OT: Eco-Warrior Gets Pwned by Veteran News Presenter!

On Thursday, May 2, 2019 at 11:55:20 PM UTC+10, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote
(in article<5111a288-f1da-4b86-9b2f-b42eb85de137@googlegroups.com>):

On Wednesday, May 1, 2019 at 7:01:27 PM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 1, 2019, bill.sloman@ieee.org wrote

When the journal's publisher declined to fire the editor concerned, the
editorial board all resigned in protest, and at that point the publisher
got
the message.

Coercion does work, then.

Deciding to associate (or resign in protest) is normal social interaction,
and not 'coercion'.

Ten years later we now know that the Hiatus was and remains real,
and...... I am not convinced that we today understand the mechanism or
more likely mechanisms well enough to support any bold predictions. As
science articles always end, more research is needed.

Twaddle. ...

Matter of opinion it seems. The literature has not yet settled.

Can't wait for 'settled' in this contentious environment. Ocean stirring and
ice melting
don't leave a detailed record that we'll be able to analyze, so the
'unconvinced' will always have a glitch to point to.

We need enough info to proceed into the future, we don't need omniscience.

Yes, the area is thoroughly polluted with conflicting theories and spin.
Given that these are trillion-dollar issues, how could it be otherwise?

It can be otherwise by insisting on disclosure of interest. Wei-Hock Soon
who didn't disclose his energy-industry funding was committing a major
ethical breach, and
in an ideal world, it wouldn't take years for such things to come to light.

Well, I did know how he made his living.

By the same token, anybody who works for an greenie group must be convicted
of bias?

No. Somebody working for a greenie group is up-front about how they make their money.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Willie_Soon

"From 2005 to 2015, Soon had received over $1.2 million from the fossil fuel industry, while failing to disclose that conflict of interest in most of his work."

Serious science theories don't conflict for long, if there are observations
and a venue for serious discussion. The 'conflicting theories' you see in
tweets aren't part of a serious discussion. "Warmist", like "Jewish science"
is a key phrase indicating that the spin doctors are running the discussion,
not the scientists.

Yep. But "for long" can be the better part of a century.

Not often. And not when the subject is of serious practical interest, as anthropogenic global warming definitely is.

I"m thinking that 'trillion-dollar issues' doesn't change any of the science, and that's another disturbing phrase to see in a science discussion.

The point about a trillion-dollar issue is simply that when one proposes that
people spend trillions of dollars on something, one should expect resistance,
very close questioning, and loud debate. And it will take a very long time to
resolve. It has always been thus.

Nobody is actually proposing to spend trillions of dollars. The changes we need to make to the way we get energy do involve re-directing trillions of dollars worth of investment, and make lots of money spent on fossil carbon extraction less immediately profitable than its investors had hoped, but the delusion that tackling climate change necessarily requires vast increases in taxes is one that is assiduously cultivated by the denialist propaganda machine.

Putting a tax on burning fossil carbon, and using the money to speed up investment in wind farms and solar farms is one way of re-directing investment, but it is more carrot and stick than upfront spending.

In the US, one must convince approximately 200 million people. But even if
that is done, there is a scaling issue: The population of the US is about 300
million. The total population of China, India, and Pakistan is more like
3,000 million, and they are mostly poor, and mostly use coal.

China is by far the largest player, and it has invested hugely in solar power. It is shutting down dirty and inefficient coal fired power plants very rapidly - more to minimise air-pollution than to minimise CO2 emissions, though both go down together . It has much more to lose from climate change than the US - it's agriculture is much more marginal, and it hasn't got the option of stopping eating meat when yields go down.

India and Pakistan are putting in a lot of small scale solar generation, pretty much entirely because it offers local solutions - you don't need to build a country wide power grid to get rural electricification if you've got enough sunlight and enough battery capacity to keep the lights on into the evening.

It actually
makes little difference what the US (and the EU for that matter) does, it
will be swamped by China, India, and Pakistan, as they try to escape poverty,
to become rich like us.

Enough anthropogenic global warming to wreck their agriculture would make it perfectly certain that they would never get "rich like us". Just because we got rich by burning fossil carbon doesn't mean it is the only way to get enough energy to support a modern life-style.

Appeals to the authority of science are all well and good, but with that much
at stake, don´t expect such assertions to settle the argument.

The authority of the science that tells you that higher global temperatures mean more intense tropical cyclones is more persuasive than you seem to think.

The cyclones are happening and they are killing more people.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On Thursday, May 2, 2019 at 6:55:20 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote

Wei-Hock Soon
who didn't disclose his energy-industry funding was committing a major
ethical breach, and
in an ideal world, it wouldn't take years for such things to come to light.

Well, I did know how he made his living.

By the same token, anybody who works for an greenie group must be convicted
of bias?

Why does 'a greenie group' matter in serious science discussion? Any group interested
in science (knowledge, understanding) can contribute, and has no reason to
be clandestine about it. A commercial interest, on the other hand, might NOT
favor truth.

I"m thinking that 'trillion-dollar issues' doesn't change any of the science,
and that's another disturbing phrase to see in a science discussion.

The point about a trillion-dollar issue is simply that when one proposes that
people spend trillions of dollars on something, one should expect resistance,
very close questioning, and loud debate. And it will take a very long time to
resolve. It has always been thus.

Not true, of course. Pearl Harbor was attacked on Dec. 7, 1941
and war was declared on Dec. 8. Time does NOT resolve science
disputes; Einstein's works, or Darwin's, can be denied for decades-to-centuries,
by small enclaves or cults. What it takes to resolve disputes is NEVER
simply 'a very long time', that's just obfuscation.

It's also odd that you suggest 'spend trillions' when the issue of global warming
is that it COSTS trillions. Are you only considering half of the economic issue?

<https://www.axios.com/climate-change-costs-wealth-carbon-tax-303d7cff-3085-49d9-accb-ec77689b9911.html>
 
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote
(in article<b11d79cc-1fed-4451-96bd-ad6473df895e@googlegroups.com>):

On Thursday, May 2, 2019 at 6:55:20 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote

Wei-Hock Soon
who didn't disclose his energy-industry funding was committing a major
ethical breach, and
in an ideal world, it wouldn't take years for such things to come to light


Well, I did know how he made his living.

By the same token, anybody who works for an greenie group must be convicted
of bias?

Why does 'a greenie group' matter in serious science discussion? Any group
interested
in science (knowledge, understanding) can contribute, and has no reason to
be clandestine about it. A commercial interest, on the other hand, might NOT
favor truth.

The core problem is that except for a few fortunate people, we all must work
for someone. In general, we don´t work for people and organizations that we
don´t agree with, so the fact that we make our money working for X does not
prove corruption - it is far more likely to be agreement.
.
I"m thinking that 'trillion-dollar issues' doesn't change any of the
science,
and that's another disturbing phrase to see in a science discussion.

