Toshiba TV29C90 problem; Image fades to black...

Phil Allison wrote:

And bets of all, it pisses fuckwit pedants off to hell !!!!!!!!!!!

It definitely keeps you so pissed off that you can't spell words like
'best'.


--
You can't have a sense of humor, if you have no sense.
 
On 9/26/2011 3:23 PM, Jerry Peters wrote:
Nope, AFAIK it's straitjacket in the US also.
It IS strait jacket, but straight is the alternate spelling.

Jeff

--
"Everything from Crackers to Coffins"
 
Wild_Bill wrote:
Your point wrt LEDs only having limited directional output is
important, for most of the commonly available types.
**Wrong. Luxeon emitters have been available for many years, with a 120
degree spread.

It was easily seen that filament lighting was omnidirectional, and
very evenly dispersed by internal coatings applied to the envelopes.

The common T-1-3/4 LED is essentially good for a panel indicator, not
a space illuminating/lighting device.
Even the more powerful 1W and larger devices wouldn't throw any light
if not for the lenses and a good reflector,
**Nor does ANY light source, you nong. You may also care to note that I
posted photographs that disproved your last nonsensical claim about such
things. You failed to acknowledge this fact.


The reflector area needs
to be about 30-50x that of the LED lens to throw much light for any
distance (counterproductive for a compact design)..
**Here is a photo of the two torches from my previous posting:

http://s1112.photobucket.com/albums/k497/Zaphod1000/

Look at the size difference. Look at the amount of light "thrown" by each
torch onto a dark wall. Which is greater? Which is the more useful, more
portable torch?

When will you cease making insane, unsupportable statements?


and then the
results are a bright spot surrounded by a much dimmer halo.
**The results are what the designers want them to be.


Also, the higher output devices need to be attached to heatsinks.
**So? The CPU in my computer must be attached to a heat sink. It ain't
rocket science. If I dropped both torches, whilst swtiched on, the LED torch
has a much better chance of survival.

The EE Times article image is half-assed, at best, and where do they
get writers/reporters today?
**This would be a pot, kettle, balck kind of moment. Your half-arsed
comments are now entering into legend. Shall we review them?


They can't provide a link to go directly
to the manufacturers' products that they report on, but instead only
provide a link so you can go look it up yourself.

http://www.osram.com/osram_com/News/General_Interest_Press/2011/110825_Parathom_Pro_Classic_A75_Advanced.html

This fuzzy image looks like an artist created it.. it might be
expected that the actual construction materials are clear.. I just
hope it's not glass, because every simpleton already knows that glass
production is destroying the planet.
It sorta looks like a hemisphere of LEDs and a reflector/diffuser
over it. There doesn't appear to be any obtrusive heat sinking like
the flying saucer shapes I've seen in the stores lately.
There you have it.. these lights will pay for themselves. Step right
up, folks.
This here is a new Dimension.

The listed efficiency of a 75W incandescent is shown as Zero.
**No, it is not. Read the cite again. CAREFULLY. Don't try to interpret what
is written.

.. but
it's actually 100% or more when it's turned off, and it might only
cost $1 (although I regularly see them for lower prices).
**Sheer idiocy.


So, maybe this is the root issue, that people today are too GD lazy
to turn off lights when they're not being used (doesn't matter that
the govt has strongly recommended it, for years now).

If the efficiency of a 75W IC lamp is zero,
**The efficiency of a 75 Watt IC almps is NOT zero. It is something like 2%
~ 5%.


then watt about a 100W..
minus 25?
It's already been established that the heating value (of the mostly
infrared light) from IC lamps will reduce home heating system loads.
**They MIGHT. In Winter AND if the lamps are placed floor level and/or if
there are some air circulation systems in place. Either way, using IC lamps
for heating is hit and miss, at best. Heat pumps are dramatically more
efficient. By as much as 400%, in fact.

The Chinese (government-backed) factories could likely tool up within
a couple of weeks to closely copy this lamp, or a looky-like the
same, and flood the market.

Since few people are aware of the disclaimer that comes with nearly
every poduct produced today (and for recent decades)..
"Specifications subject to change".

Might wanna get the extended warranty on these new lights.. the
"limited" package warranty might look like swiss cheese.

One of my curiosities will be how tolerant the new LED lamps will be
of line voltage spikes/surges, regardless of what the predicted
lifetimes are.
**Any sensible designer takes such things into account. My halogen
downlights are operated via similar technology to that which drives LEDs.
They're reasonably well protected against damage.


--
Trevor Wilson
www.rageaudio.com.au
 
Trevor Wilson wrote:
**Here is a photo of the two torches from my previous posting:

http://s1112.photobucket.com/albums/k497/Zaphod1000/

Look at the size difference.
**The halogen torch is on the left.


--
Trevor Wilson
www.rageaudio.com.au
 
In sci.electronics.repair kreed <kenreed1999@gmail.com> wrote:
On Sep 26, 4:35 pm, "William Sommerwerck" <grizzledgee...@comcast.net
wrote:
The fact that a dictionary accepts a gross misspelling of a word does not
make it right.

The English language -- unlike the French -- does not have an "authority"
controlling its content or usage, so it can be corrupted. "Straightjacket"
is wrong.

Well, I always thought it was "strait" jacket.

