R
Rob Dekker
Guest
"The Trucker" <mikcob@verizon.net> wrote in message news
an.2008.08.13.15.38.29.259486@verizon.net...
The promising biofuel segment of fuel production from biomass is very, very small right now.
Here is an example plant (in Germany) :
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/3938#more
Unfortunately, this process in still not cost effective (even though the biomass is free, the plant still looses money).
With that free enterprise will not jump on it....
And remember that it would require a monumental increase (think hundreds of such $100M+ plants) to even compensate for 1 million
barrels/day of oil.
So I don't see how biofuel can compensate for the adsurtly immense requirements of the US ICE engines.
That goes with an efficiency of 20% (or maybe 30% for diesels).
But 30% of 8% is an overall photons->wheel power efficiency of less than 3%.
It's going to be very difficult to make that process cost-effective.
to the Dimitrov limit of 5,000 gallons/acre/year.
That means that a cost-efficient algae plant thus needs to be very cheap (open/closed ponds of plastic foil tubing).
Did you see any large-scale algae experimental plant already that matches that criterium ?
We are gonna need a LOT of these plants (the ones that are currently not there, and not cost-efficient in their pilot versions) to
make any dent in the 20+ million barrels/day that the US uses. Maybe we should do something on the 'consumption' side (with EVs and
PHEVs) ?
Or simply google for a search string of interest and include the 'patent' keyword.
On Tue, 12 Aug 2008 19:36:15 -0700, John Larkin wrote:
On Tue, 12 Aug 2008 19:01:41 -0700, "Rob Dekker" <rob@verific.com
wrote:
"John Larkin" <jjlarkin@highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote in message news:rja4a4h09trf53mdoh6jbjdac0pjam04pj@4ax.com...
On Tue, 12 Aug 2008 17:17:24 -0700, "Rob Dekker" <rob@verific.com
wrote:
"John Larkin" <jjlarkin@highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote in message news:5r04a4d87bh0u33c9ka5ns617r62fg03tn@4ax.com...
On Tue, 12 Aug 2008 04:28:03 -0700, "Rob Dekker" <rob@verific.com
wrote:
There are just an amazing amount of new battery possibilities when vehicles
finally move away from the inefficient, polluting, and heavy ICEs, and
towards an era of clean electric drive.
Except that everything else, so far, is less efficient, more
polluting, and heavier. Not to mention way more expensive.
This is not true.
Electric drive is 4X more efficient (not even counting regenerative braking), zero-pollution at the tailpipe (it has none), and
is
much lighter than an ICE.
Only if the electricity magically comes from somewhere free, and you
lug enough batteries for 20 miles of travel.
But the electricity sas to be generated somewhere, at thermal
efficiency levels. Transport, chargers, and batteries throw a bunch of
it away. Batteries are heavy and full of nasty chemicals.
More expensive ? Prototypes are always more expensive.
But let's see :
ICE : Complicated engine with lots of rotating and moving parts, with oil + water cooling system, with emission control (incl
catalytic converter with precious metals), with transmission and a differential and exhaust system and a massive amount of
pipes
and sensors.
And it all works great. I can load up 200 HP-hours worth of energy in
about 2 minutes at a gas pump. That's about a 5 megawatt equivalent
charging rate. And I can drive coast-to-coast on about an hour of pit
stops.
You seem to confuse electric drive with EVs.
Electric drive with a small auxiliry power unit will give you all the benefits of the current gasoline (or another fuel)
infrastructure.
Like in the Volt (the only model with electric drive that GM actually has a plan for)....
Stuff like this has been "planned" for decades. I'll be impressed whan
quantities of them are on the road.
A plug-in hybrid does make sense for city drivers. But small, light
cars make sense no matter what propels them. A small, light
gasoline-powered car may make the most sense.
The external costs of the fuel do not appear in the price. And if these
costs were part of the price then biofuels would be the best current
alternative. This is true here in the USA because we actually have the
land necessary to produce that fuel and it is land that is not currently
serving any good purpose or land that is serving a purpose that is not as
environmentally and economically valid as it would be if devoted to fuel
production. An example of this latter case is the production of paper
that ends up in the land fills as trash. We could do with a bit less
paper and use the pulp trees to make fuel. That is probably a good trade.
I hope so. But there is a lot of work to do.Sometimes I get into my Rabbit in the morning, start it up, drive away
5 seconds later, turn on the radio and the heater, ignore the steep
hills and the cold rain, and marvel at the whole process. And that
hundreds of millions of other working people can afford to do the same
thing.