The point about a trillion-dollar issue is simply that when one proposes tha

people spend trillions of dollars on something, one should expect resistance

very close questioning, and loud debate. And it will take a very long time
to resolve. It has always been thus.

Not true, of course. Pearl Harbor was attacked on Dec. 7, 1941
and war was declared on Dec. 8. Time does NOT resolve science
disputes; Einstein's works, or Darwin's, can be denied for
decades-to-centuries,
by small enclaves or cults. What it takes to resolve disputes is NEVER
simply 'a very long time', that's just obfuscation.

Pearl Harbor was not a scientific dispute at all, and there was no question
at all about who did what. So I do not see the applicability to global
warming.

Darwin is a better example. It took some time for evolution to be accepted by
the bulk of the scientific community, and the religious communities are not
yet all on board. And there was no real money at stake.

.
It's also odd that you suggest 'spend trillions' when the issue of global warm
ng
is that it COSTS trillions. Are you only considering half of the economic
issue?

https://www.axios.com/climate-change-costs-wealth-carbon-tax-303d7cff-3085-49
d9-accb-ec77689b9911.html

Well, such impact predictions are also widely disputed. For the contrary
case, see for instance<https://www.lomborg.com/skeptical-environmentalist>.

..<https://www.amazon.com/Skeptical-Environmentalist-Measuring-State-
World/dp/0521010683>

But more generally, my point is simply that with any question having
multi-trillion-dollar costs and consequences, expect fierce debate, one where
scientific opinion is only one component of the debate, and do not expect any
such question to be settled quickly, as in a democracy it is necessary to
convince a clear majority of the population before anything much will happen.

..

To understand the politics of Climate Change (formerly Global Warming) in the
US, the following survey from Yale University is illuminating:

..<http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/visualizations-data/ycom-us-
2016/?est=happening&type=value&geo=county>

All the maps except one say that people believe in climate change. The
other map says that they also don't think that it will harm them personally.

This in a nutshell is why nothing much has been happening here in the
US other than talk, despite strident daily warnings from the media.

..
And then there are some folk who remember the global _cooling_ scare of 1975,
~40 years ago. See "The Cooling World", Newsweek, 28 April 1975, page
64.

Joe Gwinn
 
On Saturday, May 4, 2019 at 1:09:15 AM UTC+10, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote
(in article<b11d79cc-1fed-4451-96bd-ad6473df895e@googlegroups.com>):

On Thursday, May 2, 2019 at 6:55:20 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote

Wei-Hock Soon
who didn't disclose his energy-industry funding was committing a major
ethical breach, and
in an ideal world, it wouldn't take years for such things to come to light


Well, I did know how he made his living.

By the same token, anybody who works for an greenie group must be convicted of bias?

Why does 'a greenie group' matter in serious science discussion? Any group
interested
in science (knowledge, understanding) can contribute, and has no reason to
be clandestine about it. A commercial interest, on the other hand, might NOT
favor truth.

The core problem is that except for a few fortunate people, we all must work
for someone. In general, we don´t work for people and organizations that we
don´t agree with, so the fact that we make our money working for X does not
prove corruption - it is far more likely to be agreement.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Willie_Soon

was working for one organisation - the Harvard–Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics - while taking money from the Charles G. Koch Charitable Foundation, the American Petroleum Institute, and Exxon Mobil, amongst others.

"Soon has stated unequivocally that he has "never been motivated by financial reward in any of my scientific research" and "would have accepted money from Greenpeace if they had offered it to do my research"."

This is what you'd expect him to say. The fact that his publications have been criticised for lack of rigor by the scientific community, and welcomed with enthusiasm by the denialist propaganda machine supports a rather different hypothesis.

<snip>

Well, such impact predictions are also widely disputed. For the contrary
case, see for instance<https://www.lomborg.com/skeptical-environmentalist>.

.<https://www.amazon.com/Skeptical-Environmentalist-Measuring-State-
World/dp/0521010683

https://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Bjorn_Lomborg

But more generally, my point is simply that with any question having
multi-trillion-dollar costs and consequences, expect fierce debate, one where
scientific opinion is only one component of the debate, and do not expect any
such question to be settled quickly, as in a democracy it is necessary to
convince a clear majority of the population before anything much will happen.

To understand the politics of Climate Change (formerly Global Warming) in the
US, the following survey from Yale University is illuminating:

.<http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/visualizations-data/ycom-us-
2016/?est=happening&type=value&geo=county

All the maps except one say that people believe in climate change. The
other map says that they also don't think that it will harm them personally.

This in a nutshell is why nothing much has been happening here in the
US other than talk, despite strident daily warnings from the media.

The "nutshell" ignores the fact that the denialist propaganda machine got busy with deluding the US electorate in the late 1990's and they've been spending a lot on keeping them deluded since then

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merchants_of_Doubt

Abraham Lincoln wasn't entirely right - you can fool enough of the people enough of the time, if you spend enough money on it.

And then there are some folk who remember the global _cooling_ scare of 1975,
~40 years ago. See "The Cooling World", Newsweek, 28 April 1975, page
64.

Not exactly in the same class.It was a speculation based on very little evidence. It took more than a decade of regular academic data collection to make it seem more likely that the world was warming up, and the warming signal didn't start looking statistically significant before about 1990

https://www.newsweek.com/newsweek-rewind-debunking-global-cooling-252326

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On Friday, May 3, 2019 at 8:09:15 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote
(in article<b11d79cc-1fed-4451-96bd-ad6473df895e@googlegroups.com>):

On Thursday, May 2, 2019 at 6:55:20 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote

Wei-Hock Soon
who didn't disclose his energy-industry funding was committing a major
ethical breach, and...

By the same token, anybody who works for an greenie group must be convicted
of bias?

Why does 'a greenie group' matter in serious science discussion? Any group
interested
in science (knowledge, understanding) can contribute, and has no reason to
be clandestine about it. A commercial interest, on the other hand, might NOT
favor truth.

The core problem is that except for a few fortunate people, we all must work
for someone.

....and can plausibly claim they were just following orders? Not acceptable.
You sign the work, you take responsibility. Is Joe Gwinn an alias, by any chance?

I"m thinking that 'trillion-dollar issues' doesn't change any of the
science,
and that's another disturbing phrase to see in a science discussion.

The point about a trillion-dollar issue is simply that when one proposes tha
people spend trillions of dollars on something, one should expect resistance
very close questioning, and loud debate. And it will take a very long time
to resolve. It has always been thus.

Not true, of course. Pearl Harbor was attacked on Dec. 7, 1941
and war was declared on Dec. 8.

Pearl Harbor was not a scientific dispute at all, and there was no question
at all about who did what. So I do not see the applicability to global
warming.

