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bitrex
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On 10/31/2020 12:31 AM, Ricketty C wrote:
My ideal EV has two seats, a 100-something mile battery pack, 0-60 time
of about 4-5 seconds.
Kinda like a Tesla Roadster but that doesn\'t cost $200,000. I\'ll be
waiting a long time I expect...
On Friday, October 30, 2020 at 4:52:09 PM UTC-4, Dean Hoffman wrote:
On 10/29/20 11:39 AM, Ricketty C wrote:
On Thursday, October 29, 2020 at 6:56:09 AM UTC-4, Dean Hoffman wrote:
On 10/28/20 4:32 PM, Robert Baer wrote:
bitrex wrote:
On 10/28/2020 3:47 PM, Dean Hoffman wrote:
Tesla\'s AutoPilot is a distant second to GM\'s Super Cruise according to
Consumer Reports.
https://www.insidehook.com/daily_brief/vehicles/consumer-reports-tesla-autopilot-super-cruise
Tesla and GM have somewhat different operating philosophies, Tesla
wants the world to switch to driving luxury electric vehicles
exclusively.
GM wants to sell the world a wide assortment of luxury vehicles of
which electric vehicles are just one type you can buy. They are
car-agnostic, ideally everyone in America will buy a $85,000 truck
from GM, whether it\'s gas or electric or hydrogen or whatever it does
not matter. One of each would be best, actually.
 \"Luxury\" schmucks-ery.
 WTF is wrong with a \"garden\" variety design for the majority of drivers?
 Maybe even a target price below $10,000....
I took a quick look on the Carvana vehicle sales site. The
cheapest I found was a
2021 Chevy Spark LS hatchback, $10287. The cheapest sedan was a
2020 Mitsubishi Mirage G4 ES, $10,474. The cheapest pickup was a
2020 Dodge Ram 1500 Tradesman, $18,017. A 2020 Tesla Model X
Long Range with 11,300 miles is for sale on Auto Trader for $96588.
California\'s ban on selling new internal combustion driven vehicles
starts in 2035. There must be people thinking about the auto parts store
business. California mechanics might be king in twenty years or so
unless this silly ban is lifted.
Not sure why you list prices of gasoline econoboxes along with luxury, electric SUVs. But the principle is right. In around 5 years EVs will have achieved half of the total passenger car sales, in the US at least. I will probably be another five years for the number of fossil fueled vehicles on the road to drop significantly, say by more than 30%. During that time gasoline prices will be in the dumpster slowing adoption of EVs. But EVs have inherently lower operating costs. So the trend will continue as the production costs of batteries drop.
The demand for mechanics will initially increase as people keep their vehicles longer. But at some point ~10 years as the number of fossil fueled vehicles on the road drop the demand for that type of mechanic will drop and drop rapidly. Autos don\'t fare well with age. At some point they get replaced simply because people don\'t like unreliability.
That\'s when the EV conversion will essentially be complete.
I still can\'t figure out what will happen to the gas station paradigm. They do so much more than sell gas because everyone who drives has to go their once a week to fill up. With EVs most people will never go there and of those who can\'t charge at home, they will be around for some time, 30 minutes or so. I suppose a lot of people can use them like gas stations.. Pull up, plug in, get a cup of coffee pick up the morning paper, eat your egg sandwich and be on your way with another 75-100 miles of range. The batteries charge fastest and last longest if not charged fully. 20-50% gives a very fast charge, up to 2 kWH per minute in my car.
Or maybe level 2 charging will become so ubiquitous that charging will mostly be done at work and while shopping using the excess solar generation people seem to get so upset about. In an 8 hour day most EVs can be fully charged in a work day.
Maybe places like restaurants and motels can put some charging
stations in. People use credit cards to pay for time or whatever. The
vehicles would be sitting still
anyhow.
Many hotels already have level 2 charging, maybe not enough of it though. It\'s not uncommon to find them full if you arrive late. Level 2 charging is not very costly. My tank of electrons at night rates is around $5 to $8 bucks. About the same as the cost of providing the free breakfast I expect.
To me the ideal EV would have enough range to drive for four hours at 70 mph, so 280 miles (not total, I mean useful range, so maybe 350 or 400 total) and charge in an hour so you can have a meal while stopped. Then you can get a charge overnight allowing good distance in a day. My car is only short of that by about 70 miles or 25%. I fully expect 350 or 400 miles to be the norm in a few years as improvements to batteries are made. Tesla is already making a change in battery chemistry that is primarily to get away from using more expensive elements in the fabrication like cobalt if I recall correctly. Still, there is tons and tons of research going on in that domain. Rapid improvements can be expected, even if only incremental, in not too much time the EV will be the main stream car for nearly everyone.
This is not such a radical thing to say really. It won\'t take any government mandates, just a bit of time and a few more small improvements.
My ideal EV has two seats, a 100-something mile battery pack, 0-60 time
of about 4-5 seconds.
Kinda like a Tesla Roadster but that doesn\'t cost $200,000. I\'ll be
waiting a long time I expect...