F
Flyguy
Guest
On Saturday, August 22, 2020 at 11:28:09 PM UTC-7, Bill Sloman wrote:
Hey SL0W MAN, it is a decidedly exposition of BULLSHIT - there IS NO \"science\" to back up his assertions. You might as well state that God will save you from the Wuhan virus.
On Sunday, August 23, 2020 at 3:19:15 PM UTC+10, Flyguy wrote:
On Saturday, August 22, 2020 at 3:33:18 PM UTC-7, Joe Gwinn wrote:
On the matter of masks and COVID19, there has been a lot of obsession
with getting 95% percent rated masks (even if nobody wears them well
enough to achieve that level of performance). Anyway, there is a
back-of-the-envelope analysis that bounds the problem:
Assume that we have a population where the same kind of mask is worn
by all, and that this mask is only 75% effective (this is low).
People spend most of their time talking, not coughing, so we will use
talking for this example. The math is the same.
Person A is talking, generating droplets. A\'s mask stops 75% of the
droplets and passes the remaining 25%.
Person B is listening. B\'s mask blocks 75% of A\'s 25%, and passes 25%
of that 25% along, receiving a net of 6.25%.
The current value of R (number of people who catch COVID per infected
person) is say 5 (this is high). The net value of R is thus
(5)(0.25)(0.25)= 0.3125, well below the unity required for COVID to
even hang on, never mind grow.
You have done nothing more than manufacture numbers with no basis in reality. You have no actual evidence to support what you are saying. This is worse than saying nothing at all because it is total speculation.
Or so Flyguy thinks. In fact it is a decidedly obvious exposition of the obvious, which is worth doing for people who aren\'t bright enough to do it for themselves - which does include Flyguy - but are bright enough to realise that it makes sense when it is done for them - which clearly doesn\'t include Flyguy, who isdefinitely part of the depressingly extreme tail of the distribution of very dim people.
--
SL0W MAN, Sydney
Hey SL0W MAN, it is a decidedly exposition of BULLSHIT - there IS NO \"science\" to back up his assertions. You might as well state that God will save you from the Wuhan virus.