It's applicable to big-money emergency.


It's also odd that you suggest 'spend trillions' when the issue of global warm
ng
is that it COSTS trillions. Are you only considering half of the economic
issue?

https://www.axios.com/climate-change-costs-wealth-carbon-tax-303d7cff-3085-49
d9-accb-ec77689b9911.html

Well, such impact predictions are also widely disputed. For the contrary
case, see for instance<https://www.lomborg.com/skeptical-environmentalist>.

'Widely disputed' is available at forty cents per word. That book might be
interesting, except it's marketed as 'skeptical' not realistic; error on the side
of ignorance is the rule for skeptics. It also has the major flaw of a latest
edition date 2007; surely you realize the floods in Pakistan, heat deaths in Moscow,
unprecedented forest fires, and loss of circa 5% of the world's wheat crop
happened in 2010; a 'facts-only' basis nowadays DOES show some significant
costs that weren't obvious in 2007.

Seems like you cherry--picked that book to waste my time.


But more generally, my point is ...it is necessary to
convince a clear majority of the population before anything much will happen.

Two hundred countries signing onto the Paris accords is evidence that
the convincing part is over.

> To understand the politics of Climate Change

.... if you mean dysfunctional politics, spare us!

And then there are some folk who remember the global _cooling_ scare of 1975,
~40 years ago. See "The Cooling World", Newsweek, 28 April 1975, page
64.

Better, don't see it. That was a speculation, poorly founded and discarded
~39 years ago, and was NEVER a scare. Reading up on a bit of discarded debris
is less important than understanding dysfunctional politics. Congratulations, you've
hit a new low!
 
On May 4, 2019, whit3rd wrote
(in article<dd95bc2a-219e-4616-bcfe-b0a8298d1e8d@googlegroups.com>):

On Friday, May 3, 2019 at 8:09:15 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote
(in article<b11d79cc-1fed-4451-96bd-ad6473df895e@googlegroups.com>):

On Thursday, May 2, 2019 at 6:55:20 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote

Wei-Hock Soon
who didn't disclose his energy-industry funding was committing a major
ethical breach, and...

By the same token, anybody who works for an greenie group must be
convicted of bias?

Why does 'a greenie group' matter in serious science discussion? Any group
interested
in science (knowledge, understanding) can contribute, and has no reason to
be clandestine about it. A commercial interest, on the other hand, might
NOT

favor truth.

The core problem is that except for a few fortunate people, we all must work
for someone.

...and can plausibly claim they were just following orders? Not acceptable.
You sign the work, you take responsibility.

In many cases, it´s exactly the case that people are following orders.

If that isn´t acceptable, then only the very wealthy can be believed -
everyone else is hopelessly corrupted, the only difference being the
direction of the bias.

The legal system knows how to work its way up the organization.

..
> Is Joe Gwinn an alias, by any chance?

It´s my real name. What about whit3rd?

..
I"m thinking that 'trillion-dollar issues' doesn't change any of the
science,
and that's another disturbing phrase to see in a science discussion.

The point about a trillion-dollar issue is simply that when one proposes
that
people spend trillions of dollars on something, one should expect
resistance
very close questioning, and loud debate. And it will take a very long ti
e
to resolve. It has always been thus.

Not true, of course. Pearl Harbor was attacked on Dec. 7, 1941
and war was declared on Dec. 8.

Pearl Harbor was not a scientific dispute at all, and there was no question
at all about who did what. So I do not see the applicability to global
warming.

It's applicable to big-money emergency.

But it does not follow that because one big emergency was handled in four
years, that all big emergencies can be handled in four years as well. Big
Emergencies differ.

..
It's also odd that you suggest 'spend trillions' when the issue of global
warming
is that it COSTS trillions. Are you only considering half of the economic
issue?

https://www.axios.com/climate-change-costs-wealth-carbon-tax-303d7cff-308

-49d9-accb-ec77689b9911.html

Well, such impact predictions are also widely disputed. For the contrary
case, see for instance<https://www.lomborg.com/skeptical-environmentalist>.

'Widely disputed' is available at forty cents per word.

Same price for either side of the debate.

..
That book might be
interesting, except it's marketed as 'skeptical' not realistic; error on the s
de
of ignorance is the rule for skeptics. It also has the major flaw of a latest
edition date 2007; surely you realize the floods in Pakistan, heat deaths in
Moscow,
unprecedented forest fires, and loss of circa 5% of the world's wheat crop
happened in 2010; a 'facts-only' basis nowadays DOES show some significant
costs that weren't obvious in 2007.

Seems like you cherry--picked that book to waste my time.

So, you´ve never heard of Lomberg, but are convinced that he has nothing to
say. Hmm.

The "skeptical" part came from his personal experience, as recounted in
his original book on the subject.

Lomberg is an economist. His basic position is to accept that global warming
is true, but to propose that there are far better ways to manage the effects
than those various multi-trillion-dollar proposals.

You can sample him - he has many published articles.

..<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bj%C3%B8rn_Lomborg>

..
But more generally, my point is ...it is necessary to
convince a clear majority of the population before anything much will
happen.

Two hundred countries signing onto the Paris accords is evidence that
the convincing part is over.

To voters in the US, it makes little difference who did and did not sign the
Paris Accord. And the US Senate refused to approve the Paris Accord Treaty. A
big sticking point was that it did not constrain China.

..
To understand the politics of Climate Change

... if you mean dysfunctional politics, spare us!

Yes, they may be dysfunctional (deplorable?), but in a democracy they still
vote, and if you don´t convince them, nothing will happen. Which is exactly
the complaint implied by "dysfunctional politics".

..
And then there are some folk who remember the global _cooling_ scare of
1975, 40 years ago. See "The Cooling World", Newsweek, 28 April 1975, page
64.

Better, don't see it. That was a speculation, poorly founded and discarded
39 years ago, and was NEVER a scare. Reading up on a bit of discarded debris
is less important than understanding dysfunctional politics. Congratulations,
you´ve hit a new low!

Ad Hominem, and thus fallacious.

For those who are interested in what did happen, see the following:

..<https://www.newsweek.com/newsweek-rewind-debunking-global-cooling-252326>

The actual 1975 article is at the bottom. I´d read that first. As a mental
exercise, change cooling to warming. Note how the arguments and language of
then parallels the arguments and language of today. There is nothing new
under the Sun.

Joe Gwinn
 
>Darwin is a better example. It took some time for evolution to be >accepted by the bulk of the scientific community, and the >religious communities are not yet all on board. And there was no >real money at stake.

The religious have something wrong with their brain. I resolved the creation issue at about six years old. I think even my Catholic Grandmother was a bit pleased.