Possibly "Straight" Jacket is probably an American version of the
term, the Americans are good at spelling words differently, dropping
and reversing letters, compared to other english speaking peoples.
Nope, AFAIK it's straitjacket in the US also.

Jerry
 
"Trevor Wilson" <trevor@rageaudio.com.au> wrote in message
news:9e9o9qFmk9U1@mid.individual.net...
Arfa Daily wrote:
Well, I guess we're never going to agree on any aspect of this. You
seem predisposed to take the wrong way, a number of points that I
have repeatedly made, but ho-hum, it's been an interesting line of
chat, and at least it hasn't descended into a screaming match as is
so often the case in these discussions :)

**Provided there is some respect on both sides and an attempt to undestand
the other POV, I see no reason why a screaming match is necessary. I no
longer waste my time with those who choose to insult, rather than present
a cogent argument. It's better for my health.

Your comments about prices of CFLs have me intrigued. I did some more
research. Here are some prices in the US:

http://www.homedepot.com/webapp/wcs/stores/servlet/Navigation?storeId=10051&N=542102+90401&langId=-1&catalogId=10053&cm_sp=Electrical-_-LightBulbs-_-CatHighlight-_-CFLs

Prices appear to be somewhat lower than Australia and dramatically lower
than in the UK. I suggest that you should be complaining about CFL prices
in the UK. Clearly, something is seriously awry.

I accept personal preferences for ICs are valid. I accept that personal
preferences against CFLs are also valid. I also accept the testing done by
Choice and others, that prove the efficiency aspects of CFLs are
significantly in advance of ICs. I accept, in the abscence of evidence to
the contrary, that CFLs have a manufacturing energy cost that is
approximately 6 times that of ICs.

Having said all that, there is one aspect of our discussion that I find
deeply troubling. You're a smart guy. Yet you appear to be willing to
reject the overwhelming bulk of good, solid science that has shown that
rising CO2 levels are causing the present warming we find ourselves
experiencing. You appear to be rejecting the science, in preference for
the hysterical ravings of those who have clear links to the fossil fuel
industry. OTH, the scientists who study and report on global warming, for
the most part, do not have links to the alternative energy business. They
do what a good scientist should do - report the science without regard to
political or business bias. Consider the NASA and EPA scientists who were
issuing very clear warnings to President Bush. Bush was a rabid global
warming denier. We had the same thing here in Australia. During the Howard
government years, Australia's premier scientific body (the CSIRO) was
issuing clear reports to the government that anthropogenic global warming
was going to cause serious problems for Australia and the rest of the
planet. Yet the Howard government was aligned with the Bush government, in
that denial of the science was the order of the day. In fact, the leftover
ministers of the Howard government are still denying the science, even
today. Most are religious loonies, so no one takes much ntice anymore.

Please do some reading on the topic. Unlike the present discussion on CFLs
(which is really a bit of a distraction), it is a very important issue.


--
Trevor Wilson
www.rageaudio.com.au
Hmmm. You see, this is where I get a bit pissed off. The terms like 'denier'
that get bandied about. This is a carefully chosen word to put those who
have an 'alternate' view, firmly into the same bracket as the holocaust
deniers. And the "You're a smart guy" .... but ... I can almost see the
head sadly shaking. If you think that I'm so smart, do you honestly believe
that I never do any reading on all this ? Do you think my position on all
this has come about as a result of me just wanting to take an alternate view
for the sake of it ? I don't know what the situation is in your half of the
world, but up here, the whole eco-bollox thing has become like an hysterical
religion. No one is allowed to have an alternate view without being screamed
down as a "denier". When I say that the case is by no means proven, except
in the media, it's reached the point now where the BBC don't basically carry
any news that might present an alternate view. If they do have anyone on a
programme that dares to suggest any alternate view, they make sure that
there are three loud-mouthed greenies in the studio, to shout the person
down. Plus the interviewer of course. It has got so that every news story is
twisted to include the phrases "global warming" and "carbon footprint" and
"CO2 emissions". I'm sick to bloody death of hearing it.

Most of the initial momentum for this whole affair, came from computer
models. Computer models can't even guess your electricity bill correctly,
when they can't be bothered to read your meter, and that's with just a few
variables involved. A lot more of the fuel comes from the University of East
Anglia here in the UK, where the badly flawed 'hockey stick' graph came
from, that sought to show the rapid warming, that actually hadn't taken
place. The guy in charge of all this was suspended from his position, after
his emails were obtained, showing communications with his contemporaries,
inviting them to massage the data to fit the model. It was largely as a
result of this, that the last big convention up in Scandinavia fell apart,
as it was taking place when all this came out. What kind of science is that
? What kind of scientist is he ?

My big problem is that the greenies don't have an open mind about the
situation. As far as they are concerned, it is fully proven, done, dusted,
and anyone who doesn't follow blindly down the path, is a heretic. Well, I'm
sorry, but in my mind, as long as there is the slightest doubt, the case
isn't proven and closed, and a good scientist should keep his mind open.
Fortunately, there is a recent groundswell of alternate view from a number
of equally reputable scientists, who are finally having the balls to stand
up and be counted.

And as for people being in the pay of the fossil fuel industry, have you
stopped to consider the multi-billion dollar industry that is now the green
movement ? Do you think that for some reason, because they are greenies,
they are somehow nicer people than those in fossil fuel ? Not prepared to
have people in their pay to say what they need them to ? If the whole
man-made global warming argument were to collapse, it would spell the death
of the green industrial machine, with no less implications and impact that a
similar demise of the fossil fuel industry would have.

