

When I lived in Smog Angeles, my parents (and I) were members of what
was then called "The 1939 Club". It's now called "The 1939 Society".
https://www.the1939society.org
and was at the time composed mostly of Polish Holocaust survivors.
Through this organization, I met many other Holocaust survivors. They
are now long dead, but as I recall, most were quite old (70's and
80's) when they died. The few exceptions that died earlier, such as
my mother, had something in common. All died from various
cardiovascular problems. What happened was they mostly came from the
Krakow or Katowice area of southern Poland. Prior to 1939, the lower
classes didn't travel much and tended to live in ghettos. The result
was substantial inbreeding, which tended to bring out the worst in
hereditary maladies. In my case and my extended family, it was heart
and circulatory problems. Without those problems, I'm sure those that
died early would have lived as long as the others.

A friend of mine from college was diagnosed in his late 20s with one of
the diseases that's more common among Ashkenazi Jews, Behcet syndrome.
Sounds dreadful, he had regular conjunctivitis, bleeding mouth/lip
ulcers and painful sores, fatigue so you have to sleep 14 hours a day.

Nothing worked too good except high doses of prednisone/steroids and
painkillers, but the recent drug Humira seemed to be an almost miracle
cure for him.
 
On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 1:26:12 PM UTC-4, Ricky C wrote:
On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 1:01:45 PM UTC-4, jla...@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:
On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 07:55:23 -0700 (PDT),
bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com wrote:

Just because someone self-reports their virus infection was asymptomatic doesn't mean it actually was. The majority don't have a clue about the kinds of more subtle damage that can occur. They could have suffered internal organ damage that will develop into serious chronic illness later in time, maybe decades. It is more likely than not that many of the millions people who have been "exposed" are damaged in some way.
Then this idea of hypersensitivity and disease enhancement, observed repeatedly with corona virus infection over decades of study, could and likely does explain the so-called higher mortality "second wave" fiasco expected in fall 2020/ winter 2021.

What is the exit strategy for the economic lockdown?

A common, and probably silly, prediction is that there will be
oscillatory cycles of lockdown relief and re-infection, multiple
peaks. But however we relax lockdown, it will free some people to go
out and get infected.

My big question: did/does lockdown net save lives? Or just prolong the
chaos? Or even cost lives?

Compared to what? What do you think will be the outcome if we do nothing? Once you have that, then we can consider approaches that may be better.

So what is your expectation if we do nothing and how did you come to the result?

--

The choice is not between doing nothing and doing a lockdown. The choice is between doing everything possible except having a lockdown and doing a lockdown as well as everything else. Having a lockdown means about 30 million people will still be working and 300 million will be unemployed.

Dan
Rick C.

- Get 1,000 miles of free Supercharging
- Tesla referral code - https://ts.la/richard11209
 
On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 18:43:09 -0400, bitrex <user@example.net> wrote:

The virus has certainly taken on near-mythological properties that are a
bit much for even this "leftist" to swallow.

Yep, along with an impressive number of scientific publications on the
topic:
<https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=covid+19>
163,000 hits in the last 100 days or so.

"subtle internal organ damage" happens all the time from many causes and
is repaired. Even more serious impact on internal organs occurs from
e.g. starvation! Holocaust survivors eating starvation-rations for
months and years isn't good for the internal organs either but as far as
it's been studied long-term mortality among survivors doesn't appear
particularly worse than the general population:

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2720067

Thanks. That article will be handy.

I would agree that the long term effects of a starvation diet did not
produce Holocaust survivors that would drop dead randomly from "subtle
internal organ damage". Both my parents and my step mother were
survivors of various camps in Poland. My father died at age 86, my
mother at 53, and my step mother at 80. Various relatives mostly made
it into their 80's, with a few exceptions dying much earlier.