Evolution is the method of creation. these fucks go on with this six day shit, a day is the time it takes the Earth to turn around. Not if the Earth is not yet turning around how long is a day ? Planets form from dust and debris pretty much. Those masses are spinning very slowly. As they attract together and become a smaller volume - diameter around the spin especially, conservation of energy causes the rotational rate to speed up.

So theoretically a day could have been considered millions of years. Where in the Bible does it say how long is a day ? I don't recall it saying anything like "From when you wake up to when you wake up the next day" or "When you take a shit" or "When you get hungry two or three times". Nothing of the sort, and though I didn't, my Father read the Bible cover to cover. Far from religious but hey, he was retired and ran out of shit to tinker with. I am sure the subject came up and I am sure he would have been happy to school me on that. Or anything, that cocky motherfucker.

>All the maps except one say that people believe in climate >change. The other map says that they also don't think that it >will harm them personally.

First of all I take exception to the phrase "believe in". For one it should not ever be used in a context of scientific knowledge. To believe "in" something seems to mean to accept it with no evidence or even logical progression to its conclusion. It is taken on "faith". Well I don't believe "in" anything. I either believe it or I don't.

Do I believe we are fucking up the planet ? YES.
Do I believe that we should do something about it ? YES.

Do I believe we should sacrifice what's left of our economy to accomplish what might be zero results ? FUCK NO.

And that is the crux of the mater. As I said before, it would be stupid to think we can keep on burning all this shit without warming the place up.

It is also stupid to try to solve a problem with no knowledge, REAL knowledge. Would you have a cave Man do surgery on your back ?

>And then there are some folk who remember the global _cooling_ >scare of 1975, ~40 years ago. See "The Cooling World", >Newsweek, 28 April 1975, page 64.

I was 15, I remember. We all blew it off, plus, what the hell were we going to do about it anyway ? The EPS was created in 1971 IIRC and that was right around the time our river lit up. Just think, a republican started the EPA and another just defanged it. They really were getting out of hand. Because they found some sort of incest near the Okefenokee your land cannot be used, no matter what you paid for it. That is unconstitutional. There is alot of unincorporated land in Florida, maybe that's why. Nobody wants to build a town with no sewers because you are prohibited from disturbing the moles. (<speculation and sarcasm there)

I say just let the technology develop. Batteries are getting better and better. Solar is getting better and better. Nuclear plants, you want to shut up half the anti-nuke crowd ? Use thorium. I know there are problems, like they need a totally different approach to cooling or some shit, but that would be easier than that dumb cunt mandate that we be totally renewable in ten years. She has no fucking clue - it just cannot be done.

Well it can. Let's explore how that would be. cars would start at $40K. Trade imbalance with China will increase because they make batteries and PVs so the trade war is off and we can go back to a "service" economy which is another name for no fucking economy.

Water and food to be rationed like during WW2. Might get to the point where they limit how many kilowatts you can use per week to charge your car up, like the gas rationing was long ago. History CAN indeed repeat itself.

All meat will start at ten bucks a pound, venison will look attractive at double that, if you can get it for that by then. But it is damn healthy, which is good because if you think healthcare in the US is fucked up now just wait until we REALLY have no money.

Here's another thing about this dumb democrat's stupid fucking idea, if she gets her mandate through and it passes and it is MANDATORY for us to be totally renewable in ten years I ask this; What if we're not ?

Who pays the fine ? Who goes to jail ?

You know, I have grown a bit fond of this planet. I wouldn't mind doing something for it but not under the direction of brainless fucking morons who should be sweeping the floor somewhere, not even flipping burgers.

What can we do as people ? Alright, I suppose we could buy more electric lawnmowers rather than gas, along with many other yard appliances. And very much discourage two stroke engines, they have advanced but they still put out a tn of pollution. Now they ain't touching our cookouts and BBQs, they'll get themselves killed over that shit. And I cook with gas.

But really, how much do some lawnmowers and charcoals add up to in compare to millions of cars on a highway turned parking lot EVERY DAY idling to run a water pump to take HEAT away from the engine or it would quickly build up and burn the thing up. And an A/C compressor to the tune of about 3 HP. (used to be like 12 in the older nicer bigger cars) So it is pumping the heat out of your engine that would catch fire if not for the radiator, which radiates INTO THE AIR. It is also pumping up pressure to use "latent" heat properties of a refrigerant which is pumping the heat out of the solar oven you are (not) driving on the highway.

If half of those cars didn't have to idle at all, and the A/C was totally electric, we would save a hell of alot of CO2 footprint. Which brings us to another thing about the climeys - They sit there and bitch about cow farts when there are millions of cars on the interstatess etc. that are just sitting there because of A. Someone doesn't know how the fuck to drive or 2. They don't know how to build infrastructure right and there is construction.

This is simple logic. You want to do something ? Push for cheaper electric cars. Maybe even invest in some company trying it out. BUY ONE, that is the most powerful incentive for a manufacturer.

Or you could have Ocasio-Cortez point her finger at you and say "You are an engineer, if you don't make this country 100% renewable in ten years you are going to jail" ?

How the fuck else does this cunt think it is going to get done. Every motherfucking innovator, inventor, whatevor would love to take the title of the person who really made it happen. It would be MORE than fifteen minutes of fame, we are probably talking billions if he knows how to play the money game.

Oil companies are in on it, they know their black gold days are coming to an end. the market will change and they know it and when electric is REALLY viable they want to be the ones to sell it. You didn't think they're stupid now did ya ?

Know what else ? electric cars are hundred year old technology. I shit you not. I have book, very old. goes into detail, the throttle was a series of contacts and I THINK it had a bit of regenerative braking. One of the main things that made in not viable back then was the batteries.

Know what ? I think I know where I can host the images, I'll scan it. It is not an auto group, it is a hifi group but they like cars and old. I'll have to find the book and scan that section. It is a trip. I always said people used to be smarter, And look what they did, no FETs, no computers, no fancy modern shit, no LTSpice, no nuthin'.

Since I can think forward, I see the upcoming problems. The way I see it is like usual, the big problem is the waste.

First of all you need to charge those batteries. The only viable way with current technology is nuclear. I think the French should be consulted on this because they have an exemplary record of success in that area. We ain't all that fond of them and vice versa but if you pay them they will do their job.

Then there is the batteries once they are s[pent and can't hold a useful charge anymore. Problem here is that some of those metals n shit in there are not easy to come by. Sure right now but what happens when demand really cranks up ? I say one of the most important things now is to figure out how to recycle the batteries. That may require that they be redesigned somehow to facilitate it.

See, a dumbass like Ocasio-Cortez doesn't see the big picture. She was elected on looks and rhetoric. No substance and totally unqualified. Saving the environment is a great goal, so is world peace. So all we have to do is take over all the other countries right ? I'll put you down for next Thursday.. Right.

No basis in reality, never worked a day. No concept of cause and effect. Not that the republicans are better. How many of them could succeed in the real world of business ?