I quite understand that you feel strongly that the case for man-made global
warming is made with 100% certainty. That is your prerogative. But please
understand that I, and many others also read the same data and arguments,
and arrive at a different conclusion. I don't have a closed mind on the
subject. I am still open to persuasion if indisputable data is presented.
But I would really like it to all become detached from the religious
hysteria that has gripped the world over it.

I don't have a problem with accepting that the weather patterns are
changing. But then they always have throughout recorded history. Maybe man's
activities do have a contributory effect. But I seriously don't believe that
all of the changes that are perceived are down to things that we are doing.
There are many other factors that contribute to weather patterns, and some
of them may be more significant than some of the pseudo-science about man's
activities, would have everyone believe. As far as I am concerned, the jury
is still out.

Anyway, that's my piece said. I don't suppose it will change anything, and I
expect there will still be a lot of people pursing their lips and shaking
their heads at this poor deluded fool, but hey-ho. That's life, and I don't
really have the inclination to spend any more time on it now.

Arfa
 
On Tue, 27 Sep 2011 02:14:53 +0100, "Arfa Daily"
<arfa.daily@ntlworld.com> wrote:

Hmmm. You see, this is where I get a bit pissed off. The terms like 'denier'
that get bandied about. This is a carefully chosen word to put those who
have an 'alternate' view, firmly into the same bracket as the holocaust
deniers.
<snip>

My big problem is that the greenies don't have an open mind about the
situation. As far as they are concerned, it is fully proven, done, dusted,
and anyone who doesn't follow blindly down the path, is a heretic.
See any problem with what you've said between the two paragraphs?

Hmmm, indeed.
 
Arfa Daily wrote:
"Trevor Wilson" <trevor@rageaudio.com.au> wrote in message
news:9e9o9qFmk9U1@mid.individual.net...
Arfa Daily wrote:
Well, I guess we're never going to agree on any aspect of this. You
seem predisposed to take the wrong way, a number of points that I
have repeatedly made, but ho-hum, it's been an interesting line of
chat, and at least it hasn't descended into a screaming match as is
so often the case in these discussions :)

**Provided there is some respect on both sides and an attempt to
undestand the other POV, I see no reason why a screaming match is
necessary. I no longer waste my time with those who choose to
insult, rather than present a cogent argument. It's better for my
health. Your comments about prices of CFLs have me intrigued. I did some
more
research. Here are some prices in the US:

http://www.homedepot.com/webapp/wcs/stores/servlet/Navigation?storeId=10051&N=542102+90401&langId=-1&catalogId=10053&cm_sp=Electrical-_-LightBulbs-_-CatHighlight-_-CFLs

Prices appear to be somewhat lower than Australia and dramatically
lower than in the UK. I suggest that you should be complaining about
CFL prices in the UK. Clearly, something is seriously awry.

I accept personal preferences for ICs are valid. I accept that
personal preferences against CFLs are also valid. I also accept the
testing done by Choice and others, that prove the efficiency aspects
of CFLs are significantly in advance of ICs. I accept, in the
abscence of evidence to the contrary, that CFLs have a manufacturing
energy cost that is approximately 6 times that of ICs.

Having said all that, there is one aspect of our discussion that I
find deeply troubling. You're a smart guy. Yet you appear to be
willing to reject the overwhelming bulk of good, solid science that
has shown that rising CO2 levels are causing the present warming we
find ourselves experiencing. You appear to be rejecting the science,
in preference for the hysterical ravings of those who have clear
links to the fossil fuel industry. OTH, the scientists who study and
report on global warming, for the most part, do not have links to
the alternative energy business. They do what a good scientist
should do - report the science without regard to political or
business bias. Consider the NASA and EPA scientists who were issuing
very clear warnings to President Bush. Bush was a rabid global
warming denier. We had the same thing here in Australia. During the
Howard government years, Australia's premier scientific body (the
CSIRO) was issuing clear reports to the government that
anthropogenic global warming was going to cause serious problems for
Australia and the rest of the planet. Yet the Howard government was
aligned with the Bush government, in that denial of the science was
the order of the day. In fact, the leftover ministers of the Howard
government are still denying the science, even today. Most are
religious loonies, so no one takes much ntice anymore. Please do some
reading on the topic. Unlike the present discussion
on CFLs (which is really a bit of a distraction), it is a very
important issue. --
Trevor Wilson
www.rageaudio.com.au


Hmmm. You see, this is where I get a bit pissed off. The terms like
'denier' that get bandied about. This is a carefully chosen word to
put those who have an 'alternate' view, firmly into the same bracket
as the holocaust deniers.
**I was EXTREMELY careful in my use of the term 'denier'. I did not call you
a denier (though you may well be - or not). I called John Howard (and his
government) and George W Bush deniers. I was quite specific. John Howard was
a lawyer and a politician. He has little knowledge of scientific matters.
George W Bush was/is a drug-addled college drop-out, whose daddy managed to
keep him out of gaol and then became a politician. His knowledge of
scientific matters was/is virtually non-existent. Both these men employed a
bunch of very smart climate scientists (the EPA, NASA, US Academy of
Sciences - in the US. CSIRO, BoM, Australian Academy of Science - in
Australia) to inform them on the situation regarding climate change (aka:
global warming) and the relevance of human influence. ALL these
organisations informed both men that there was almost no doubt that human
induced global warming was a serious problem that needed to be addressed.