When I lived in Smog Angeles, my parents (and I) were members of what
was then called "The 1939 Club". It's now called "The 1939 Society".
<https://www.the1939society.org>
and was at the time composed mostly of Polish Holocaust survivors.
Through this organization, I met many other Holocaust survivors. They
are now long dead, but as I recall, most were quite old (70's and
80's) when they died. The few exceptions that died earlier, such as
my mother, had something in common. All died from various
cardiovascular problems. What happened was they mostly came from the
Krakow or Katowice area of southern Poland. Prior to 1939, the lower
classes didn't travel much and tended to live in ghettos. The result
was substantial inbreeding, which tended to bring out the worst in
hereditary maladies. In my case and my extended family, it was heart
and circulatory problems. Without those problems, I'm sure those that
died early would have lived as long as the others.


--
Jeff Liebermann jeffl@cruzio.com
150 Felker St #D http://www.LearnByDestroying.com
Santa Cruz CA 95060 http://802.11junk.com
Skype: JeffLiebermann AE6KS 831-336-2558
 
dagmargoodboat@yahoo.com wrote in
news:ba5b933a-8f72-43f9-a8e3-b093f0b01158@googlegroups.com:

On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 1:01:45 PM UTC-4,
jla...@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:

My big question: did/does lockdown net save lives? Or just
prolong the chaos? Or even cost lives?

Costs lives. It doesn't save people from dying, only changes the
date. Plus it adds lots of deaths from previously preventable
causes.

Cheers,
James Arthur

Well if that is the case then we should shut everything including the
food infrastructure and whomever survives that gets what's left.

You Dr.Phil mentality idiots are fucked in the head.
 
On 4/26/2020 10:16 PM, DecadentLinuxUserNumeroUno@decadence.org wrote:
dagmargoodboat@yahoo.com wrote in
news:ba5b933a-8f72-43f9-a8e3-b093f0b01158@googlegroups.com:

On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 1:01:45 PM UTC-4,
jla...@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:

My big question: did/does lockdown net save lives? Or just
prolong the chaos? Or even cost lives?

Costs lives. It doesn't save people from dying, only changes the
date. Plus it adds lots of deaths from previously preventable
causes.

Cheers,
James Arthur

Well if that is the case then we should shut everything including the
food infrastructure and whomever survives that gets what's left.

You Dr.Phil mentality idiots are fucked in the head.

James Arthur is the definition of "arrogant ass."
 
On Monday, April 27, 2020 at 4:28:13 AM UTC+10, jla...@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:
On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 18:05:51 -0000 (UTC), Cursitor Doom
cd@not4mail.com> wrote:

On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 10:01:30 -0700, jlarkin wrote:

What is the exit strategy for the economic lockdown?

Varies from country to country. The important thing is to NOT do anything
the WHO is demanding. Whatever they may or may not know about health,
their standpoint is indefensible economically.

A common, and probably silly, prediction is that there will be
oscillatory cycles of lockdown relief and re-infection, multiple peaks..
But however we relax lockdown, it will free some people to go out and
get infected.

It will keep frontline healthcare workers almost constantly at the point
of exhaustion (and beyond) for an indefinite period.

My big question: did/does lockdown net save lives? Or just prolong the
chaos? Or even cost lives?

They should have let the damn thing rip IMO. Yes, many of us would die
(and I'm at in an elevated risk group myself) but the dragged-out way
this is being handled is going to have damaging and even ruinous economic
consequences for a huge proportion of people all around the world.

Yes, especially the poorest places where people were already
struggling to keep themselves and their kids alive.

The kids don't seem to get Covid-19 all that often, and it rarely kills them if they do get it. Their parents are more vulnerable.

Assuming that this is not just another seasonal cold, voluntary
distancing and sanitation would be effective; enough people are
terrified for that to mostly work.

We do keep explaining to John Larkin that this isn't just another seasonal cold - it kills many more people than that, as he should have been able to work out from the news from New York.

The US levels of lock-down are clearly inadequate

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

The new cases per day number has stuck around 30,000 for nearly a month now.. Evem Italy has finally contrived to do better.

Shutting down the world economy for
some indefinite time is doing a great deal of harm that will outlast
this epidemic. This is not about "profit", it's about survival.

The US has managed to impose a lock down which is effective enough to ruin it's economy without being effective enough to stop the epidemic.

> Again, I have seen no coherent plan for an exit strategy.