Trump, barely. Yeah he could've done better but then after he got some real money he did what he felt like, not necessarily what would make the most money. A bit narcissistic actually but so what ? You look at the other politicians lately ?

They are all a class of people who should be shot. They are also like a class of people who started this country, though with less pith than those founders. The united States of America was not founded by commoners.
 
>Two hundred countries signing onto the Paris accords is evidence >that the convincing part is over.

Sure, but the truth is not democratic. Note the US lowered pollutants more than any country in the Paris accord after dropping out of it.

Ever eat margarine ? Use Roundup ? Maybe DDT ? Cyclamates, saccharine, all kinds of cool shit the "majority" liked. the majority like McD's, the majority are becoming obese and diabetic with heart problems. There are more commercials for power wheelchairs, incontinence products and braces than ever before, they must have someone in mind to sell this shit to if they're paying for a TV ad.

And those 200 countries, China ? They put out more than the rest of them combined I think, or close.

This country is not a true democracy. In a true democracy they can vote to gangbang your olady every Sunday and you have to paint your house pink. That's why we don't want one.

And we want the electoral college to keep shithole ghettos full of niggers of every color from choosing the President for good people who work n shit.

I would like to help the planet, but then - do what ? I don't drive. I don't own a house and even if I did, what ? Make it energy efficient ? Well it was water efficient with water saving toilets n shit and now we need roto rooter to snake it out. How did that help us in a city that is RIGHT NEAR A LAKE ? And they never had to mandate water saving toilets in places like Arizona n shit because those people pay ALOT for water. They would go for the water savers on their own.
 
On Saturday, May 4, 2019 at 8:49:04 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 4, 2019, whit3rd wrote
(in article<dd95bc2a-219e-4616-bcfe-b0a8298d1e8d@googlegroups.com>):

On Friday, May 3, 2019 at 8:09:15 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote
(in article<b11d79cc-1fed-4451-96bd-ad6473df895e@googlegroups.com>):

On Thursday, May 2, 2019 at 6:55:20 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote

Wei-Hock Soon
who didn't disclose his energy-industry funding was committing a major
ethical breach, and...

By the same token, anybody who works for an greenie group must be
convicted of bias?

Why does 'a greenie group' matter in serious science discussion? Any group
interested
in science (knowledge, understanding) can contribute, and has no reason to
be clandestine about it. A commercial interest, on the other hand, might
NOT

favor truth.

The core problem is that except for a few fortunate people, we all must work
for someone.

...and can plausibly claim they were just following orders? Not acceptable.
You sign the work, you take responsibility.

In many cases, it´s exactly the case that people are following orders.

If that isn´t acceptable, then only the very wealthy can be believed -

That's totally nonsense, money-for-spin isn't the impetus
behind most writing If it's the force driving YOUR writing, you've
been corrupted. Personal responsibility is the rule here, not cash.

everyone else is hopelessly corrupted, the only difference being the
direction of the bias.

The legal system knows how to work its way up the organization.

But in science, a reputation for misfeasance is a career killer. There's
no 'legal system' that can save Andrew Wakefield's reputation after falsified
vaccination analysis.
.
Is Joe Gwinn an alias, by any chance?

It´s my real name. What about whit3rd?

Close enough. After all, I've not been citing my own work, only that of others,
and historic events, using logic to connect. It's not 'testimony' I'm offering, it's evidence
and logic.


It's also odd that you suggest 'spend trillions' when the issue of global
warming
is that it COSTS trillions. Are you only considering half of the economic
issue?

https://www.axios.com/climate-change-costs-wealth-carbon-tax-303d7cff-308

-49d9-accb-ec77689b9911.html

Well, such impact predictions are also widely disputed. For the contrary
case, see for instance<https://www.lomborg.com/skeptical-environmentalist>.

'Widely disputed' is available at forty cents per word.

Same price for either side of the debate.

Not true; a technical report of a year's science work costs a lot more than that.
Don't conflate opinion with research results, people can generate opinions in moments,
or research in months. Even if it were only ONE order of magnitude difference, that
would matter: it's more like five orders of magnitude.

That book might be
interesting, except it's marketed as 'skeptical' not realistic; error on the s
de
of ignorance is the rule for skeptics. It also has the major flaw of a latest
edition date 2007; surely you realize the floods in Pakistan, heat deaths in
Moscow,
unprecedented forest fires, and loss of circa 5% of the world's wheat crop
happened in 2010; a 'facts-only' basis nowadays DOES show some significant
costs that weren't obvious in 2007.

Seems like you cherry--picked that book to waste my time.

So, you´ve never heard of Lomberg, but are convinced that he has nothing to
say. Hmm.

Oh, not true; my library has the book, I've put it on hold. The advertisement
you pointed at, though, promises very little of real interest. Maybe I'll report
back when I've seen the opus.


But more generally, my point is ...it is necessary to
convince a clear majority of the population before anything much will
happen.

Two hundred countries signing onto the Paris accords is evidence that
the convincing part is over.

To voters in the US, it makes little difference

Not true; there's carbon-neutrality legislation with lots of support in some states,
but at the federal level (recently) no popular vote that can be cited. Perhaps you're
thinking of punditry or an executive action rather than a vote?

Worldwide problem, here; cherry-picking a single nation, and relying on a 'silent majority'
argument, is unconvincing.
 
On May 4, 2019, whit3rd wrote
(in article<9e1404ea-2ee4-4f05-ac89-884b47c3fa76@googlegroups.com>):

On Saturday, May 4, 2019 at 8:49:04 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 4, 2019, whit3rd wrote
(in article<dd95bc2a-219e-4616-bcfe-b0a8298d1e8d@googlegroups.com>):

On Friday, May 3, 2019 at 8:09:15 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote
(in article<b11d79cc-1fed-4451-96bd-ad6473df895e@googlegroups.com>):

On Thursday, May 2, 2019 at 6:55:20 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote

Wei-Hock Soon
who didn't disclose his energy-industry funding was committing a m
jor
ethical breach, and...

By the same token, anybody who works for an greenie group must be
convicted of bias?

Why does 'a greenie group' matter in serious science discussion? Any
group interested
in science (knowledge, understanding) can contribute, and has no reaso

to be clandestine about it. A commercial interest, on the other hand,
ight
NOT favor truth.

The core problem is that except for a few fortunate people, we all must
work for someone.

...and can plausibly claim they were just following orders? Not acceptable

You sign the work, you take responsibility.

In many cases, it´s exactly the case that people are following orders.

If that isn´t acceptable, then only the very wealthy can be believed -

That's totally nonsense, money-for-spin isn't the impetus
behind most writing If it's the force driving YOUR writing, you've
been corrupted. Personal responsibility is the rule here, not cash.

