Claim That Covid-19 Came From Lab In China Completely Unfoun

Winfield Hill wrote:
https://science.slashdot.org/story/20/04/18/1836218/claim-that-covid-19-came-from-
lab-in-china-completely-unfounded-scientists-say

People always use the term "conspiracy theory" for any theory they don't
agree with, whether or not it has anything to do with a conspiracy. A
lab accident, if it happened, is not a conspiracy.
 
On Sunday, April 19, 2020 at 5:46:22 AM UTC+10, John Larkin wrote:
On 18 Apr 2020 12:06:14 -0700, Winfield Hill <winfieldhill@yahoo.com
wrote:

https://science.slashdot.org/story/20/04/18/1836218/claim-that-covid-19-came-from-
lab-in-china-completely-unfounded-scientists-say

These days, you can find scientists to say most anything.

Particularly when you haven't got a clue what constitutes "science".

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
Tom Del Rosso Cannot Read wrote:

-------------------------------

People always use the term "conspiracy theory" for any theory they
don't agree with, whether or not it has anything to do with a
conspiracy.


** What idiocy.

The term refers to hypotheses of events that require and large number
of persons be involved and yet silent on the fact - seemingly
indefinitely.

Any believer is required to suspend disbelief about the extreme
improbability of that actually being the case.

So far, no such hypotheses have ever proved correct - from flying
saucers, flat earth and space aliens running the world and worse.

A lab accident, if it happened, is not a conspiracy.


** My god you are dumb.

The conspiracy bit relates to ALL those aware being complicit and
silent.

That's not a conspiracy either. That's a dictatorial government telling
people what to do.

** All you wrote was "lab accident" .

No mention of a govt forced cover up.

Go fuck yourself.



...... Phil
 
On Sunday, April 19, 2020 at 7:01:33 AM UTC+10, blo...@columbus.rr.com wrote:
On Saturday, April 18, 2020 at 4:50:44 PM UTC-4, Winfield Hill wrote:
whit3rd wrote...

On Saturday, April 18, 2020 at 12:46:22 PM UTC-7, John Larkin wrote:
On 18 Apr 2020 12:06:14 -0700, Winfield Hill <winfieldhill@yahoo.com
wrote:

https://science.slashdot.org/story/20/04/18/1836218/claim-that-covid-19-
came-from-
lab-in-china-completely-unfounded-scientists-say

These days, you can find scientists to say most anything.

No scientists trusts a scientist's words, rather we trust the data.
The 'say almost anything' phrase suggests that you've been finding
scientists entertaining hypotheses that aren't in agreement. That's
normal, and wouldn't surprise anyone with a good elementary school
science education. It's not noteworthy.

When a scientist, in this case, says a claim is unfounded, it means the
claim alone is worthless, absent a supporting observation; that doesn't
mean the claim is right or wrong, it means it's untested.

The dramatic-form 'he said, she said' squabbling is irrelevant in science.
The resolution will always come from observations, not words and syllables.

You should re-read the material. Here's one statement:
"The genetic data irrefutably show that SARS-CoV-2 is
not derived from any previously used virus backbone."

https://nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0820-9
https://www.dropbox.com/s/uox9g9kgq2h8r3v/s41591-020-0820-9.pdf?dl=1

That's one of many such strong statements. Alexandre Hassanin,
"Even if it is difficult to prove that a laboratory accident did not
take place, you should know that SARS-CoV-2 is not closely related
to any previous viruses; it was never sequenced (even partially)
in previous studies, and the COVID-19 outbreak began in November/
December, as in previous SARS epidemic events (2002 and 2003)."
Hassanin said: "These two points suggest therefore that the current
outbreak was not the consequence of a laboratory accident."

Eric Hundman, an Assistant Professor at NYU Shanghai, had stern
words for anyone still spreading this misinformation. "Insinuating
that the virus escaped from a lab in China by saying 'well, there's
no evidence that it didn't' is not only untrue, it amounts to
disinformation that could further ratchet up US-China tensions
and distract from more urgent priorities. There actually is
scientific evidence against the "escaped from a lab" theory."