China and South Korea have both managed to execute effective exit strategies, but John Larkin has managed to fail to see either of them.

Australia's new case per day rate is now a factor of twenty smaller than it was at it's peak, a month ago, and the government is starting to talk about beginning to relax lock down. It has also just released the CovidSafe mobile phone application to automate contact tracing. I've already got it on my phone.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/australia/

Some places will extend the lockdown, some will go back to work soon, some hav never locked down. Maybe some will lock down until there is a vaccine,
in a year or two or never. We'll have data one day.

And John Larkin will fail to recognise what it means then too.

Prediction: this will increase migration from the big urban centers,
especially US northeast, to lower density states. This will increase
economic inequality.

As a prediction this really doesn't cut the mustard. The immediate effect of such a migration - from heavily Covid-19 infected areas to less infected areas - would be to spread the plague. The US already has a remarkably high level of economic inequality for an advanced industrial country, and moving people around isn't goig to make much of a difference - the problem seems to be in it's political system, which is currently managing the country's response to the Covid-19 epidemic spectacularly badly. Whether the population is gong to wake up to this - John Larkin clearly hasn't - and decides to do something about it is not something I'd care to try to predict.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 3:34:26 PM UTC-4, jla...@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:
On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 14:58:18 -0400, bitrex <user@example.net> wrote:

On 4/26/2020 2:51 PM, jlarkin@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:
On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 11:28:03 -0700, jlarkin@highlandsniptechnology.com
wrote:

On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 18:05:51 -0000 (UTC), Cursitor Doom
cd@not4mail.com> wrote:

On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 10:01:30 -0700, jlarkin wrote:

What is the exit strategy for the economic lockdown?

Varies from country to country. The important thing is to NOT do anything
the WHO is demanding. Whatever they may or may not know about health,
their standpoint is indefensible economically.

A common, and probably silly, prediction is that there will be
oscillatory cycles of lockdown relief and re-infection, multiple peaks.
But however we relax lockdown, it will free some people to go out and
get infected.

It will keep frontline healthcare workers almost constantly at the point
of exhaustion (and beyond) for an indefinite period.

My big question: did/does lockdown net save lives? Or just prolong the
chaos? Or even cost lives?

They should have let the damn thing rip IMO. Yes, many of us would die
(and I'm at in an elevated risk group myself) but the dragged-out way
this is being handled is going to have damaging and even ruinous economic
consequences for a huge proportion of people all around the world.

Yes, especially the poorest places where people were already
struggling to keep themselves and their kids alive.

Assuming that this is not just another seasonal cold, voluntary
distancing and sanitation would be effective; enough people are
terrified for that to mostly work. Shutting down the world economy for
some indefinite time is doing a great deal of harm that will outlast
this epidemic. This is not about "profit", it's about survival.

Again, I have seen no coherent plan for an exit strategy. Some places
will extend the lockdown, some will go back to work soon, some have
never locked down. Maybe some will lock down until there is a vaccine,
in a year or two or never. We'll have data one day.

Prediction: this will increase migration from the big urban centers,
especially US northeast, to lower density states. This will increase
economic inequality.


Darn, I thought I had made an original observation.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/people-were-leaving-new-york-city-before-the-coronavirus-now-what-11587916800

https://news.trust.org/item/20200426145150-ho68p


Ya, people sometimes leave the city with one of the highest
costs-of-living on the planet, go figure. You don't have to move to
Nebraska to live better on a smaller budget, though.

I wonder why companies keep packing offices and employees into places
where a tiny 1br apartment costs 3K a month, and taxes and hassle are
high. Maybe over-funded startups figure that's where the glitz is.

I would have agreed with you at one time, but my nephew lives in Houston and I can see why he likes it. Companies locate in the popular cities because that is where the talented people want to live. If they locate to a rural area, people move there for the job, but only as long as they are ok making the various sacrifices.

You make it sound like property costs are high driving people away. It's the opposite, property costs are high because people want to be there so much they are willing to pay the premium.

--

Rick C.