Not only did these men ignore the advice of the scientists that they paid to
inform them, but they actively denied the overwhelming evidence presented
and decided that the people who are employed by the fossil fuel industy were
correct.

That is what I call a denier.

And the "You're a smart guy" .... but
... I can almost see the head sadly shaking.
**Not at all. We've had dealings in the past and I have no issues with the
term. As a technical guy, you will likely have a good grounding in science.
I find it curious that you've managed to find fault with everything in the
IPCC AR4 though. I tazke it that you've read the report? All 1,600 odd
pages?

If you think that I'm
so smart, do you honestly believe that I never do any reading on all
this ?
**I'm sure you do. Have you read the IPCC reports?

Do you think my position on all this has come about as a
result of me just wanting to take an alternate view for the sake of
it ?
**Possibly. Many people take such a view.


I don't know what the situation is in your half of the world,
but up here, the whole eco-bollox thing has become like an hysterical
religion.
**As it should be. Many researchers have predicted that if CO2 levels reach
500ppm, positive feedback will ensue and there will be nothing humans can do
to prevent catastrophic warming from occuring. At least one researcher
believes that the 'tipping point' has already been reached. It would seem
prudent to listen to the guys who study climatology, rather than the guys
who speak for the fossil fuel industry in this matter.

No one is allowed to have an alternate view without being
screamed down as a "denier".
**Well, it would seem that, since climatologists study the climate, ignoring
what they say is, at a very minimum, stupid.

When I say that the case is by no means
proven, except in the media,
**The Murdock controlled media claims it is all wrong. The scientific medai,
OTOH, has made it's case very clear. AGW is a problem.

it's reached the point now where the BBC
don't basically carry any news that might present an alternate view.
**Perhaps the BBC is concentrating on facts, rather than fiction. I accept
that. They leave the fiction, lies and distortions to the Murdock media.
Would you prefer that the BBC was more like the Murdock media?

If they do have anyone on a programme that dares to suggest any
alternate view, they make sure that there are three loud-mouthed
greenies in the studio, to shout the person down.
**I have no problems with charlatans being exposed. In fact, I support it.

Plus the
interviewer of course. It has got so that every news story is twisted
to include the phrases "global warming" and "carbon footprint" and
"CO2 emissions". I'm sick to bloody death of hearing it.
**Given the fact that it is a very serious problem, you should expect to her
a great deal about it.

Most of the initial momentum for this whole affair, came from computer
models.
**No, it did not. The initial momentum came about during the early 1970s
(which is when I first began reading about CO2 induced global warming in the
pages of Scientific American). The warming that was occuring was begining to
alarm researchers. Sometime later (1988), the IPCC was set up to investigate
the measured warming.

Computer models can't even guess your electricity bill
correctly, when they can't be bothered to read your meter, and that's
with just a few variables involved. A lot more of the fuel comes from
the University of East Anglia here in the UK, where the badly flawed
'hockey stick' graph came from, that sought to show the rapid
warming, that actually hadn't taken place. The guy in charge of all
this was suspended from his position, after his emails were obtained,
showing communications with his contemporaries, inviting them to
massage the data to fit the model.
**I am familiar with the illegally obtained emails, which were carefully
cherry-picked for release, in a shabby attempt to discredit some very
dedicated scientists. Fortunately several independent inquiries have
exonerated the scientists.

It was largely as a result of
this, that the last big convention up in Scandinavia fell apart, as
it was taking place when all this came out. What kind of science is
that ? What kind of scientist is he ?
**A very good scientist, actually. Of course, if you had taken the time to
investigate the matter, you might realise that the (Murdock controlled?) did
a number on the CRU.

My big problem is that the greenies don't have an open mind about the
situation.
**Some do. Some don't.

As far as they are concerned, it is fully proven, done,
dusted, and anyone who doesn't follow blindly down the path, is a
heretic.
**Nope. The only people who don't accept the reality of AGW are:

* Idiots.
* Religious nutters.
* Fossil fuel apologists.
* Those who are too lazy to read the best information on the issue (AR4).

Well, I'm sorry, but in my mind, as long as there is the
slightest doubt, the case isn't proven and closed, and a good
scientist should keep his mind open.
**Indeed. Have you read AR4? All 1600-odd pages?

Fortunately, there is a recent
groundswell of alternate view from a number of equally reputable
scientists, who are finally having the balls to stand up and be
counted.
**Wrong. There are a very, very tiny number of climate scientists who
challenge the consensus view. Most are paid by the fossil fuel industry and
are, therefore, suspect. The opinions of scientists whose discipline is not
climate science are not of much interest.

And as for people being in the pay of the fossil fuel industry, have
you stopped to consider the multi-billion dollar industry that is now
the green movement ?
**What are you attempting to draw a comparison here with? A wind turbine
manufacturer, compared to Exxon? Yeah, right. The fossil fuel industry is
extremely well-funded, entrenched and uses EXACTLY the same tactics as those
employed by the tobacco industry. In fact, they use the same organisations
to promote their position. THAT should send warning bells to any sane
person.

Do you think that for some reason, because they
are greenies, they are somehow nicer people than those in fossil fuel
?
**I am not talking about nice. I'm talking about science. Keep the
discussion centred on the science. Personalities are a spurious issue.

