B
Bill Sloman
Guest
This week's Proceedings of the (American) National Academy of Science has an article on the subject.
https://www.pnas.org/content/pnas/116/43/21450.full.pdf
"We document an increasing trend in extreme damages from natural disasters, which is consistent with a climate-change signal. Increases in aggregated or mean damages have been modest, but evidence for a rightward skewing and tail fattening of the distributions is statistically significant and robust with most pronounced increases in the most extreme (e.g. top 5% and top 1%), of the catastrophic events. This pattern is strongest in temperate regions, suggesting that the prevalence of devastating natural disasters has broadened beyond tropical regions and that adaptation measures in the latter have had some mitigating effects on damages.
John Larkin won't take it seriously until his business gets washed (or blown) away.
--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
https://www.pnas.org/content/pnas/116/43/21450.full.pdf
"We document an increasing trend in extreme damages from natural disasters, which is consistent with a climate-change signal. Increases in aggregated or mean damages have been modest, but evidence for a rightward skewing and tail fattening of the distributions is statistically significant and robust with most pronounced increases in the most extreme (e.g. top 5% and top 1%), of the catastrophic events. This pattern is strongest in temperate regions, suggesting that the prevalence of devastating natural disasters has broadened beyond tropical regions and that adaptation measures in the latter have had some mitigating effects on damages.
John Larkin won't take it seriously until his business gets washed (or blown) away.
--
Bill Sloman, Sydney