It really matters not if it escaped from a lab or if it was some crazy bat virus from a slaughter market in Wuhan. What matters is why the immediate coverup.

That seems to have been driven by the local politicans in Wuhan, who didn't like the idea that there might be an epidemic getting under way in their city.

The doctors who were worried about the new disease they were seeing didn't have enough data to spell out what was going on.

It didn't take all that many more cases to get people outside Wuhan interested, and their reaction was much more realistic, and the cover-up stopped pretty much as soon as they got enough data to make it clar what was going on.

> Why stopping those other scientists (you know the ones in China that were trying to get the word out about this thing and the Communists did what communists do....they lied, and punished their scientists.

The people who were told to shut up were the hospital doctors who were treating patients who were presenting with an unfamiliar disease. As soon as there was any scientific investigation of their suspicions, the cover-up stopped.

> So the real question is what do we do with a communist country that want the benefits of interacting with the world, but refuses to play by the rules.

As soon as they knew that that were dealing with a new disease, they did play by the rules.

> What do all these scientists have to say about that.

At least one of the clinicians who got told to shut up died of the disease, so we can't ask him.

> Also , are these scientists bothered that the Commies shut down Chinese scientists......Funny, I never read any stories about the comradery of scientists regarding these things.

You are confusing the medical doctors treating patients with the scientists tasked with finding out why the doctors suspected that they were dealing with a new disease.

The local authorities did tell the doctors to shut up about their suspicions, but when the higher authorities got interested, the results of the scientific investigations did get published pretty promptly.

Try to learn a bit more about what actually did happen.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On 4/18/2020 10:13 PM, Phil Allison wrote:
Tom Del Rosso wrote:

--------------------

People always use the term "conspiracy theory" for any theory they don't
agree with, whether or not it has anything to do with a conspiracy.


** What idiocy.

The term refers to hypotheses of events that require and large number of persons be involved and yet silent on the fact - seemingly indefinitely.

Any believer is required to suspend disbelief about the extreme improbability of that actually being the case.

So far, no such hypotheses have ever proved correct - from flying saucers, flat earth and space aliens running the world and worse.

A lab accident, if it happened, is not a conspiracy.


** My god you are dumb.

The conspiracy bit relates to ALL those aware being complicit and silent.



.... Phil

Who needs "conspiracies" when politicians can openly tell Americans "I
could shoot one of you and get away with it" and they actually seem
extremely happy someone is finally being honest with them.
 
On Sunday, April 19, 2020 at 7:04:12 AM UTC+10, John Larkin wrote:
On Sat, 18 Apr 2020 13:56:02 -0700 (PDT), Phil Allison
pallison49@gmail.com> wrote:

John Larkin wrote:

Scientists are no different than musicians....
He who pays the piper calls the tunes

They are as driven by emotion and ego as musicians too. The computer
simulations are all over the place.

** Does anyone sensible really think that modelling future outcomes based on numerous guesses and hunches is doing science ?

It works OK for well-behaved, reasonably linear systems, which aren't
the most interesting or important systems.

John Larkin uses Spice to model electronic circuits. He hasn't noticed that transistors have an exponential - non-linear - relationship between base-emitter voltage and collector current.

> >It sure ain't the well founded "scientific method".

Of course not. But it is useful within the scientific method, when used by people who know what they doing. John Larkin doesn't know much about what they are doing (or what he's doing when he runs Spice)

Seems the public have been conned into calling it science - because "scientists" are the ones doing it. Hmmmm....

TOP scientists!

The problem here is that John Larkin has a very strange idea of what constitutes science.

> >"The science is settled" & "I believe in the science" are catchphrases trotted out to prove one's feelings about AGW have virtue.

John Larkin gets all his idea about anthropogenic global warming from denialist propaganda sites, and lacks the wit to realise that they are lying to him for their own commercial advantage.

> >IMO - all they really show is how gullible you are - or maybe something worse.