Not prepared to have people in their pay to say what they need them
**Some people say what they're paid to say and some say what they believe.
And some say what the science says. They're the scientists and they are the
only ones I care about.

If the whole man-made global warming argument were to collapse,
it would spell the death of the green industrial machine, with no
less implications and impact that a similar demise of the fossil fuel
industry would have.
**You may as well ask what would happen if NASA admitted that the Moon
landing was bullshit. It happened. Global warming is happening. The trend is
impossible to refute.

I quite understand that you feel strongly that the case for man-made
global warming is made with 100% certainty.
**Call it 95% certainty. That's close enough for me. If my local fire
authorities suggested that there was a 95% probability that my home would be
destroyed in a bushfire within the next 10 years, I'd make certain my
insurance policy covered such an event. Are you one of those people who
prefers to cling to the 5% possibility? I call that dumb.

That is your prerogative.
But please understand that I, and many others also read the same data
and arguments, and arrive at a different conclusion.
**Have you read AR4?

I don't have a
closed mind on the subject. I am still open to persuasion if
indisputable data is presented. But I would really like it to all
become detached from the religious hysteria that has gripped the
world over it.
**It's science, not religion.

I don't have a problem with accepting that the weather patterns are
changing. But then they always have throughout recorded history.
**Just a reminder: We're discussing CLIMATE change, not the daily weather.


Maybe man's activities do have a contributory effect. But I seriously
don't believe that all of the changes that are perceived are down to
things that we are doing.
**NO ONE EVER said that humans were solely responsible. The Sun is the major
driver of climate on this planet. CO2 is _a_ driver of climate. A small one.
Small, but significant. CO2 is not insignificant.


There are many other factors that
contribute to weather patterns, and some of them may be more
significant than some of the pseudo-science about man's activities,
would have everyone believe. As far as I am concerned, the jury is
still out.
**Have you read AR4?

Anyway, that's my piece said. I don't suppose it will change
anything, and I expect there will still be a lot of people pursing
their lips and shaking their heads at this poor deluded fool, but
hey-ho. That's life, and I don't really have the inclination to spend
any more time on it now.
**Take some time to read AR4. THEN get back to me.


--
Trevor Wilson
www.rageaudio.com.au
 
On Tue, 27 Sep 2011 12:46:26 +1000, "Trevor Wilson"
<trevor@rageaudio.com.au> wrote:

**Take some time to read AR4. THEN get back to me.
The reports are here:
<http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtml>
I've only read the one on the physical science basis.

The 5th report is scheduled for release in stages from Sept 2013 thru
Oct 2014. It's focus is a bit different than previous reports.
<http://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtml>
"...AR5 will put greater emphasis on assessing the socio-economic
aspects of climate change and implications for sustainable
development, risk management and the framing of a response
through both adaptation and mitigation."
In other words, it will tell the governments and politicians what to
do. I can't wait.





--
# Jeff Liebermann 150 Felker St #D Santa Cruz CA 95060
# 831-336-2558
# http://802.11junk.com jeffl@cruzio.com
# http://www.LearnByDestroying.com AE6KS
 
Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Tue, 27 Sep 2011 12:46:26 +1000, "Trevor Wilson"
trevor@rageaudio.com.au> wrote:

**Take some time to read AR4. THEN get back to me.

The reports are here:
http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtml
I've only read the one on the physical science basis.

The 5th report is scheduled for release in stages from Sept 2013 thru
Oct 2014. It's focus is a bit different than previous reports.
http://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtml
"...AR5 will put greater emphasis on assessing the socio-economic
aspects of climate change and implications for sustainable
development, risk management and the framing of a response
through both adaptation and mitigation."
In other words, it will tell the governments and politicians what to
do. I can't wait.
**No, it won't. It will, like a good scientific document, ADVISE on
appropriate course/s of action. They are not likely to be pleasant and will
be resisted by the Murdock media and the fossil fuel industry. There is
certainly no doubt that many nations will be dragging their feet on the way
to reduce CO2 emissions.


Will our society survive? I doubt it. It seems more likely that action will
be too little too late.


--
Trevor Wilson
www.rageaudio.com.au
 
On Tue, 27 Sep 2011 14:03:13 +1000, "Trevor Wilson"
<trevor@rageaudio.com.au> wrote:

Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Tue, 27 Sep 2011 12:46:26 +1000, "Trevor Wilson"
trevor@rageaudio.com.au> wrote:

**Take some time to read AR4. THEN get back to me.

The reports are here:
http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtml
I've only read the one on the physical science basis.

The 5th report is scheduled for release in stages from Sept 2013 thru
Oct 2014. It's focus is a bit different than previous reports.
http://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtml
"...AR5 will put greater emphasis on assessing the socio-economic
aspects of climate change and implications for sustainable
development, risk management and the framing of a response
through both adaptation and mitigation."
In other words, it will tell the governments and politicians what to
do. I can't wait.

**No, it won't. It will, like a good scientific document, ADVISE on
appropriate course/s of action.
True. Climate researchers don't run the government or run for office.
Politicians tend to pick whatever helps them win:
<http://woods.stanford.edu/?q=research/surveys-climate-energy/climate-views-elections>

They are not likely to be pleasant and will
be resisted by the Murdock media and the fossil fuel industry.
Also true. However, the AGW deniers do serve a vital function. If
everyone agrees with the IPCC consensus, there would be no need for a
5th report, no need to fund research, and no need to debate the
issues. Without opposition, the IPCC would probably be disolved.

