R
Rob Dekker
Guest
"Eeyore" <rabbitsfriendsandrelations@hotmail.com> wrote in message news:488DE41E.363905E9@hotmail.com...
Many reasons for that. One important one because the cost of diesel only recently became more expensive than grid+battery.
Remember oil was HALF the cost last year around this time (remember $70/barrel?).
It has been only been a few years that even diesel-hybrids became competitive with standard diesels.
Diesel-hybrids (especially series hybrids) already have full electric drive, so now that battery+grid became cheaper than diesel, I
expect a lot plug-in hybrid diesels to emerge (retrofit bigger batteries on existing hybrids, and on new vehicles), and electric and
plug-in hybrid busses/delivery vans will almost certainly take off too.
All this is assuming that price of oil is not gotta go down below $100 any more. If that happens, many applications will drop back
to simpler ICE technology.
Couple of big problems remains : how fast can the world increase battery production ? And which battery technology can expand
fastest...
The free market should be able to determine that though.
Since ZEBRAs use cheap production materials, and fairly simple production process, I give them a very good chance of becoming a
dominant battery technology for PHEVs and EVs.
Pitty that only one manufacterer in the world makes them (MES-DEA in Switzerland).
I wonder how many patents are still open on ZEBRA technology. Patent litigation and negotiation could slow down investment and
production of battery-tech.
Rob
They are manufactured, but not in large volume yet.Bret Cahill wrote:
When looking at battery tech for (PH)EVs, I came across an
interesting experiment converting a school bus into an electric
vehicle.
And if it was so great whey aren't they in volume manufacture right now ?
Graham
Many reasons for that. One important one because the cost of diesel only recently became more expensive than grid+battery.
Remember oil was HALF the cost last year around this time (remember $70/barrel?).
It has been only been a few years that even diesel-hybrids became competitive with standard diesels.
Diesel-hybrids (especially series hybrids) already have full electric drive, so now that battery+grid became cheaper than diesel, I
expect a lot plug-in hybrid diesels to emerge (retrofit bigger batteries on existing hybrids, and on new vehicles), and electric and
plug-in hybrid busses/delivery vans will almost certainly take off too.
All this is assuming that price of oil is not gotta go down below $100 any more. If that happens, many applications will drop back
to simpler ICE technology.
Couple of big problems remains : how fast can the world increase battery production ? And which battery technology can expand
fastest...
The free market should be able to determine that though.
Since ZEBRAs use cheap production materials, and fairly simple production process, I give them a very good chance of becoming a
dominant battery technology for PHEVs and EVs.
Pitty that only one manufacterer in the world makes them (MES-DEA in Switzerland).
I wonder how many patents are still open on ZEBRA technology. Patent litigation and negotiation could slow down investment and
production of battery-tech.
Rob