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On Sun, 26 Apr 2020 22:59:56 -0700 (PDT), dagmargoodboat@yahoo.com
wrote:
And, in Australia, Winter Is Coming.
--
John Larkin Highland Technology, Inc
Science teaches us to doubt.
Claude Bernard
wrote:
On Sunday, April 26, 2020 at 11:58:18 PM UTC-4, Clifford Heath wrote:
On 27/4/20 1:13 pm, dagmargoodboat@yahoo.com wrote:
On Wednesday, April 22, 2020 at 10:27:13 PM UTC-4, Clifford Heath wrote:
The problem is that unlike almost any other disease, it progresses
through most of the body without causing symptoms, but after that when
it goes to the lungs, it either dies out there and you recover, or
triggers a cytokine storm that kills you slowly. That's an *immune*
dysfunction, which is also what kills in ebola. You simply don't get
that with the flu.
Severe acute respiratory syndrome is a dread condition, no question.
Anyhow I think the fear is justified, because this is basically Russian
Roulette - nobody is safe.
I posted a graphic from your Dept. of Health that, I believe, demonstrates
that nearly everyone is safe. Nearly everyone can handle SARS-CoV2 if
they get it, and with decent hygiene, nearly every one can avoid it if
they choose, while living a basically (normal life) + (washing their
hands and not touching their faces).
If you're on the edge, the Chinese Red Death will push you off. But
otherwise, it's overwhelmingly a disease of the superannuated and infirm.
So, we protect those people, diligently. That's important. But locking
up healthy people doesn't accomplish that.
Well, that's almost certainly true now in the USA, because of a lack of
leadership and common sense.
Here in Australia (and other places like NZ, that put the right
restrictions in place quickly enough) we can eradicate the disease
entirely. We are already considering how to start opening up a little
after only a month shut down.
I expect that we will have free travel to NZ at least before the end of
the year. And that next year we will again resume the flood of foreign
(mostly Chinese) students - albeit with a mandatory quarantine period on
arrival. Living expenses for foreign students constitutes our 3rd latest
export - and the bigger exports haven't stopped (mining, gas).
But you and I part on a critical assumption -- that quarantining healthy
people stops the illness. It doesn't.
It has done so here, unquestionably.
You've delayed disease, sure. But it's still there.
And, in Australia, Winter Is Coming.
--
John Larkin Highland Technology, Inc
Science teaches us to doubt.
Claude Bernard