B
bitrex
Guest
On 7/13/19 7:50 PM, Tom Gardner wrote:
if all the pro-life climate skeptics out there were busily researching
alternative climate models which disprove AGW, in between caring for
their adopted children, they'd have no time to talk so much they'd be
far too busy.
On 14/07/19 00:17, bitrex wrote:
On 7/13/19 5:09 PM, Cursitor Doom wrote:
This is a hard problem. Not settled science, not well understood, not
understood. There are theories and models (and as a theorist, I just
love to tell stories)
Yep, all they ever do is talk shit for attention all day long and
never present any substantive research of their own.
theories or models and there is a lot of competition between the stories
(none of which agree with or predict the empirical data particularly
well, at best agreeing with some gross features but not others). One
part of the difficulty is that the Earth is a highly multivariate and
chaotic driven/open system with complex nonlinear coupling between all
of its many drivers, and with anything but a regular surface. If one
tried to actually write *the* partial differential equation for the
global climate system, it would be a set of coupled Navier-Stokes
equations with unbelievably nasty nonlinear coupling terms - if one can
actually include the physics of the water and carbon cycles in the N-S
equations at all. It is, quite literally, the most difficult problem in
mathematical physics we have ever attempted to solve or understand!
OMG, did you know that the vast majority of practical physics problems
applicable to the real world, and not simplified toy systems, are
complex multivariate PDEs with "nasty nonlinear coupling" that don't
have closed-form solutions? this habitual man-splainer acts like this
is news to somebody other than anti-AGW beard-stroking head-nodders
who are impressed he can use those big words.
Based on CD's technical background and achievements that he
himself has stated, I doubt he did know that.
But then his opinion is "just as valid" as anyone else's.
Isn't it?
If the climate were not described by that kind of equation then the
climate would show almost no interesting behavior worth predicting. duh!
Global Climate Models are children's toys in comparison to the actual
underlying complexity, especially when (as noted) the major drivers
setting the baseline behavior are not well understood or quantitatively
available.
Being anti-AGW pundit, is easy job, like being "pro-life." Don't
actually have to ever do anything. Just have to run your mouth and
collect checks.
Just so.
if all the pro-life climate skeptics out there were busily researching
alternative climate models which disprove AGW, in between caring for
their adopted children, they'd have no time to talk so much they'd be
far too busy.