12 month mitigation vs suppression strategy Covid19...

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[legg]

Per capita comparisons are interesting, as they represent
efforts, within political boundaries, equally.
Data is easily obtained by visiting the data explorer page
at Our World in Data:

http://tiny.cc/ul41tz

Comparison charts, as of Dec 31 are available:


http://ve3ute.ca/query/211231_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/211231_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

http://ve3ute.ca/query/211231_deaths_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/211231_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/211231_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_daily_greater_than_5ppm.jpg

http://ve3ute.ca/query/211231_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/211231_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/211231_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg


Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.
Updated Dec 31 to include a second year trend or \'season\'.

http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_028b.jpg

RL

 

[Lasse Langwadt Christensen]

lørdag den 24. juli 2021 kl. 22.20.59 UTC+2 skrev Don Y:

On 7/24/2021 11:05 AM, Tom Gardner wrote:
On 24/07/21 16:04, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
On Sunday, July 25, 2021 at 12:25:56 AM UTC+10, Tom Gardner wrote:
On 24/07/21 13:31, Martin Brown wrote:
On 22/07/2021 22:23, Don Y wrote:
On 7/21/2021 5:48 AM, Martin Brown wrote:
On 21/07/2021 03:54, Don Y wrote:
On 7/19/2021 9:09 PM, legg wrote:
On Mon, 19 Jul 2021 12:07:48 -0700, Don Y

snip

Prof Robert West says rhetoric about caution is ‘a way of putting blame on
public’

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/23/ministers-letting-young-people-catch-covid-to-prepare-for-winter-sage-adviser-claims



It makes sense, but the usual rule is not to bother hypothesising complicated
motives when simple stupidity is a sufficient explanation. Boris isn\'t
stupid, but he\'s much more interested in being popular than he is in
minimising the damage to the health of the population, and figures he won\'t
get blamed for the side-effects of his enthusiasm for being liked.


True.

However those who will topple Boris want to be able to leave
the blame attached to Boris.

The one thing I\'ve seen intimated, but not proven, is that
/whatever/ we do most people will catch covid now or later.

If that is the case, it is rational to
- have the associated infections when they will do less
harm economically (=> sooner) and to the NHS (=> not winter)
- wait until most people will have consequences reduced
as far as practical (=> vaccinated)

Some of the models I\'ve seen reported appear to indicate
that might well be the case, with very significant sensitivity
to the constants in the models.
But, that assumes the situation is largely static. If epsilon
comes along during that process and happens to be very effective
at breaking through vaccinations AND fatal, you have no way
to get the toothpaste back into the tube!

you can forever invent scary scenarios that might happen

what do you propose we do, hide in the basement until we all die of old age?

 

[legg]

Comparison charts, as of Jan 31 are available:


http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_cases_ppm_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_cases_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg

http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_deaths_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_deaths_ppm_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_deaths_daily_ppm_report_group.jpg
> http://ve3ute.ca/query/211130_deaths_daily_greater_than_5ppm.jpg

http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_vaccine_doses_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_vaccine_doses_daily_report_group.jpg
http://ve3ute.ca/query/220131_vaccinations_completed_report_group.jpg


Flu Season? Fatality comparison to past events in the U.S.A.
Updated Jan 31 to include a second year trend or \'season\'.

http://ve3ute.ca/query/flu_season_029c.jpg

RL