Guest
On Sun, 13 Oct 2019 22:53:35 +1100, Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid>
wrote:
Storage is one big problem with solar and wind. We are now having big,
week-long, deliberate [1] blackouts in big regions of California, and
I hear people talking about getting residential batteries. They
haven't done the math.
Even funnier, they are talking about using the batteries in their
electric cars to power up their houses.
[1] PG&E is delivering a public lesson on the value of electricity.
--
John Larkin Highland Technology, Inc
lunatic fringe electronics
wrote:
On 13/10/2019 7:23 am, Rick C wrote:
I ran across this article about an Indiana utility having rejected a bid for fossil fuel generation based on cost and risk.
"Vectrens 2016 proposal to replace coal with a gas plant was declined as too large and financially risky for the small utility, requiring a new bid which recently came in showing wind, solar and storage dominating the list of offers."
In addition it seems another Indiana utility is going hard on for renewables...
"The Northern Indiana Public Service Company (NIPSCO) learns fast. In 2018, the utility published research suggesting that closing coal plants early, and replacing them with renewables and energy storage, would save customers $4.3 billion. Around the same time as the above bids, the utility announced it would be closing a majority of its coal facilities by 2023 (thus the need for the following procurement), and all coal facilities by 2028. Coal lobbyists, expectedly, have flooded the states legislature."
They are looking at adding "2.3 GW of capacity from solar power plants coupled with energy storage". The costs they are expecting to see...
"A preview of where pricing might come in could be seen in the below image, from a summer of 2018 NIPSCO RFP, where we saw bids for solar power at 3.57˘/kWh for 1.3 GW-AC, and 705 MW-AC of solar+storage at an extra charge of $5.90/kW-Mo."
If I understand the storage costs, they seem pretty trivial. I'd love to have my power supplied this way. It would cut my electric bill in half. Good thing my power is local, but not so local it comes from the expensive nuclear power plant next door.
I'm wondering how soon it will be until no one even thinks of any other energy source. Certainly nuclear is a bad idea going forward.
Their desire to get rid of coal seems to be related to some issues
specific to them regarding coal supply. They wouldn't apply world-wide.
The referenced 2018 document is
https://www.in.gov/iurc/files/2018%20NIPSCO%20IRP.pdf
From that document I have extracted the following diagram
https://www.dropbox.com/s/dg09th5086y6d7i/capacity.png?dl=0
DSM stands for demand side management - essentially, some customers
agree to stop using power if necessary.
I find it difficult to see how the diagram on the right for 2028 can
possibly represent a secure supply. Or even a supply during the evening
and night. The battery storage component is very small - it's really
just about levelling out the short term variations in solar. It
certainly doesn't represent storing solar generated energy for use at
night, or during prolonged periods of rain [*].
Sylvia
[*] My own solar panels do reasonably well under cloud, but their output
drops to pretty much zero in rain, presumably because the drops of rain
on the panels mess them up optically.
Storage is one big problem with solar and wind. We are now having big,
week-long, deliberate [1] blackouts in big regions of California, and
I hear people talking about getting residential batteries. They
haven't done the math.
Even funnier, they are talking about using the batteries in their
electric cars to power up their houses.
[1] PG&E is delivering a public lesson on the value of electricity.
--
John Larkin Highland Technology, Inc
lunatic fringe electronics