+ Get 1,000 miles of free Supercharging
+ Tesla referral code - https://ts.la/richard11209
 
On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 3:47:44 PM UTC-4, jla...@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:
On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 14:54:12 -0400, bitrex <user@example.net> wrote:

On 4/26/2020 2:05 PM, Cursitor Doom wrote:
On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 10:01:30 -0700, jlarkin wrote:

What is the exit strategy for the economic lockdown?

Varies from country to country. The important thing is to NOT do anything
the WHO is demanding. Whatever they may or may not know about health,
their standpoint is indefensible economically.

A common, and probably silly, prediction is that there will be
oscillatory cycles of lockdown relief and re-infection, multiple peaks.
But however we relax lockdown, it will free some people to go out and
get infected.

It will keep frontline healthcare workers almost constantly at the point
of exhaustion (and beyond) for an indefinite period.

My big question: did/does lockdown net save lives? Or just prolong the
chaos? Or even cost lives?

They should have let the damn thing rip IMO. Yes, many of us would die
(and I'm at in an elevated risk group myself) but the dragged-out way
this is being handled is going to have damaging and even ruinous economic
consequences for a huge proportion of people all around the world.


The "let 'er rip" crowd demands the poor in the service industries get
out there and die for them at lil protest gatherings for 20 minutes and
then runs back home and hides and orders bougie take-out from GrubHub
and types opinions into the computer like real bad-asses.

Cowardice is a conservative value


Backwards. My liberal/progressive friends are terrified to leave home.
They won't even step inside our front door for free lemons; I leave a
baggie outside for them to pick up. My rare conservative pals are
going to work and not wearing masks. The huge range of fear and
not-fear is impressive.

You have explained it perfectly. Your friends who care about keeping safe know how you don't seem to have much regard for this disease and recognize you as high risk.

Your friends who have less regard for keeping safe appear to also be disregarding safe practices. Then we wonder why our death and infection rates aren't dropping. Do you have any idea why that may be Larkin?

Of course you don't. You believe this disease goes away when the Coronavirus ferry visits and ramps the disease down.

--

Rick C.

-- Get 1,000 miles of free Supercharging
-- Tesla referral code - https://ts.la/richard11209
 
On Monday, April 27, 2020 at 12:06:47 PM UTC+10, dca...@krl.org wrote:
On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 1:26:12 PM UTC-4, Ricky C wrote:
On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 1:01:45 PM UTC-4, jla...@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:
On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 07:55:23 -0700 (PDT),
bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com wrote:

Just because someone self-reports their virus infection was asymptomatic doesn't mean it actually was. The majority don't have a clue about the kinds of more subtle damage that can occur. They could have suffered internal organ damage that will develop into serious chronic illness later in time, maybe decades. It is more likely than not that many of the millions people who have been "exposed" are damaged in some way.
Then this idea of hypersensitivity and disease enhancement, observed repeatedly with corona virus infection over decades of study, could and likely does explain the so-called higher mortality "second wave" fiasco expected in fall 2020/ winter 2021.

What is the exit strategy for the economic lockdown?

A common, and probably silly, prediction is that there will be
oscillatory cycles of lockdown relief and re-infection, multiple
peaks. But however we relax lockdown, it will free some people to go
out and get infected.

My big question: did/does lockdown net save lives? Or just prolong the
chaos? Or even cost lives?

Compared to what? What do you think will be the outcome if we do nothing? Once you have that, then we can consider approaches that may be better..

So what is your expectation if we do nothing and how did you come to the result?

--

The choice is not between doing nothing and doing a lockdown. The choice is between doing everything possible except having a lockdown and doing a lockdown as well as everything else. Having a lockdown means about 30 million people will still be working and 300 million will be unemployed.

There's also a choice between locking down hard enough to stop the epidemic in about six weeks - which China and Australia seem to have managed - or not doing well enough as Italy did for quite while and the US seems to be doing at the moment.

The is a third choice - the one made by South Korea - which was to forego lock down but rather to do for really enthusiastic contact tracing and the isolation (for 14 days from contact) of potentially infected people. That does seem to have worked.