There is
certainly no doubt that many nations will be dragging their feet on the way
to reduce CO2 emissions.
Of course. When in doubt, do nothing. That may sound awful, but it
has served mankind quite well since we climbed out of the trees. If
we were more impulsive, we would probably be extinct by now. Evolution
sometimes rewards aggressive action. Human society does not.

Will our society survive? I doubt it. It seems more likely that action will
be too little too late.
As opposed to too much too early? That seems to be the real problem.
I don't think there's any serious opposition to the observation that
the global climate is changing. It has changed before and will
certainly do so again. The real questions are is it caused by human
activity and can we do anything about it? The options are not very
appealing. Leave things as they are, and civilization comes to an
end. Drastically downsize the population with a corresponding
reduction in greenhouse gas production, and it's almost as likely that
we would also put an end to civilization, at least as we know it
today. Since genocide and enforced austerity are not popular
concepts, the compromise is to do nothing, which we are now doing
quite nicely.

Drivel: I used to work for a boss who's motto was "Do something, even
if it's wrong". He ended his career by doing something really wrong,
instead of thinking it out in advance. Hopefully, we won't make the
same mistake with AGW.


--
Jeff Liebermann jeffl@cruzio.com
150 Felker St #D http://www.LearnByDestroying.com
Santa Cruz CA 95060 http://802.11junk.com
Skype: JeffLiebermann AE6KS 831-336-2558
 
Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Tue, 27 Sep 2011 14:03:13 +1000, "Trevor Wilson"
trevor@rageaudio.com.au> wrote:

Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Tue, 27 Sep 2011 12:46:26 +1000, "Trevor Wilson"
trevor@rageaudio.com.au> wrote:

**Take some time to read AR4. THEN get back to me.

The reports are here:
http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtml
I've only read the one on the physical science basis.

The 5th report is scheduled for release in stages from Sept 2013
thru Oct 2014. It's focus is a bit different than previous reports.
http://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtml
"...AR5 will put greater emphasis on assessing the socio-economic
aspects of climate change and implications for sustainable
development, risk management and the framing of a response
through both adaptation and mitigation."
In other words, it will tell the governments and politicians what to
do. I can't wait.

**No, it won't. It will, like a good scientific document, ADVISE on
appropriate course/s of action.

True. Climate researchers don't run the government or run for office.
Politicians tend to pick whatever helps them win:
http://woods.stanford.edu/?q=research/surveys-climate-energy/climate-views-elections

They are not likely to be pleasant and will
be resisted by the Murdock media and the fossil fuel industry.

Also true. However, the AGW deniers do serve a vital function. If
everyone agrees with the IPCC consensus, there would be no need for a
5th report, no need to fund research, and no need to debate the
issues. Without opposition, the IPCC would probably be disolved.

There is
certainly no doubt that many nations will be dragging their feet on
the way to reduce CO2 emissions.

Of course. When in doubt, do nothing. That may sound awful, but it
has served mankind quite well since we climbed out of the trees. If
we were more impulsive, we would probably be extinct by now. Evolution
sometimes rewards aggressive action. Human society does not.

Will our society survive? I doubt it. It seems more likely that
action will be too little too late.

As opposed to too much too early? That seems to be the real problem.
I don't think there's any serious opposition to the observation that
the global climate is changing. It has changed before and will
certainly do so again. The real questions are is it caused by human
activity and can we do anything about it? The options are not very
appealing. Leave things as they are, and civilization comes to an
end. Drastically downsize the population with a corresponding
reduction in greenhouse gas production, and it's almost as likely that
we would also put an end to civilization, at least as we know it
today. Since genocide and enforced austerity are not popular
concepts, the compromise is to do nothing, which we are now doing
quite nicely.

Drivel: I used to work for a boss who's motto was "Do something, even
if it's wrong". He ended his career by doing something really wrong,
instead of thinking it out in advance. Hopefully, we won't make the
same mistake with AGW.
**The nice thing about reducing CO2 emissions, is that there is no serious
downside. It's only about the money and where it is spent. If all the
climate scientists are correct and we fail to act, then the costs may exceed
the ability of the population of this planet to pay.


--
Trevor Wilson
www.rageaudio.com.au
 
On Tue, 27 Sep 2011 15:27:42 +1000, "Trevor Wilson"
<trevor@rageaudio.com.au> wrote:

**The nice thing about reducing CO2 emissions, is that there is no serious
downside. It's only about the money and where it is spent. If all the
climate scientists are correct and we fail to act, then the costs may exceed
the ability of the population of this planet to pay.
No downside? What about the economic downside? If we went on a major
global greenhouse gas reduction program, fossil fuel based
transportation would come to an end, many inherently inefficient
industries (e.g. aluminum) would be effectively banned, and production
of most everything made from processed petroleum (e.g. plastics,
fertilizer) would be drastically reduced. I'm sure the IPCC has
recognized this downside, which might explain their emphasis:
"... on assessing the socio-economic
aspects of climate change and implications for sustainable
development, risk management and the framing of a response
through both adaptation and mitigation."
in the 5th report, which covers the topic and should include any
downsides. Personally, I don't see any way to make it happen without
nationalizing every industry that belches CO2, methane, or water
vapor, and putting them all on a rather restrictive diet. Like I
said, I can't wait to hear their expert advice on adaptation and
mitigation without collateral damage. "The operation was a success,
but the patient died" comes to mind.


