Exportability of EDA industry from North America?

EDA wannabe wrote:

Some colleagues and I were discussing the situation with the high tech
industry, with jobs moving out of North America. This has hit circuit
designers hard, especially those in digital. Can EDA tool development
be expected to follow suit, is has it already happened? If not, what
are the factors that differentiate it from design work to make it less
exportable? Comments are also welcome for automatation of methodologies
for programmable system-on-chip e.g. reconfigurable processor arrays.

This has been happening for quite some time now. At first
(during the "good times") companies have been moving jobs
to India and China because there where not enough engineers
available in the US. Than during the recession, companies
have been moving/continuing to use India and China because
they *appear* to be cheaper than local talent.

And I think it is very important to analyze the cost "savings"
in greater detail. The truth is that engineers in these
developing countries, are less experienced and do not have the
needed background of pulling through large projects. As smart
as they may be, doing a large project and coordinating some 100
engineers is a tough task. My personal experience with products
coming from the developing/low cost countries, is that the quality
of workmanship is just not there YET. Many of the "savings" are
getting killed because things have to be rewritten/redesigned/fixed/
start over from scratch. Typically the decisions of outsourcing
is done by upper management without any feedback from any senior
engineers in the US. Managers and engineers are hired in the
developing countries with the expectation that they will deliver
good of same quality as their US counterparts. So far in my opinion
this has not happened (YET !).

I believe that in the next 5-10 years we will see the experience
level increase and the quality of products to start reaching the
same levels as what we would expect form US based engineers. At
the same time, I believe, these engineers expectations will be
raising as well. As these engineers become more senior and
experienced, many of them will have the opportunity to go to the
US and get a "high-paying" job. As such the "cost advantage"
together with the lower expectation in the US (which will be in
my opinion a natural development) will become a wash.

Overall I believe we will see a few swings back and forth of this
outsourcing "problem" the US is facing. After a while this will
become irrelevant as all of the developing countries will become
also leaders on the same level as the US. I think if the US does
not start attracting new internal engineers by providing more
incentives for students, it, as a whole country, will eventually
fall behind in the technology sector, which will be led by Japan,
China and India (in this order - I believe). I believe this fall
back, can already be observed in the automotive industry ...
And that, will be by far a much larger problem everybody in the US
will face than the outsourcing you see today.

Best Regards,
rudi
=============================================================
Rudolf Usselmann, ASICS World Services, http://www.asics.ws
Your Partner for IP Cores, Design, Verification and Synthesis
 
Phil Tomson wrote:
Probably the best bet if you want an EDA job in the US is to get a PhD,
but even some of the highlevel research is starting to move over.

It's not a pretty picture. The standard of living will likely have to
fall a good bit in the US before you see these kinds of jobs move back.

I understand that there must be some level of parity before the jobs start
flowing back. Regarding the comment about a Ph.D., I am actually speaking
about the outlook for someone completing an advance degree. Typically,
though, the relevance of even R&D tends to follow the prevalence of the
associated application, so if the industry practice moves elsewhere, the
relevance and value of the R&D is likely to follow (I surmise). So I'm
wondering how much the R&D in this area will likely be eroded in North
America.

As well, the angle I'm interested in is that of combinatoric algorithms in
mapping applications to prefabricated systems-on-chip, or configurable
platforms. That might be nonstandard enough to maintain a presence in
North America. It all depends on the experience and grounding of
alternative, more economic countries in this knowledge area. Especially in
terms of university activity.

I would also imagine that the more niche-like the area, the less attractive
it is for developing countries. It seems like the road to development
typically tries to capitalize on large anticipated markets for a particular
skill set or technology. I wonder how much this will protect against
erosion of R&D in North America. Of course, any opinions will necessarily
be highly speculative, but it would be interesting to hear rationales for
them.

Aside from the doom and gloom of predicting the potential decline of an
industry and area of R&D, I wonder about the likely challenges in transferring
the associated experience into other areas. Combinatoric problems are a
very general label, and I'm sure there is much crucial, domain-specific knowledge
to make such a skill set valuable.
 
Phil Tomson wrote:

I also am a grad student (with a lot of years of
'real-world' experience) and whereas I was aiming toward EDA in my
studies, now I'm starting to think about branching out into a different
area that might be growing faster... but I'm still very interested in EDA.
Then stick with EDA.
There is a very good chance that your future
job will not be directly related to your
course of study in any case.
The important thing is to enjoy what you are doing.

-- Mike Treseler
 
On Fri, 04 Feb 2005 00:46:08 GMT, the renowned Winston Smith
<winston@1984.com> wrote:

With those negatives you have to wonder what these CEOs are thinking by
placing their balls firmly in the grasp of the Chinese.
The motivation is green (at least the US version is) and there is lots
and lots of it to be had.


Best regards,
Spehro Pefhany
--
"it's the network..." "The Journey is the reward"
speff@interlog.com Info for manufacturers: http://www.trexon.com
Embedded software/hardware/analog Info for designers: http://www.speff.com
 
Hello Spehro,

The motivation is green (at least the US version is) and there is lots
and lots of it to be had.
It might not always pan out that way. I am just transitioning to a
European CAD program so the green flows in the other direction. They
didn't outsource it and still had the best pricing.

Regards, Joerg

http://www.analogconsultants.com
 
On Fri, 04 Feb 2005 01:34:47 GMT, the renowned Joerg
<notthisjoergsch@removethispacbell.net> wrote:

Hello Spehro,

The motivation is green (at least the US version is) and there is lots
and lots of it to be had.