In other words, if someone does not believe as you believe, they must have
been corrupted. Hmm.

..
everyone else is hopelessly corrupted, the only difference being the
direction of the bias.

The legal system knows how to work its way up the organization.

But in science, a reputation for misfeasance is a career killer. There's
no 'legal system' that can save Andrew Wakefield's reputation after falsified
vaccination analysis.

I bet having his medical license taken away improved his reputation in the
anti-vax community, who would conclude that *they* are trying to suppress the
truth .... You know the drill. The British medical establishment blundered
here, I suspect. (No, I´m not an anti-vaxer -- those people are nuts.)

.
Is Joe Gwinn an alias, by any chance?

It´s my real name. What about whit3rd?

Close enough. After all, I've not been citing my own work, only that of
others, and historic events, using logic to connect. It's not 'testimony' I'm
offering, it's evidence and logic.

Sure. Right. There seems to be an asymmetry here. Plus an innuendo.

..
It's also odd that you suggest 'spend trillions' when the issue of glo
al
warming is that it COSTS trillions. Are you only considering half of t
e economic
issue?

https://www.axios.com/climate-change-costs-wealth-carbon-tax-303d7cff
30
8-49d9-accb-ec77689b9911.html

Well, such impact predictions are also widely disputed. For the contrary
case, see for
instance<https://www.lomborg.com/skeptical-environmentalist>.

'Widely disputed' is available at forty cents per word.

Same price for either side of the debate.

Not true; a technical report of a year's science work costs a lot more than th
t.
Don't conflate opinion with research results, people can generate opinions in
moments, or research in months. Even if it were only ONE order of magnitude
difference, that would matter: it's more like five orders of magnitude.

While a full-up peer-reviewed scientific article is a lot of work to write, I
very much doubt that all those people pontificating on either side of the
question are anywhere close to that diligent.

..
That book might be
interesting, except it's marketed as 'skeptical' not realistic; error on t
e side
of ignorance is the rule for skeptics. It also has the major flaw of a lat
st
edition date 2007; surely you realize the floods in Pakistan, heat deaths
in Moscow,
unprecedented forest fires, and loss of circa 5% of the world's wheat crop
happened in 2010; a 'facts-only' basis nowadays DOES show some significant
costs that weren't obvious in 2007.

Seems like you cherry--picked that book to waste my time.

So, you´ve never heard of Lomberg, but are convinced that he has nothing to
say. Hmm.

Oh, not true; my library has the book, I've put it on hold. The advertisement
you pointed at, though, promises very little of real interest. Maybe I'll
report back when I've seen the opus.

Umm. If you knew anything about Lomberg, you would have been able to see past
the usual marketing bafflegab. But do read it - your report will be
interesting.

..
But more generally, my point is ...it is necessary to
convince a clear majority of the population before anything much will
happen.

Two hundred countries signing onto the Paris accords is evidence that
the convincing part is over.

To voters in the US, it makes little difference

Not true; there's carbon-neutrality legislation with lots of support in some
states, but at the federal level (recently) no popular vote that can be cited.
Perhaps you´re thinking of punditry or an executive action rather than a vot
?

This is actually a non sequitur. Those two hundred countries have no vote in
the US.

But anyway, we vote on this (and many other issues) every two years.
Candidates with full-green platforms have not been able to achieve sufficient
weight in congress to get anything like the full green agenda enacted. If the
population believed in the green agenda, it would have been enacted decades
ago.

..
Worldwide problem, here; cherry-picking a single nation, and relying on a
'silent majority´ argument, is unconvincing.

I have no idea where this came from ( I certainly said no such thing), or how
it relates to the question at hand.

Joe Gwinn
 
On Sunday, May 5, 2019 at 9:42:56 AM UTC+10, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 4, 2019, whit3rd wrote
(in article<9e1404ea-2ee4-4f05-ac89-884b47c3fa76@googlegroups.com>):
On Saturday, May 4, 2019 at 8:49:04 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 4, 2019, whit3rd wrote
(in article<dd95bc2a-219e-4616-bcfe-b0a8298d1e8d@googlegroups.com>):
On Friday, May 3, 2019 at 8:09:15 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote
(in article<b11d79cc-1fed-4451-96bd-ad6473df895e@googlegroups.com>):
On Thursday, May 2, 2019 at 6:55:20 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote

<snip>

That's totally nonsense, money-for-spin isn't the impetus
behind most writing If it's the force driving YOUR writing, you've
been corrupted. Personal responsibility is the rule here, not cash.

In other words, if someone does not believe as you believe, they must have
been corrupted. Hmm.

Climate change denial propaganda is generated by people who get paid to write propaganda to create a desired effect in the target audience.

97% of the top 300 climate scientist are persuaded that anthropogenic global warming is real, and of the ten hold-outs I think I can identify five who don't seem to have a rational basis for their scepticism. 5% of the population is nuts, and while the 300 top climate scientists are going to contain fewer nuts than the average group, they aren't all going to be entirely rational.

everyone else is hopelessly corrupted, the only difference being the
direction of the bias.

The legal system knows how to work its way up the organization.

But in science, a reputation for misfeasance is a career killer. There's
no 'legal system' that can save Andrew Wakefield's reputation after
falsified vaccination analysis.

I bet having his medical license taken away improved his reputation in the
anti-vax community, who would conclude that *they* are trying to suppress the
truth .... You know the drill. The British medical establishment blundered
here, I suspect. (No, I´m not an anti-vaxer -- those people are nuts..)

Is Joe Gwinn an alias, by any chance?

It´s my real name. What about whit3rd?

Close enough. After all, I've not been citing my own work, only that of
others, and historic events, using logic to connect. It's not 'testimony'
I'm offering, it's evidence and logic.

Sure. Right. There seems to be an asymmetry here. Plus an innuendo.

It you can't appreciate that you are arguing against the weight of a lot of evidence you are either dim, gullible or corrupt. You chose.

It's also odd that you suggest 'spend trillions' when the issue of
global warming is that it COSTS trillions. Are you only considering
half of the economic issue?

https://www.axios.com/climate-change-costs-wealth-carbon-tax-303d7cff308-49d9-accb-ec77689b9911.html

Well, such impact predictions are also widely disputed. For the
contrary case, see for
instance<https://www.lomborg.com/skeptical-environmentalist>.

'Widely disputed' is available at forty cents per word.

Same price for either side of the debate.

Not true; a technical report of a year's science work costs a lot more than
that. Don't conflate opinion with research results, people can generate
opinions in moments, or research in months. Even if it were only ONE order
of magnitude difference, that would matter: it's more like five orders of
magnitude.

While a full-up peer-reviewed scientific article is a lot of work to write, I
very much doubt that all those people pontificating on either side of the
question are anywhere close to that diligent.

You clearly aren't. Have you bothered to plough through

https://history.aip.org/climate/index.htm

I have.