--
Jeff Liebermann jeffl@cruzio.com
150 Felker St #D http://www.LearnByDestroying.com
Santa Cruz CA 95060 http://802.11junk.com
Skype: JeffLiebermann AE6KS 831-336-2558
 
"Jeff Liebermann"

I used to work for a boss who's motto was "Do something, even
if it's wrong". He ended his career by doing something really wrong,
instead of thinking it out in advance. Hopefully, we won't make the
same mistake with AGW.

** Ever hear of Politician's Logic ??

It goes like this:

A group of politicians is confronted with what looks like a serious problem.

They say to each other:

" This is just terrible - we must do SOMETHING "

Then a rather obvious suggestion is made and they all latch onto it saying:

" This is SOMETHING therefore we MUST do it !! "



.... Phil
 
Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Tue, 27 Sep 2011 15:27:42 +1000, "Trevor Wilson"
trevor@rageaudio.com.au> wrote:

**The nice thing about reducing CO2 emissions, is that there is no
serious downside. It's only about the money and where it is spent.
If all the climate scientists are correct and we fail to act, then
the costs may exceed the ability of the population of this planet to
pay.

No downside? What about the economic downside?
**I did say: "No serious downside". The estimated costs, right now, are not
onerous. As we move foreward, those costs will increase. Possibly more
importantly, there are some potential upsides for many new industries.

If we went on a major
global greenhouse gas reduction program, fossil fuel based
transportation would come to an end,
**Which it exxentially will anyway. Oil is rapidly running out.

many inherently inefficient
industries (e.g. aluminum) would be effectively banned,
**Not at all. Aluminium smelting can utilise any electrical energy source.
Nukes, geo-thermal, Solar, wind, tidal, whatever. And, just to press the
point home, I did a little research a while back on the aluminium industry.

* Back in 1989, electricity costs were around 50% of the present level (in
Australia).
* Aluminium was around US$600.00/Tonne.
* The electricity cost to smelt 1 Tonne of aluminium in 1989 was
approximately $200.00/Tonne.
* The aluminium industry (in Australia) was profitable in 1989.
* The electricity cost to smelt 1 Tonne of aluminium today was approximately
$400.00/Tonne.
* The aluminium price today is close to US$2,500.00/Tonne.
* Even using the most pessimistic cost increases, due to greenhouse
reduction costs, the aluminium industry (in Australia) will still be very
profitable.

The aluminium industry continually bleats about high costs. They don't
menton the massive profits.

and production
of most everything made from processed petroleum (e.g. plastics,
fertilizer) would be drastically reduced.
**That would depend on the measures that are taken.

I'm sure the IPCC has
recognized this downside, which might explain their emphasis:
"... on assessing the socio-economic
aspects of climate change and implications for sustainable
development, risk management and the framing of a response
through both adaptation and mitigation."
in the 5th report, which covers the topic and should include any
downsides. Personally, I don't see any way to make it happen without
nationalizing every industry that belches CO2, methane, or water
vapor, and putting them all on a rather restrictive diet. Like I
said, I can't wait to hear their expert advice on adaptation and
mitigation without collateral damage. "The operation was a success,
but the patient died" comes to mind.
**There will certainly be some serious downsides in any CO2 abatement
programmes. The alternative is, however, utterly unthinkable.


--
Trevor Wilson
www.rageaudio.com.au
 
On Tue, 27 Sep 2011 15:57:31 +1000, "Trevor Wilson"
<trevor@rageaudio.com.au> wrote:

**Not at all. Aluminium smelting can utilise any electrical energy source.
Nukes, geo-thermal, Solar, wind, tidal, whatever. And, just to press the
point home, I did a little research a while back on the aluminium industry.

* Back in 1989, electricity costs were around 50% of the present level (in
Australia).
* Aluminium was around US$600.00/Tonne.
* The electricity cost to smelt 1 Tonne of aluminium in 1989 was
approximately $200.00/Tonne.
* The aluminium industry (in Australia) was profitable in 1989.
* The electricity cost to smelt 1 Tonne of aluminium today was approximately
$400.00/Tonne.
* The aluminium price today is close to US$2,500.00/Tonne.
* Even using the most pessimistic cost increases, due to greenhouse
reduction costs, the aluminium industry (in Australia) will still be very
profitable.

The aluminium industry continually bleats about high costs. They don't
menton the massive profits.
Interesting. I excavated some US numbers on aluminum. Each page has
about 5 years worth of annual costs. Sorry for the mess:
<http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/commodity/aluminum/mcs-2011-alumi.pdf>
<http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/commodity/aluminum/alumimcs06.pdf>
<http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/commodity/aluminum/050302.pdf>

Price (not adjusted for inflation)
US$ per lb
2010 1.214
2009 1.252
2008 1.205
2007 0.794
2006 1.017
2005 0.688
2004 0.649
2003 0.681
2002 0.840
2001 0.880
2000 0.771
1999 0.655
1998 0.657

Looks to me like the price of aluminum doubled between 1998 and 2010
in the US. That's about right considering the increased cost of
industrial electricity. However, it seems that the price in Australia
went up by 4.2 times. Was there something that happened in Australia
during this time period to produce this difference?