John Larkin is terminally gullible.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On Saturday, April 18, 2020 at 9:50:58 PM UTC-4, Tom Del Rosso wrote:
Winfield Hill wrote:
https://science.slashdot.org/story/20/04/18/1836218/claim-that-covid-19-came-from-
lab-in-china-completely-unfounded-scientists-say

People always use the term "conspiracy theory" for any theory they don't
agree with, whether or not it has anything to do with a conspiracy. A
lab accident, if it happened, is not a conspiracy.

When they say "conspiracy theory" they are referring to the fact that the idea is believed in without much evidence... or in most cases, any substantial evidence.

I posted a day or two ago that there was information that indicated this infection coming from a Wuhan lab was thin, but not unbelievable or however I put it at the time. While the supporting information is scant, there is also very little evidence of the virus originating spontaneously from natural causes and showing up in the wet market.

Our friend Bill seems to be very dismissive of this idea. I agree that the evidence is very thin so at this point it is only a possibility. But the theory that it came from natural means via the Wuhan wet market is equally thin and also only a possibility. As usual Bill can't discuss a topic reasonably, something he has in common with a number of people here. So I won't debate it with him just as I try not to respond to DLU (Deluded Unix User).

I am interested in any evidence anyone has about either theory of the origin of this virus.

--

Rick C.

+ Get 1,000 miles of free Supercharging
+ Tesla referral code - https://ts.la/richard11209
 
On 4/18/2020 9:50 PM, Tom Del Rosso wrote:
Winfield Hill wrote:
https://science.slashdot.org/story/20/04/18/1836218/claim-that-covid-19-came-from-
lab-in-china-completely-unfounded-scientists-say

People always use the term "conspiracy theory" for any theory they don't
agree with, whether or not it has anything to do with a conspiracy. A
lab accident, if it happened, is not a conspiracy.

Your wife or girlfriend may very well be having gang bangs with five
dudes every weekend when you're not home but unless you can come up with
hard evidence of these events it's you that tends to end up looking like
the villain, not her, if one goes around talking about one's suspicions
to anyone who will listen.

The irony being the man in question is indeed sometimes correct, but 95%
of the time the man in question has also been jumping at shadows and
making all sorts of accusations based on circumstantial evidence for a
long time before the truth comes out, and when it finally does the only
thing people seem to remember is him being the "bad guy", and don't seem
to care too much about her behavior, anyway.
 
On Sunday, April 19, 2020 at 7:07:21 AM UTC+10, Tom Del Rosso wrote:
Phil Allison wrote:

"The science is settled" & "I believe in the science" are
catchphrases trotted out to prove one's feelings about AGW have
virtue.

"I believe in science" is a useful phrase because it marks the people
who wouldn't know science if it fell on them.

So does "the science is settled" to a lesser degree.

Sadly, lots of people think this. The science about anthropogenic global warming really is settled - or as settled as a well-established scientific hypothesis can ever be. The earth is getting warmer, and it is getting warmer because the human habit of burning fossil carbon for fuel means that there is quite a bit more CO2 in the atmosphere than there was a few hundred years ago (or has been for the past 20 million years).

The fact that today's CO2 is short of carbon-14 does mean that the extra CO2 is our CO2 - fossil carbon doesn't contain any carbon-14.

John Larkin and Tom Del Rosso don't seem to know enough about science to understand this. The denialist propaganda machine does exploit their ignorance.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On Saturday, April 18, 2020 at 10:14:04 PM UTC-4, Phil Allison wrote:
Tom Del Rosso wrote:

--------------------

People always use the term "conspiracy theory" for any theory they don't
agree with, whether or not it has anything to do with a conspiracy.


** What idiocy.

The term refers to hypotheses of events that require and large number of persons be involved and yet silent on the fact - seemingly indefinitely.

Any believer is required to suspend disbelief about the extreme improbability of that actually being the case.

So far, no such hypotheses have ever proved correct - from flying saucers, flat earth and space aliens running the world and worse.