It might not always pan out that way. I am just transitioning to a
European CAD program so the green flows in the other direction. They
didn't outsource it and still had the best pricing.

Regards, Joerg

http://www.analogconsultants.com
Do you know that for a fact? A while ago I was talking to some
developers who worked with their company's "European" team on a large
software project- in St. Petersburg Russia.


Best regards,
Spehro Pefhany
--
"it's the network..." "The Journey is the reward"
speff@interlog.com Info for manufacturers: http://www.trexon.com
Embedded software/hardware/analog Info for designers: http://www.speff.com
 
Spehro Pefhany wrote:

Do you know that for a fact? A while ago I was talking to some
developers who worked with their company's "European" team on a large
software project- in St. Petersburg Russia.
That part of Russia belongs to the old definition of Europe, and most of
them wants to join the European Union, because in the European Union it
is forbidden to discriminate work.

I think it is more a question what the salary is compared to level and
quality of education. Many of the former east-block countries have
exellent engineers and they are not so expencive as the western-european
engineers.

It is such a pity that most of the politicians who put up the legal
framework for globalization never had to face competition on uneven levels
--
Svenn
 
On Fri, 04 Feb 2005 09:32:11 +0100, the renowned Svenn Are Bjerkem
<svenn.are@bjerkem.de> wrote:

Spehro Pefhany wrote:

Do you know that for a fact? A while ago I was talking to some
developers who worked with their company's "European" team on a large
software project- in St. Petersburg Russia.

That part of Russia belongs to the old definition of Europe, and most of
them wants to join the European Union, because in the European Union it
is forbidden to discriminate work.

I think it is more a question what the salary is compared to level and
quality of education. Many of the former east-block countries have
exellent engineers and they are not so expencive as the western-european
engineers.
Yes, I believe that Western Russia (and Western Turkey, for that
matter) is European in culture. In this case, there was a deliberate
attempt to make it look like the work was done in Germany without
actually lying. Kind of like saying "North American" and giving a
North Carolina US address, but doing the bulk of the work in Cuba or
Honduras.

It is such a pity that most of the politicians who put up the legal
framework for globalization never had to face competition on uneven levels
I imagine that they are indirectly profiting from it.


Best regards,
Spehro Pefhany
--
"it's the network..." "The Journey is the reward"
speff@interlog.com Info for manufacturers: http://www.trexon.com
Embedded software/hardware/analog Info for designers: http://www.speff.com
 
I read in sci.electronics.design that Svenn Are Bjerkem
<svenn.are@bjerkem.de> wrote (in <ctvbub$afc$1@athen03.muc.infineon.com>
) about 'Exportability of EDA industry from North America?', on Fri, 4
Feb 2005:

It is such a pity that most of the politicians who put up the legal
framework for globalization never had to face competition on uneven
levels
They did , but their levels were the highest!
--
Regards, John Woodgate, OOO - Own Opinions Only.
The good news is that nothing is compulsory.
The bad news is that everything is prohibited.
http://www.jmwa.demon.co.uk Also see http://www.isce.org.uk
 
Hello Spehro,

It might not always pan out that way. I am just transitioning to a
European CAD program so the green flows in the other direction. They
didn't outsource it and still had the best pricing.


Do you know that for a fact? A while ago I was talking to some
developers who worked with their company's "European" team on a large
software project- in St. Petersburg Russia.
Sure, as a customer thousands of miles away you may not know for sure.
But there is one telltale sign that pops up when you have a tough
question. That will often require the original programmer or designer to
answer. Accents are really hard to hide. Like with a graphics card
manufacturer in Canada. When I got answers such as 'that's aboot right'
or I heard 'Bonjour' I somehow knew it's got to be Canada ;-)

Regards, Joerg

http://www.analogconsultants.com
 
On Fri, 04 Feb 2005 18:57:55 GMT, the renowned Joerg
<notthisjoergsch@removethispacbell.net> wrote:

Sure, as a customer thousands of miles away you may not know for sure.
But there is one telltale sign that pops up when you have a tough
question. That will often require the original programmer or designer to
answer. Accents are really hard to hide. Like with a graphics card
manufacturer in Canada. When I got answers such as 'that's aboot right'
or I heard 'Bonjour' I somehow knew it's got to be Canada ;-)

Regards, Joerg
ATI and Matrox don't pretend to be headquartered anywhere else do
they?


Best regards,
Spehro Pefhany
--
"it's the network..." "The Journey is the reward"
speff@interlog.com Info for manufacturers: http://www.trexon.com
Embedded software/hardware/analog Info for designers: http://www.speff.com
 
Joerg wrote:
Hello Spehro,

It might not always pan out that way. I am just transitioning to a
European CAD program so the green flows in the other direction. They
didn't outsource it and still had the best pricing.


Do you know that for a fact? A while ago I was talking to some
developers who worked with their company's "European" team on a large
software project- in St. Petersburg Russia.



Sure, as a customer thousands of miles away you may not know for sure.
But there is one telltale sign that pops up when you have a tough
question. That will often require the original programmer or designer to
answer. Accents are really hard to hide. Like with a graphics card
manufacturer in Canada. When I got answers such as 'that's aboot right'
or I heard 'Bonjour' I somehow knew it's got to be Canada ;-)

Regards, Joerg

http://www.analogconsultants.com
France??
 

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