That book might be
interesting, except it's marketed as 'skeptical' not realistic; error on
the side of ignorance is the rule for skeptics. It also has the major
flaw of a latest edition date 2007; surely you realize the floods in
Pakistan, heat deathsin Moscow,unprecedented forest fires,
and loss of circa 5% of the world's wheat crop happened in 2010;
a 'facts-only' basis nowadays DOES show some significant
costs that weren't obvious in 2007.

Seems like you cherry--picked that book to waste my time.

So, you´ve never heard of Lomberg, but are convinced that he has nothing
to say. Hmm.

Oh, not true; my library has the book, I've put it on hold. The
advertisement you pointed at, though, promises very little of real interest.
Maybe I'll report back when I've seen the opus.

Umm. If you knew anything about Lomberg, you would have been able to see past
the usual marketing bafflegab. But do read it - your report will be
interesting.

But more generally, my point is ...it is necessary to
convince a clear majority of the population before anything much will
happen.

Two hundred countries signing onto the Paris accords is evidence that
the convincing part is over.

To voters in the US, it makes little difference

Not true; there's carbon-neutrality legislation with lots of support in some
states, but at the federal level (recently) no popular vote that can be
cited. Perhaps you´re thinking of punditry or an executive action rather
than a vote ?

This is actually a non sequitur. Those two hundred countries have no vote in
the US.

But anyway, we vote on this (and many other issues) every two years.
Candidates with full-green platforms have not been able to achieve sufficient
weight in congress to get anything like the full green agenda enacted. If the
population believed in the green agenda, it would have been enacted decades
ago.

The denialist propaganda machine has been misleading the US public since the late 1990's.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merchants_of_Doubt

Lying to the US electorate to protect the financial interests of the fossil fule extraction industry should be prosecuted as criminal fraud, but since it is dressed up a "free speech" - despite being bought and paid for - the wealthy get away with it. This is a general defect of the US political system - it has always given an unreasonable amount of power to people who can bribe the electorate.

Worldwide problem, here; cherry-picking a single nation, and relying on a
'silent majority´ argument, is unconvincing.

I have no idea where this came from ( I certainly said no such thing), or how
it relates to the question at hand.

The US generates some 25% of the planets greenhouse gas emissions, and the people in the US who make a lot of money out of doing this have spent a lot of money keeping the majority silent on the issue.

If you haven't had any idea that this was going on, you've got to be a bit thick.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On Sunday, May 5, 2019 at 4:12:12 AM UTC+10, jurb...@gmail.com wrote:
Two hundred countries signing onto the Paris accords is evidence >that the convincing part is over.

Sure, but the truth is not democratic. Note the US lowered pollutants more than any country in the Paris accord after dropping out of it.

The US burnt more gas and less oil and coal. To save money, not to reduce anthropogenic global warming.

<snip>

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On Sunday, May 5, 2019 at 1:49:04 AM UTC+10, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 4, 2019, whit3rd wrote
(in article<dd95bc2a-219e-4616-bcfe-b0a8298d1e8d@googlegroups.com>):
On Friday, May 3, 2019 at 8:09:15 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote
(in article<b11d79cc-1fed-4451-96bd-ad6473df895e@googlegroups.com>):
On Thursday, May 2, 2019 at 6:55:20 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 2, 2019, whit3rd wrote

<snip>

It's applicable to big-money emergency.

But it does not follow that because one big emergency was handled in four
years, that all big emergencies can be handled in four years as well. Big
Emergencies differ.

Obviously. It wasn't clear in 1941 that four years would suffice to handle that emergency, and since WW2 morphed into the cold war it was true of that particular emergency either.

It's also odd that you suggest 'spend trillions' when the issue of global warming
is that it COSTS trillions. Are you only considering half of the economic issue?

https://www.axios.com/climate-change-costs-wealth-carbon-tax-303d7cff-308

-49d9-accb-ec77689b9911.html

Well, such impact predictions are also widely disputed. For the contrary
case, see for instance<https://www.lomborg.com/skeptical-environmentalist>.

'Widely disputed' is available at forty cents per word.

Same price for either side of the debate.

Not exactly. The denialist propaganda machine is notoriously generous to people who give them copy they can exploit. The scientific facts get published by people who get rewarded by regular career progression.
.
That book might be
interesting, except it's marketed as 'skeptical' not realistic; error on the
side of ignorance is the rule for skeptics. It also has the major flaw of a
latest edition date 2007; surely you realize the floods in Pakistan, heat
deaths in Moscow, unprecedented forest fires, and loss of circa 5% of the
world's wheat crop happened in 2010; a 'facts-only' basis nowadays DOES show
some significant costs that weren't obvious in 2007.

Seems like you cherry--picked that book to waste my time.

So, you´ve never heard of Lomberg, but are convinced that he has nothing to
say. Hmm.

We've all heard of Lomberg, but - like pretty much all denialist shills - he hasn't got much expertise in climate science or economics, and what he publishes isn't all that persuasive.

The "skeptical" part came from his personal experience, as recounted in
his original book on the subject.

Helped by the fact that his kind of "scepticism" suits the denialist propaganda machine very well, and they are happy to subsidise it.

> Lomberg is an economist.

He isn't and never was.

His wikipedia entry includes the line "In January 2003, the Danish Committees on Scientific Dishonesty released a ruling that sent a mixed message, finding the book to be scientifically dishonest through misrepresentation of scientific facts, but Lomborg himself not guilty due to his lack of expertise in the fields in question."

His basic position is to accept that global warming
is true, but to propose that there are far better ways to manage the effects
than those various multi-trillion-dollar proposals.

You can sample him - he has many published articles.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bj%C3%B8rn_Lomborg

Wikipedia has to be seen to be "fair". Sourcewatch can call a spade a spade..

https://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Bjorn_Lomborg

But more generally, my point is ...it is necessary to
convince a clear majority of the population before anything much will
happen.

Two hundred countries signing onto the Paris accords is evidence that
the convincing part is over.

To voters in the US, it makes little difference who did and did not sign the
Paris Accord. And the US Senate refused to approve the Paris Accord Treaty. A
big sticking point was that it did not constrain China.

Any excuse will do.

To understand the politics of Climate Change

... if you mean dysfunctional politics, spare us!

Yes, they may be dysfunctional (deplorable?), but in a democracy they still
vote, and if you don´t convince them, nothing will happen. Which is exactly
the complaint implied by "dysfunctional politics".

The US political system is disfunctional in the sense that people with money are allowed to spend as much of it as they like on lying to the electorate.

The fossil carbon extraction industry exploits this extravagantly - the amount of money they stand to lose if burning fossil carbon for fuel gets to be restricted justifies spending a lot on misleading propaganda.