That's not accurate. There have been many events that were kept secret by the government for many years before they finally were revealed and acknowledged. One good example is the “Tuskegee Study of Untreated Syphilis in the Negro Male.” The experiment went on for 40 years from 1932 to 1972. It involved who knows how many people in the government knowingly participating. It was only when an employee of the Public Health Service went public to the press that the experiment ended.

This is just one notable example of many people needing to keep quiet to maintain a secret that would not be well received by the general public.

--

Rick C.

-- Get 1,000 miles of free Supercharging
-- Tesla referral code - https://ts.la/richard11209
 
On Saturday, April 18, 2020 at 10:36:33 PM UTC-4, John Doe wrote:
"Tom Del Rosso" <fizzbintuesday@that-google-mail-domain.com> wrote:

Phil Allison wrote:

blather

My god you are in need of therapy.

lol

You can laugh, but you are right there sitting next to him on the group W bench.

--

Rick C.

-+ Get 1,000 miles of free Supercharging
-+ Tesla referral code - https://ts.la/richard11209
 
On Sunday, April 19, 2020 at 1:11:08 PM UTC+10, Ricky C wrote:
On Saturday, April 18, 2020 at 9:50:58 PM UTC-4, Tom Del Rosso wrote:
Winfield Hill wrote:
https://science.slashdot.org/story/20/04/18/1836218/claim-that-covid-19-came-from-
lab-in-china-completely-unfounded-scientists-say

People always use the term "conspiracy theory" for any theory they don't
agree with, whether or not it has anything to do with a conspiracy. A
lab accident, if it happened, is not a conspiracy.

When they say "conspiracy theory" they are referring to the fact that the idea is believed in without much evidence... or in most cases, any substantial evidence.

I posted a day or two ago that there was information that indicated this infection coming from a Wuhan lab was thin, but not unbelievable or however I put it at the time. While the supporting information is scant, there is also very little evidence of the virus originating spontaneously from natural causes and showing up in the wet market.

Our friend Bill seems to be very dismissive of this idea. I agree that the evidence is very thin so at this point it is only a possibility. But the theory that it came from natural means via the Wuhan wet market is equally thin and also only a possibility. As usual Bill can't discuss a topic reasonably, something he has in common with a number of people here.

Rick C.'s idea of a reasonable discussion is one in which other people agree with his - frequently sily - ideas. He can't get it into his head that he might be wrong.

> So I won't debate it with him just as I try not to respond to DLU (Deluded Unix User).

Of course not. He ends up looking like an idiot when he tries.

> I am interested in any evidence anyone has about either theory of the origin of this virus.

The theory that Covid-19 evolved naturally, in the same way as SARS and MERS and (much earlier) measles, is pretty persuasive. Why invoke an virus lab when you don't have to? William of Occam spelled out the principle some time ago

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On Sunday, April 19, 2020 at 1:24:00 PM UTC+10, Ricky C wrote:
On Saturday, April 18, 2020 at 10:36:33 PM UTC-4, John Doe wrote:
"Tom Del Rosso" <fizzbintuesday@that-google-mail-domain.com> wrote:

Phil Allison wrote:

blather

My god you are in need of therapy.

lol

You can laugh, but you are right there sitting next to him on the group W bench.

That's unkind and inaccurate. John Doe is a complete idiot. Phil Allison does have some useful information to impart, even if he is prone to fly off the handle if even minimally provoked.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On 4/18/2020 11:21 PM, Ricky C wrote:
On Saturday, April 18, 2020 at 10:14:04 PM UTC-4, Phil Allison wrote:
Tom Del Rosso wrote:

--------------------

People always use the term "conspiracy theory" for any theory they don't
agree with, whether or not it has anything to do with a conspiracy.


** What idiocy.

The term refers to hypotheses of events that require and large number of persons be involved and yet silent on the fact - seemingly indefinitely.

Any believer is required to suspend disbelief about the extreme improbability of that actually being the case.

So far, no such hypotheses have ever proved correct - from flying saucers, flat earth and space aliens running the world and worse.