--
Jeff Liebermann jeffl@cruzio.com
150 Felker St #D http://www.LearnByDestroying.com
Santa Cruz CA 95060 http://802.11junk.com
Skype: JeffLiebermann AE6KS 831-336-2558
 
kreed wrote:
On Sep 27, 2:03 pm, "Trevor Wilson" <tre...@rageaudio.com.au> wrote:
Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Tue, 27 Sep 2011 12:46:26 +1000, "Trevor Wilson"
tre...@rageaudio.com.au> wrote:

**Take some time to read AR4. THEN get back to me.

The reports are here:
http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_report...
I've only read the one on the physical science basis.

The 5th report is scheduled for release in stages from Sept 2013
thru Oct 2014. It's focus is a bit different than previous reports.
http://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtml
"...AR5 will put greater emphasis on assessing the socio-economic
aspects of climate change and implications for sustainable
development, risk management and the framing of a response
through both adaptation and mitigation."
In other words, it will tell the governments and politicians what to
do. I can't wait.

**No, it won't. It will, like a good scientific document, ADVISE on
appropriate course/s of action. They are not likely to be pleasant
and will be resisted by the Murdock media and the fossil fuel
industry. There is certainly no doubt that many nations will be
dragging their feet on the way to reduce CO2 emissions.


That is a very scientific observation.
We should all embrace Trevor's crackpot theories based on just this.
**I do not espouse "crackpot theories". I merely read and understand the
science. It is a great pity that you do not do likewise.

Will our society survive? I doubt it. It seems more likely that
action will be too little too late.


Our society will surive and thrive if we stop allowing ourselves to
constantly being made to live in fear for the purposes of controlling
us, throw this AGW crap and those involved in it straight in the bin,
cut the big guys out of controlling everything (including both sides
of our government and media) stop them from creating artificial
shortages of resources in order to fleece us, and stop worrying about
lies and lead productive lives.
**I note your continued avoidance of dealing with my previous questions and
comments. I further note your dismissal of good, solid science, in
preference for a religious, stick-your-head-in-the-sand approach. You, Tony
Abbott, George Pell, Christopher Monckton and Alan Jones are a good match
for each other. None of you deals with the science.


--
Trevor Wilson
www.rageaudio.com.au
 
On Sep 27, 2:03 pm, "Trevor Wilson" <tre...@rageaudio.com.au> wrote:
Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Tue, 27 Sep 2011 12:46:26 +1000, "Trevor Wilson"
tre...@rageaudio.com.au> wrote:

**Take some time to read AR4. THEN get back to me.

The reports are here:
http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_report....
I've only read the one on the physical science basis.

The 5th report is scheduled for release in stages from Sept 2013 thru
Oct 2014.  It's focus is a bit different than previous reports.
http://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtml
 "...AR5 will put greater emphasis on assessing the socio-economic
 aspects of climate change and implications for sustainable
 development, risk management and the framing of a response
 through both adaptation and mitigation."
In other words, it will tell the governments and politicians what to
do.  I can't wait.

**No, it won't. It will, like a good scientific document, ADVISE on
appropriate course/s of action. They are not likely to be pleasant and will
be resisted by the Murdock media and the fossil fuel industry. There is
certainly no doubt that many nations will be dragging their feet on the way
to reduce CO2 emissions.
That is a very scientific observation.
We should all embrace Trevor's crackpot theories based on just this.


Will our society survive? I doubt it. It seems more likely that action will
be too little too late.
Our society will surive and thrive if we stop allowing ourselves to
constantly being made to live in fear for the purposes of controlling
us, throw this AGW crap and those involved in it straight in the bin,
cut the big guys out of controlling everything (including both sides
of our government and media) stop them from creating artificial
shortages of resources in order to fleece us, and stop worrying about
lies and lead productive lives.


--
Trevor Wilsonwww.rageaudio.com.au
 
Phil Allison wrote:
"kreed"

Well, I always thought it was "strait" jacket.


The Macquarie Dictionary, 1981 edition, gives both spellings as equal
alternatives.

So do others, both US and UK ones - PLUS the MS Spell Checker !!!


The really wonderful thing about the English language is that it Lives,
Breathes and CHANGES.

So we can all have * FUN * with it.

And bets of all, it pisses fuckwit pedants off to hell !!!!!!!!!!!




..... Phil
In english the word is Straitjacket.
straitjacket // n. & v. (also straightjacket)
n.
1 a strong garment with long sleeves for confining the arms of a violent
prisoner, mental patient, etc.
2 restrictive measures.
v.tr. (-jacketed, -jacketing)
1 restrain with a straitjacket.
2 severely restrict.

Others alter the word and some misguided dictionaries follow.
for instance if you want to alter a word, stand outside the macquarie
university and yell the word out a few times.
I have never seen a dictionary introduce new words so readily as macquarie.
 
"Fuckwit Murtz"

** Hey FUCKWIT.

DO NOT post quotes without the source.



Others alter the word and some misguided dictionaries follow.
** HEY FUCKWIT !!

Got any idea how dictionaries are created ??

Obviously fucking NOT.
----------------------------


The really wonderful thing about the English language is that it Lives,
Breathes and CHANGES !!

So we can have * FUN * with it.

And best of all, it pisses fuckwit pedants like this Murtz cretin off to
hell !!!!!!!!!

May he long reside there, in a straightjacket and ROT !!


.... Phil
 

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