Yes. me too.
The ICE has served us greatly over the past 100 years that oil was abundant and cheap, and the engineering advances made are
magnificent.
The ICE also enabled an astounding economic growth that we (as the people of this planet) have created for ourselves.
It also created a number of really big problems, which start to become apparent, increasingly difficult and pressing as well as
more
and more expensive.
More expensive for individuals, as well as nations, as well as the planet's eco systems.
It's time for change (before another 2 billion people join in our lifestyle).
Electric drive : a few melon-size electric motor/generators and a power control unit.
Add a small (40hp) auxiliry power unit and you drive a 80mpg vehicle.
Mmmm. What would be cheaper in mass production ?
What *is* cheaper?
Want to bet ?
In mass production, I want to bet that electric drive is significantly cheaper to produce than ICEs.
If electric cars are cheaper and more efficient,
why aren't they popular? Conspiracy?
John, I don't believe in conspiracies. In a free market the most cost efficient solution wins. But big changes take time.
The incentives are there now (to start moving to electric drive, away from oil and towards electricity), but only for the last
couple of years.
Also the political will to change (to start moving away from oil and fossil fuels) has not been there.
We are just getting started (with PHEVs).
This process is going to take a while (to move vehicles away from oil and towards electricity).
15-20 years is my estimate.
And biofuels are a big part of that which fills the gap.
The promising biofuel segment of fuel production from biomass is very, very small right now.
Here is an example plant (in Germany) :
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/3938#more
Unfortunately, this process in still not cost effective (even though the biomass is free, the plant still looses money).
With that free enterprise will not jump on it....
And remember that it would require a monumental increase (think hundreds of such $100M+ plants) to even compensate for 1 million
barrels/day of oil.
So I don't see how biofuel can compensate for the adsurtly immense requirements of the US ICE engines.
The problem (with algae oil or another liquid biofuel) is also that it needs to be burned in an ICE before it powers the wheels.Batteries cost ?
If you are an average American, you spend around $3,000/year in gasoline right now.
I bet that for $3,000/year you can lease a top-of-the-line battery pack. Even at current low-volume prices.
What is cheaper ?
What is cleaner ?
What is more efficient ?
What is better prepared for the post Peak-Oil era that we just entered ?
The peak oil point is always 10 years away.
That is impossible.
Oil will peak at some point if it did not already.
Hey, build yourself an electric car and save a bundle. There are lots
of conversion kits on the market.
I might just do that, although retrofits are very seldom cost-effective.
I pretty much have to throw away half the vehicle (ICE/drivetrain etc etc you know it).
And the other half (chassis) got crumbled on I 238 last week(
There just aren't any good batteries.
After all we talked about, this is what you say ?
It seems to me that you have made up your mind on this subject.
Where's the great battery? I suspect a really good auto battery may be
impossible.
Biodiesel is one super duper battery. The shelf life is really good and
the weight is not all that bad for the energy content. The photosynthesis
is a the way you charge the battery. We need better algae that can get
20% efficiency as opposed to 8%.
That goes with an efficiency of 20% (or maybe 30% for diesels).
But 30% of 8% is an overall photons->wheel power efficiency of less than 3%.
It's going to be very difficult to make that process cost-effective.
We talked about this. Algae plants will not be much more efficient than open ponds, around 2,000-3,000 gallons/acre/year. Maybe upThere was some promising research on
this and some folks observing less than 8 photons to cause proper
reactions and then .... nothing. There were some dudes shifting light
wavelengths from blue to yellow red and that seems to have gone also.
Nothing is happening that I can find.
to the Dimitrov limit of 5,000 gallons/acre/year.
That means that a cost-efficient algae plant thus needs to be very cheap (open/closed ponds of plastic foil tubing).
Did you see any large-scale algae experimental plant already that matches that criterium ?
We are gonna need a LOT of these plants (the ones that are currently not there, and not cost-efficient in their pilot versions) to
make any dent in the 20+ million barrels/day that the US uses. Maybe we should do something on the 'consumption' side (with EVs and
PHEVs) ?
Try http://www.freepatentsonline.comHow do I search (like google) the patent data to find stuff like this?
Or simply google for a search string of interest and include the 'patent' keyword.
--
"I know no safe depository of the ultimate powers
of society but the people themselves; and
if we think them not enlightened enough to
exercise their control with a wholesome
discretion, the remedy is not to take it from
them, but to inform their discretion by
education." - Thomas Jefferson
http://GreaterVoice.org/extend