That's not accurate. There have been many events that were kept secret by the government for many years before they finally were revealed and acknowledged. One good example is the “Tuskegee Study of Untreated Syphilis in the Negro Male.” The experiment went on for 40 years from 1932 to 1972. It involved who knows how many people in the government knowingly participating. It was only when an employee of the Public Health Service went public to the press that the experiment ended.

This is just one notable example of many people needing to keep quiet to maintain a secret that would not be well received by the general public.

Likely few involved thought they were doing anything "wrong" and it's
unlikely most of the American public would've cared much either prior to
1972 anyway there wouldn't be anyone to tell. Yeah they're doing some
medical experiments on poor black men, whatever.

Doesn't seem like they did much extremely proactive to keep those
experiments much of a "secret" for the majority of the 40 years nobody
gave a shit for the most part.

To have an actual conspiracy I'd argue some significant part of the
conspirators have to believe they're actually doing something bad or
against the law they weren't breaking any laws of the time as far as I know.
 
On 4/18/2020 11:32 PM, bitrex wrote:

So far, no such hypotheses have ever proved correct  -  from flying
saucers, flat earth and space aliens running the world and worse.

That's not accurate.  There have been many events that were kept
secret by the government for many years before they finally were
revealed and acknowledged.  One good example is the “Tuskegee Study of
Untreated Syphilis in the Negro Male.”  The experiment went on for 40
years from 1932 to 1972.  It involved who knows how many people in the
government knowingly participating.  It was only when an employee of
the Public Health Service went public to the press that the experiment
ended.

This is just one notable example of many people needing to keep quiet
to maintain a secret that would not be well received by the general
public.


Likely few involved thought they were doing anything "wrong" and it's
unlikely most of the American public would've cared much either prior to
1972 anyway there wouldn't be anyone to tell. Yeah they're doing some
medical experiments on poor black men, whatever.

Doesn't seem like they did much extremely proactive to keep those
experiments much of a "secret" for the majority of the 40 years nobody
gave a shit for the most part.

Take that "story" to any major American newspaper in 1955 and the editor
would laugh at you "What do you think you have here, they're doing some
medical tests on broke niggers for the benefit of everyone's public
health and you want me to run a headline about it? what the fuck kind of
story is this"
 
On Saturday, April 18, 2020 at 11:32:57 PM UTC-4, bitrex wrote:
To have an actual conspiracy I'd argue some significant part of the
conspirators have to believe they're actually doing something bad or
against the law they weren't breaking any laws of the time as far as I know.

Not the first time you'd think wrong.

Seems like someone disagreed with your opinion. A lot of someones once the news broke.

--

Rick C.

+- Get 1,000 miles of free Supercharging
+- Tesla referral code - https://ts.la/richard11209
 
On 4/18/2020 11:55 PM, Ricky C wrote:
On Saturday, April 18, 2020 at 11:32:57 PM UTC-4, bitrex wrote:

To have an actual conspiracy I'd argue some significant part of the
conspirators have to believe they're actually doing something bad or
against the law they weren't breaking any laws of the time as far as I know.

Not the first time you'd think wrong.

Seems like someone disagreed with your opinion. A lot of someones once the news broke.

There was a class-action ethics lawsuit that was settled. Who went to
jail? on what charges? what criminal laws were broken?

"It was only when an employee of the Public Health Service went public
to the press that the experiment ended. "

Not exactly, the study was known about by medical professionals and
academics before 1972 and professionals in the field had accused the
organizers of unethical practice a number of times before and attempted
to draw attention to the matter. Nobody cared:

<https://tenor.com/view/nobody-cares-nobody-cares-spongebob-imagination-gif-8176136>

Not much of a "conspiracy." More like an "open secret"
 
On 4/19/2020 12:19 AM, bitrex wrote:
On 4/18/2020 11:55 PM, Ricky C wrote:
On Saturday, April 18, 2020 at 11:32:57 PM UTC-4, bitrex wrote:

To have an actual conspiracy I'd argue some significant part of the
conspirators have to believe they're actually doing something bad or
against the law they weren't breaking any laws of the time as far as
I know.

Not the first time you'd think wrong.

Seems like someone disagreed with your opinion.  A lot of someones
once the news broke.