And then there are some folk who remember the global _cooling_ scare of
1975, 40 years ago. See "The Cooling World", Newsweek, 28 April 1975, page
64.

Better, don't see it. That was a speculation, poorly founded and discarded
39 years ago, and was NEVER a scare. Reading up on a bit of discarded
debris is less important than understanding dysfunctional politics.
Congratulations, you've hit a new low!

Ad Hominem, and thus fallacious.

The fact that it is ad hominem doesn't make it fallacious. The occasional speculation about global warming from the mid-1970's is in no way comparable with the mass of scientific evidence that now supports the reality of anthropogenic global warming, and your proposition that it might be labels you as either dishonest or grossly incompetent - a Lomborg-type figure.

For those who are interested in what did happen, see the following:

.<https://www.newsweek.com/newsweek-rewind-debunking-global-cooling-252326

The actual 1975 article is at the bottom. I´d read that first. As a mental
exercise, change cooling to warming. Note how the arguments and language of
then parallels the arguments and language of today. There is nothing new
under the Sun.

Note the line in the line in the 1975 article that says "Just what causes the onset of major and minor ice ages remains a mystery". It isn't a mystery today.
The arguments and the language may resemble what you see in what journalists write today, but there is a whole lot more knowledge around today, which is "something new under the Sun".

Journalists who write for the Murdoch press don't seem to pay much attention to that knowledge, but it is there if you bother to look. There was a lot less of it in 1975.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On Saturday, May 4, 2019 at 8:49:04 AM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 4, 2019, whit3rd wrote

And then there are some folk who remember the global _cooling_ scare of
1975, 40 years ago. See "The Cooling World", Newsweek, 28 April 1975, page
64.

Better, don't see it. That was a speculation, poorly founded and discarded
39 years ago, and was NEVER a scare. Reading up on a bit of discarded debris
is less important than understanding dysfunctional politics.
For those who are interested in what did happen, see the following:

.<https://www.newsweek.com/newsweek-rewind-debunking-global-cooling-252326

The actual 1975 article is at the bottom. I´d read that first.

But, that completely misses the point (because the popular press likes to dramatize).

Science proceeds by creating and testing hypotheses. Like stumbling in the dark
looking for a light switch, you make a lot of false steps, but eventually.... a light dawns.
The historic evidence of ice age glaciation leads naturally to: will there be a next one?
Soon? Maybe already starting?

But, it was always an unlikely thing, just VERY hard to pin down when 'satellite data' gave
info on clouds, but not on (for instance) surface temperatures, and when supercomputers
weren't available for big-data works.

Calling the exploration of the hypothesis a 'scare' is absurd: there was no predictive model
at the time. And, the point of hypotheses is that the BEST ones to test are not
highly likely: high likelihood means you gain no new information.

That's why a good reliable lighted switch is next to the bathroom: it's a safe prediction to
make, that that switch will make those dark corners brighten. Modern light-making
technology, though, isn't something you study by replaying recordings of folk stumbling
in the dark.
 
On Saturday, May 4, 2019 at 4:42:56 PM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 4, 2019, whit3rd wrote

It´s my real name. What about whit3rd?

Close enough. After all, I've not been citing my own work, only that of
others, and historic events, using logic to connect. It's not 'testimony' I'm
offering, it's evidence and logic.

Sure. Right. There seems to be an asymmetry here. Plus an innuendo.

Excellent example; you cite no facts, just make adjectives
to characterize, as though putting a logical argument in a box could
invalidate it somehow, as insufficiently politically correct. Like
character assassination and backstabbing, such a purity test is cowardly.


Seems like you cherry--picked that book to waste my time.

So, you´ve never heard of Lomberg, but are convinced that he has nothing to
say. Hmm.

It's not about the person, Lomberg, it's about any facts that form a logical
argument, and the deficiency of 'skeptical' as an ideal/requirement.

Sensitive, aren't you, on 'ad himinem' issues regarding the author?

But more generally, my point is ...it is necessary to
convince a clear majority of the population before anything much will
happen.

Two hundred countries signing onto the Paris accords is evidence that
the convincing part is over.

To voters in the US, it makes little difference

Not true; there's carbon-neutrality legislation with lots of support in some
states, but at the federal level (recently) no popular vote that can be cited.
Perhaps you´re thinking of punditry or an executive action rather than a vot

This is actually a non sequitur. Those two hundred countries have no vote in
the US.

Worldwide problem, here; cherry-picking a single nation, and relying on a
'silent majority´ argument, is unconvincing.

I have no idea where this came from ( I certainly said no such thing), or how
it relates to the question at hand.

No vote in the US really addressed the costs of climate change, and
(no surprise here, I hope) climate respects no national boundary
nor any voting rights.
Voter will has not been expressed, but you take the silence as a verdict:
that's the "silent majority" fallacy.


Congress created the EPA to handle such matters in a semi-independent fashion.
 
On Sunday, May 5, 2019 at 5:55:19 PM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 5, 2019, whit3rd wrote
(in article<11559bf8-eeb0-4f3f-8ad0-d4c3e4b70928@googlegroups.com>):

On Saturday, May 4, 2019 at 4:42:56 PM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
On May 4, 2019, whit3rd wrote

Two hundred countries signing onto the Paris accords is evidence that
the convincing part is over.

To voters in the US, it makes little difference.

Not true; there's carbon-neutrality legislation with lots of support in so
e
states, but at the federal level (recently) no popular vote that can be ci
ed.
Perhaps you´re thinking of punditry or an executive action rather than a
vote

This is actually a non sequitur. Those two hundred countries have no vote in
the US.

Worldwide problem, here; cherry-picking a single nation, and relying on a
'silent majority´ argument, is unconvincing.

I have no idea where this came from ( I certainly said no such thing), or
how it relates to the question at hand.

No vote in the US really addressed the costs of climate change, and
(no surprise here, I hope) climate respects no national boundary
nor any voting rights.
Voter will has not been expressed, but you take the silence as a verdict:
that's the "silent majority" fallacy.

Not an answer to the question asked.

Well, that makes everything perfectly unclear. I thought you were asking
for clarification of my reference to 'silent majority'. What WAS the 'question asked' that you
refer to?

Communication works better if feedback guides, rather than rejects, responses.
 
On Sunday, May 5, 2019 at 5:55:19 PM UTC-7, Joseph Gwinn wrote:
> On May 5, 2019, whit3rd wrote

[on greenhouse gasses causing climate change}

Congress created the EPA to handle such matters in a semi-independent fashion.

No, the original reason was to enforce the Clean Air Act; global warming was
not an issue then.

Supreme Court decisions say that the 'No' in that sentence should be 'Yes'. The rest
of the sentence is accurate.
<https://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/03/washington/03scotus.html>

They were more likely worri ed about global cooling in
1970.

No one was worried in 1970 for such a cause.
 

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