They currently have had 209 cases and five deaths per million population.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On 2020-04-27, dcaster@krl.org <dcaster@krl.org> wrote:
On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 1:26:12 PM UTC-4, Ricky C wrote:
On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 1:01:45 PM UTC-4, jla...@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:
On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 07:55:23 -0700 (PDT),
bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com wrote:

Just because someone self-reports their virus infection was asymptomatic doesn't mean it actually was. The majority don't have a clue about the kinds of more subtle damage that can occur. They could have suffered internal organ damage that will develop into serious chronic illness later in time, maybe decades. It is more likely than not that many of the millions people who have been "exposed" are damaged in some way.
Then this idea of hypersensitivity and disease enhancement, observed repeatedly with corona virus infection over decades of study, could and likely does explain the so-called higher mortality "second wave" fiasco expected in fall 2020/ winter 2021.

What is the exit strategy for the economic lockdown?

A common, and probably silly, prediction is that there will be
oscillatory cycles of lockdown relief and re-infection, multiple
peaks. But however we relax lockdown, it will free some people to go
out and get infected.

My big question: did/does lockdown net save lives? Or just prolong the
chaos? Or even cost lives?

Compared to what? What do you think will be the outcome if we do nothing? Once you have that, then we can consider approaches that may be better.

So what is your expectation if we do nothing and how did you come to the result?

--

The choice is not between doing nothing and doing a lockdown. The
choice is between doing everything possible except having a lockdown
and doing a lockdown as well as everything else. Having a lockdown
means about 30 million people will still be working and 300 million
will be unemployed.

90% (ish) sitting idle seems quite high, where did this estimate come
from?

--
Jasen.
 
On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 8:44:54 PM UTC-4, Michael Terrell wrote:
Cowardice is a Liberal value

That certainly leaves a lot of room for a meeting of the minds. And we wonder why this country is so divided. It seems a lot more clear now.

--

Rick C.

-- Get 1,000 miles of free Supercharging
-- Tesla referral code - https://ts.la/richard11209
 
On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 17:44:51 -0700 (PDT), Michael Terrell
<terrell.michael.a@gmail.com> wrote:

On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 2:54:14 PM UTC-4, bitrex wrote:
On 4/26/2020 2:05 PM, Cursitor Doom wrote:
On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 10:01:30 -0700, jlarkin wrote:

What is the exit strategy for the economic lockdown?

Varies from country to country. The important thing is to NOT do anything
the WHO is demanding. Whatever they may or may not know about health,
their standpoint is indefensible economically.

A common, and probably silly, prediction is that there will be
oscillatory cycles of lockdown relief and re-infection, multiple peaks.
But however we relax lockdown, it will free some people to go out and
get infected.

It will keep frontline healthcare workers almost constantly at the point
of exhaustion (and beyond) for an indefinite period.

My big question: did/does lockdown net save lives? Or just prolong the
chaos? Or even cost lives?

They should have let the damn thing rip IMO. Yes, many of us would die
(and I'm at in an elevated risk group myself) but the dragged-out way
this is being handled is going to have damaging and even ruinous economic
consequences for a huge proportion of people all around the world.


The "let 'er rip" crowd demands the poor in the service industries get
out there and die for them at lil protest gatherings for 20 minutes and
then runs back home and hides and orders bougie take-out from GrubHub
and types opinions into the computer like real bad-asses.



Cowardice is a Liberal value

I think so. Leftists want to be insured and protected.





--

John Larkin Highland Technology, Inc

Science teaches us to doubt.

Claude Bernard
 
On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 9:27:39 PM UTC-4, dagmarg...@yahoo.com wrote:
On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 1:01:45 PM UTC-4, jla...@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:

My big question: did/does lockdown net save lives? Or just prolong the
chaos? Or even cost lives?

Costs lives. It doesn't save people from dying, only changes the date.
Plus it adds lots of deaths from previously preventable causes.

Cheers,
James Arthur

If people took the disease seriously the lock down has the potential for essentially ridding the country of the disease. Look at China and Norway. But that won't happen unless everyone participates. Well, at least all the people who aren't in hospitals and the morgues.

--

Rick C.

-+ Get 1,000 miles of free Supercharging
-+ Tesla referral code - https://ts.la/richard11209
 

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