There was a class-action ethics lawsuit that was settled. Who went to
jail? on what charges? what criminal laws were broken?

"It was only when an employee of the Public Health Service went public
to the press that the experiment ended. "

Not exactly, the study was known about by medical professionals and
academics before 1972 and professionals in the field had accused the
organizers of unethical practice a number of times before and attempted
to draw attention to the matter. Nobody cared:

https://tenor.com/view/nobody-cares-nobody-cares-spongebob-imagination-gif-8176136


Not much of a "conspiracy." More like an "open secret"

Moreover the authors had published data under their own names in
journals about the study's results that's how other medical
professionals read about it and sent them letters of protest. They used
their real names and they prolly found their addresses in the fucking
phone book! what kind of "secret" is this!
 
Ricky C wrote:

---------------
Phil Allison wrote:

The term refers to hypotheses of events that require and large number of persons be involved and yet silent on the fact - seemingly indefinitely.

Any believer is required to suspend disbelief about the extreme improbability of that actually being the case.

So far, no such hypotheses have ever proved correct - from flying saucers, flat earth and space aliens running the world and worse.

That's not accurate. There have been many events that were kept secret
by the government for many years before they finally were revealed
and acknowledged.

** Governments rely on privacy/secrecy provisions that all public servants must sign before taking up employment. Sometimes there are anonymous leaks to journalists.

But this it not a conspiracy, which is an agreement between persons carrying out an nefarious act.

One good example is the “Tuskegee Study of Untreated Syphilis in the Negro Male.” The experiment went on for 40 years from 1932 to 1972. It involved who knows how many people in the government knowingly participating. It was only when an employee of the Public Health Service went public to the press that the experiment ended.

** So not a conspiracy - the employee had to risk their future career to do that.


This is just one notable example of many people needing to keep quiet
to maintain a secret that would not be well received by the general
public.

** Such situations are common, in business and government organisations. It is why "whistle blower" laws were created in many places.




..... Phil
 
On Sunday, April 19, 2020 at 12:35:01 AM UTC-4, Phil Allison wrote:
Ricky C wrote:

---------------
Phil Allison wrote:


The term refers to hypotheses of events that require and large number of persons be involved and yet silent on the fact - seemingly indefinitely..

Any believer is required to suspend disbelief about the extreme improbability of that actually being the case.

So far, no such hypotheses have ever proved correct - from flying saucers, flat earth and space aliens running the world and worse.

That's not accurate. There have been many events that were kept secret
by the government for many years before they finally were revealed
and acknowledged.

** Governments rely on privacy/secrecy provisions that all public servants must sign before taking up employment. Sometimes there are anonymous leaks to journalists.

That's total BS. I was a federal employee and I never had to sign anything about secrets. You make up stuff and then try to pass it on as fact. Why?


But this it not a conspiracy, which is an agreement between persons carrying out an nefarious act.

One good example is the “Tuskegee Study of Untreated Syphilis in the Negro Male.” The experiment went on for 40 years from 1932 to 1972. It involved who knows how many people in the government knowingly participating. It was only when an employee of the Public Health Service went public to the press that the experiment ended.

** So not a conspiracy - the employee had to risk their future career to do that.

Nope. You are just wrong... again. Sometimes you are a bit like the guy they call alwayswrong.


This is just one notable example of many people needing to keep quiet
to maintain a secret that would not be well received by the general
public.


** Such situations are common, in business and government organisations. It is why "whistle blower" laws were created in many places.

Yes, exactly. So now you are agreeing that this was a conspiracy. That's why you need whistle blowers, to rat out the conspirators. It's not about revealing secrets. The only secrets the government can enforce are sensitive documents they classify as such. That is a whole different matter where you can and will go to jail for releasing.

Whatever. I'm not going to debate this with you. I don't recall any time you have ever backed down from being wrong in any discussion with anyone. So what's the point of endlessly explaining anything to you?

Enjoy..

--

Rick C.

++ Get 1,000 miles of free Supercharging
++ Tesla referral code - https://ts.la/richard11209
 

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